Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies Betting Pick & Prediction 8/14/24

The over/under line for Wednesday’s Marlins vs. Phillies matchup is at 9 runs, with Philadelphia being favored on the money line (-191). Miami has won two straight and is 45-75 overall, while the Phillies are 69-50 and have Tyler Phillips on the mound.

First pitch from Citizen Bank Park is set for 6:40 PM ET, and NSPPH will be televising this matchup. Edward Cabrera is starting for the Marlins, and he will be facing a Phillies team that has lost four straight.

MIAMI MARLINS VS PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES BETTING PICK

The Pick: Miami Marlins Moneyline +160

This game will be played at Citizens Bank Park at 6:40 ET on Wednesday, August 14th.

HOW TO BET THE MARLINS VS PHILLIES:

• We have the Marlins winning by a score of 6 to 5
• If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Marlins to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over

Miami cruised to a 5-0 win over the Phillies in the most recent game of this series. The Marlins had a huge 1st inning, scoring two of their five runs. As for the Phillies, they didn’t get on the board until the 7th inning. Heading into the game, the Marlins were at +176 on the money line.

Valente Bellozo pitched well for the Marlins in this one, going seven innings and striking out four without giving up a run. He picked up a win in the game, while Taijuan Walker only went four innings for the Phillies, giving up three earned runs on four hits.

Jake Burger and Jesus Sanchez each homered for the Marlins, while Xavier Edwards scored twice and drove in two runs while going 2/5. Miami’s other two runs came on a two-run single from Sanchez.

Marlins Records & Stats

Miami is 45-75 overall and 24.5 games behind the Phillies in the NL East. Currently, they are 5th in the division and have gone 12-23 in divisional matchups. The Marlins have won two straight games and are 5-5 over their last 10.

So far, the Marlins have gone just 24-39 at home compared to 21-36 on the road. As the road underdog, the Marlins are 21-36 this year, and they are 4-13 when favored. Miami has an overall series record of 10-23-4 and lost two straight series before winning the series opener vs. the Phillies.

When it comes to the run line, the Marlins have been a solid bet on the road this season, going 29-28. They have covered in three straight road games and have been a good bet as the underdog, going 55-48. Miami’s average run margin in winning games is +2.8, while it is -3.7 in losing games.

The Marlins are on the road against the Phillies today, and the Over/Under line is set at 9 runs. Miami’s games have averaged 8.7 runs per game this season, and their Over/Under record is 66-51. The average O/U line for their games is 8 runs, and when the line is set at 9 runs, their O/U record is 3-12. So far this season, only 4.2% of their games have had O/U lines set at 9 runs or higher.

Miami is sending right-hander Edward Cabrera to the mound today vs. the Phillies. He has made 12 starts this season and has a record of 2-3 with an ERA of 5.21. Cabrera’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.43. In his 12 appearances, he has turned in two quality starts. Cabrera’s last outing came against the Padres, where he went seven innings, giving up no earned runs, and finished with a no decision. Before that, he had given up at least two earned runs in three straight outings. Opponents are batting .218 off Cabrera this season.

Currently, the Marlins are 29th in the league in runs per game at just 3.7, and they are also near the bottom of the league in home runs and on-base percentage. One area where they have been good is avoiding strikeouts, as they are 16th in the league in this category. Miami’s team batting average is just .237, which is 16th in the league.

Jake Burger has been on a tear for the Marlins over his last 10 games, going 14/41 with seven home runs and 10 RBIs. For the season, he is batting .251 with a team-high 54 RBIs and 23 homers. Jesús Sánchez is also near the top of the Marlins’ home run leaderboard, as he has 15 homers this season and is batting .240.

Phillies Records & Stats

With an overall record of 69-50, the Phillies lead the NL East by six games over the Braves. Currently, they are on a four-game losing streak, and this losing streak includes dropping the first game of this series vs. the Marlins. In the NL East, the Phillies have gone 15-11 this season.

At home, the Phillies are 38-22 this year, and they are just above .500 at 31-28 on the road. As the favorite, the Phillies are 58-38 this year and 11-12 as the underdog. So far, they have gone 37-20 as the favorite at home. Philadelphia’s overall series record is 20-15-4, and they have dropped three straight at home in series matchups.

Philadelphia has been a run line team all season, with a 58-61 record against the run line. The Phillies have been a better bet on the road, where they are 30-29, compared to 28-32 at home. The Phillies have been favored in 96 games, going 46-50 against the run line, while they are 12-11 as underdogs. The average run margin in their wins is 3.9, while it’s -3.7 in their losses.

The Philadelphia Phillies are playing host to the Miami Marlins today, with the over/under line set at 9 runs. The combined run average for Phillies games this season is 8.9 runs, and their over/under record is 55-58. When the over/under line is set at 9 runs, the Phillies have gone 5-11-1. Overall, 71.4% of their games have had lower over/under lines than today’s 9 runs.

Tyler Phillips has made 5 starts for the Phillies this year, and he has a record of 4-1 with an ERA of 4.83. In his 6 appearances, Phillips has a WHIP of 1.07 and has pitched one complete game shutout. Phillips’ most recent outing came against the Dodgers, where he picked up the win. In that outing, he went 5 innings, giving up 4 earned runs, and 1 home run. Before that, he had won three straight starts. Phillips’ ERA on the road is 13.16 compared to 3.0 at home.

Philadelphia comes into the game as one of the league’s best offenses, averaging 4.8 runs per game, which is 8th in the league. They have been even better at home, putting up 5.2 runs per game. Overall, they are 6th in batting average and have the league’s 8th most home runs. Collectively, the Phillies are 4th in on-base percentage and 7th in slugging.

Over the team’s last nine games, both Kyle Schwarber and Bryce Harper have been swinging the bat well. Schwarber has gone 12/35 with five homers and 11 RBIs, while Harper is 13/36 with two homers and five RBIs. Harper is 10th in the league with 26 homers, and Schwarber is just behind him with 27 homers.