Pittsburgh Pirates vs Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Pick & Prediction 8/11/24

Looking to end a six-game losing streak, the Pirates head to Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles, and they will be facing the Dodgers, who are 2-0 in their last two games. The over/under line is currently 8.5 runs, and the Dodgers are the heavy favorite on the money line, with their odds sitting at -266. The money line odds for a Pirates win are at +217.

First pitch for this NL matchup is set for 4:10 PM ET, and the forecast for Sunday’s game calls for clear skies and temperatures in the mid to upper 70s. Tyler Glasnow will start for the Dodgers, while the Pirates are sending Bailey Falter to the mound. Los Angeles is 1st in the NL West, while the Pirates are 4th in the Central. SN PT will be televising this one.

PITTSBURGH PIRATES VS LOS ANGELES DODGERS BETTING PICK

The Pick: OVER 8.5 Runs

This game will be played at Dodger Stadium at 4:10 ET on Sunday, August 11th.

HOW TO BET THE PIRATES VS DODGERS:

• We have the Dodgers winning by a score of 6 to 5
• However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Pirates to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over

It was all Los Angeles in the last game of this series, as the Dodgers took down the Pirates by a score of 4-1. The Dodgers offense only had four more hits than the Pirates and struck out 12 times, but still picked up a convincing win. Heading into the game, they were favored at -110 on the money line.

Pittsburgh’s only run came in the 9th inning, as they avoided being shut out. The Pirates wasted a good outing from Paul Skenes, who gave up just four hits and one earned run in six innings of work. He finished the game with eight strikeouts but took the loss.

Michael Kopech got the win for the Dodgers out of the bullpen, as he went just 4 2/3 innings. Kopech didn’t give up a run and finished the game with four strikeouts. River Ryan got the start for Los Angeles but only went 4 2/3 innings, giving up four hits and striking out four.

Pirates Records & Stats

Pittsburgh is 56-60 overall and is looking to snap a six-game losing streak today on the road vs. the Dodgers. The Pirates are 4th in the NL Central, 11 games behind the Brewers. So far, they have gone 17-15 in divisional games.

At home, the Pirates are 27-31 this year, and they have gone 29-29 on the road. As the underdog, the Pirates are 32-39 this year, and they are 24-21 when favored. Pittsburgh’s overall series record is 16-16-5, and they have dropped two straight series.

When betting the Pirates on the run line, it’s been more profitable to take them as the underdog, as they are 48-23 on the run line in those games. Overall, they are 65-51 on the run line this season. Their average run differential in games they have covered the run line is +3.2 runs, while their average run differential in games they haven’t covered is -3.4 runs.

The Pittsburgh Pirates are on the road against the Los Angeles Dodgers today, with the over/under line set at 8.5 runs. The combined run average in Pirates games this season is 8.6 runs, and their over/under record is 55-60. The average over/under line in their games is 8 runs, but when the line is set at 8.5 runs, their over/under record is 23-16. Overall, 20 of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs, accounting for 17.2% of their games this season.

Pittsburgh is sending left-hander Bailey Falter to the mound today vs. the Dodgers. He has made 19 starts this season and has a record of 5-7 with a 3.87 ERA. Falter’s WHIP for the season is 1.19, and he has issued just 2.58 walks per nine innings compared to 5.99 strikeouts. The last time he pitched, Falter went 2 innings and didn’t give up a run, finishing with a no-decision. Before that outing, he had given up at least one earned run in three straight appearances. Opponents are batting .242 off Falter this season.

Over the past seven games, Oneil Cruz has been swinging a hot bat for the Pirates, going 12/27 with a home run and five RBIs. This has helped him move into a tie for 2nd on the team with 18 homers. Bryan Reynolds is just ahead of him in the home run race, and his 68 RBIs are the best mark on the team. Reynolds is also batting .288 for the season and has a team-best on-base percentage of .357.

As a team, the Pirates are averaging 4.2 runs per game, and they have been a bit better on the road, averaging 4.4 runs per contest. So far, they are 20th in home runs and are batting just .235, which is 18th in the league. Pittsburgh’s team OPS of .674 is also one of the worst in the league.

Dodgers Records & Stats

With an overall record of 68-49, the Dodgers lead the NL West by 2.5 games over the Padres. The Dodgers have taken the first two games of this series vs. the Pirates and have an NL West division record of 21-18 this year. As the favorite, the Dodgers are 64-39 and 4-10 as the underdog. At home, the Dodgers are 36-22 and 31-27 on the road.

Los Angeles has won two straight games, and they are 5-5 over their last 10. So far this year, the Dodgers have an overall series record of 21-17-1.

The Dodgers have a run line record of 57-60 this season, including a 28-31 mark at home. They have covered the run line in two straight games and have an average run margin of 0.8 runs per game.

The Los Angeles Dodgers are playing at home against the Pittsburgh Pirates today. The over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs. The Dodgers have an over/under record of 62-55 on the season, and their games have averaged a combined 9.0 runs per game. When the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs this season, the Dodgers have a record of 26-20 in those games. Overall, 28.2% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs or lower.

Through 21 starts, Tyler Glasnow has a record of 9-6 and an ERA of 3.54. This year, he has pitched much better at home, coming in with a 4.07 ERA compared to 4.09 on the road. In his last outing, Glasnow picked up the win, going six innings and giving up three earned runs on five hits. He was able to limit the damage, as he didn’t allow a homer in that outing. Before that, he had given up a homer in three straight starts. Opponents are batting .179 off Glasnow this year, and he has 13 quality starts.

Shohei Ohtani has been a huge power threat for the Dodgers this season, as his 35 homers are 2nd in the league and the most on the team. Ohtani is also batting .300 for the season and is 7th in the league with 83 RBIs. Teoscar Hernandez has also been a big power threat for the Dodgers, as he is 2nd on the team with 26 homers and has gone deep three times in his last five games while batting .400.

Overall, the Dodgers have been one of the league’s top offenses this season, averaging 4.9 runs per game, which is 5th in the league. They also have the 3rd best home run total in the league and are 3rd in team OPS. The Dodgers have been patient at the plate this season, as they are 2nd in walks and have the league’s 3rd best on-base percentage.