Philadelphia Phillies vs Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Pick & Prediction 8/11/24
This article was published on Aug 11, 2024. Today’s picks MLB picks

First pitch for Sunday’s Phillies vs. Diamondbacks matchup is set for 4:10 PM ET from Chase Field in Phoenix. The Phillies are the slight money line favorite, with their odds sitting at -129 compared to the Diamondbacks at +109. The over/under line is currently at 9 runs.
Philadelphia will be looking to snap a two-game losing streak, as they are 69-48 and in 1st place in the NL East. Arizona is 3rd in the NL West with a record of 65-53 and will be looking to extend their two-game winning streak. Cristopher Sanchez is starting for the Phillies, and he is facing off against Merrill Kelly for the Diamondbacks.
ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS VS PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES BETTING PICK
The Pick: Arizona Diamondbacks Moneyline +109
This game will be played at Chase Field at 4:10 ET on Sunday, August 11th.
HOW TO BET THE PHILLIES VS DIAMONDBACKS:
- We have the Diamondbacks winning by a score of 6 to 5
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Diamondbacks to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
Arizona cruised to an easy 11-1 win over the Phillies in the most recent game of this series. The Diamondbacks had a huge 7th inning, scoring seven of their eleven runs. As for the Phillies, they scored their only run in the 5th. Heading into the game, the Diamondbacks were favored at -119.
Zac Gallen only went 4 1/3 innings for the Diamondbacks but gave up just one run and one hit. He finished with three strikeouts but issued two walks. Kevin Ginkel got the win out of the bullpen. Aaron Nola had a rough outing for the Phillies, giving up three earned runs in five innings of work.
At the plate, Jake McCarthy was the star for the Diamondbacks, going 2/4 with two homers and four RBIs. He scored twice and stole a base. Arizona also got a good game from Corbin Carroll, who went 2/5 with a homer and three RBIs.
Phillies Records & Stats
Philadelphia is on the road today, and they are 69-48 overall, putting them 1st in the NL East. Currently, they lead the Braves by 7.5 games for the top spot in the division. The Phillies have dropped two straight games, and they are 4-6 across their last 10 games.
The Phillies have gone 15-10 against other teams in the NL East. At home, Philadelphia is 38-21 compared to 31-27 on the road. So far, they have been good as the favorite, going 58-36, and they are 11-12 as the underdog this year.
When the Phillies are on the road, they have been a good team to bet on the run line, as they have a 30-28 record. However, they have failed to cover in their last two road games. Overall, Philadelphia has a run line record of 58-59 this season, with an average run margin of +0.8 runs per game.
The Philadelphia Phillies are on the road against the Arizona Diamondbacks today, with the over/under line set at 9 runs. The Phillies have a combined run average of 8.9 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 54-57. When the over/under line is set at 9 runs, their record is 5-10-1. So far this season, only 14.5% of their games have had over/under lines set at 9 runs or higher.
Left-hander Cristopher Sánchez gets the start for the Phillies today as he faces the Diamondbacks on the road. He has made 22 starts this season and has a record of 8-7 with a 3.27 ERA. Sánchez’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.26. In his 22 appearances, he has one complete game shutout and 12 quality starts. Sánchez most recently faced the Dodgers, where he picked up the win, going six innings and giving up just one earned run. Before that outing, he had taken the loss in three straight starts.
Philadelphia comes into today’s game as one of the top offensive teams in the league, averaging 4.8 runs per game, which is 8th in the league. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.3 runs per game. Overall, they are 7th in the league in home runs and have the 6th best team batting average in the league. Not only do they hit for a good average, but they don’t strike out a ton and are one of the best teams in terms of drawing walks.
Kyle Schwarber has been one of the Phillies’ top power threats this season, as he is 7th in the league with 27 home runs. He has been especially hot of late, going 8/20 in his last five games with four homers and nine RBIs. Alec Bohm has also been swinging a hot bat, as he is on a 12-game hitting streak and is batting .298 for the season.
Diamondbacks Records & Stats
The Diamondbacks have taken the first two games of their series vs. the Phillies but dropped the most recent game. Overall, the Diamondbacks are 65-53, putting them 3rd in the NL West. Currently, they trail the Dodgers by 3.5 games in the division.
Arizona has an overall series record of 20-13-4 this season, and they have won seven straight series. At home, the Diamondbacks have won two in a row, and they are 6-11 as the home underdog this year. Arizona’s overall record is 32-27 on the road.
Arizona has been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 61-57 overall. They’ve been especially good on the road, going 34-25. The D-backs have been a good bet as an underdog, going 38-24 on the run line. They have a run line win streak as an underdog of three games.
The Arizona Diamondbacks are playing at home against the Philadelphia Phillies today, and the over/under line for the game is set at 9 runs. The Diamondbacks have a combined run average of 9.9 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 64-49. When the over/under line is set at 9 runs, their record is 14-11-2. So far this season, 17 of their games have had over/under lines set at 9 runs, accounting for 14.4% of their games.
Merrill Kelly is getting the start for the Diamondbacks today as they take on the Phillies. Kelly has been solid in his first two starts of the season, picking up a win in his last outing against the Rockies. He went 6 innings and gave up 2 earned runs. In his first start of the year, he went 5 innings and gave up 1 earned run.
Arizona has been the best offensive team in the league this season, averaging 5.2 runs per game. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.3 runs per game. The Diamondbacks have a team batting average of .260, which is 3rd best in the league. Arizona also has a good team on-base percentage, slugging percentage, and OPS.
Heading into today’s game, Ketel Marte and Christian Walker are the team’s top home run threats, with Marte’s 30 homers being 4th best in the league, and Walker’s 23 homers coming in at 11th. Marte has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going deep six times in his last nine games. During this stretch, he has gone 8/31 (.258) with nine RBIs.
