Baltimore Orioles vs Tampa Bay Rays Betting Pick & Prediction 8/11/24

From Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, we have the Orioles and Rays facing off in an AL East matchup. This one gets started at 1:40 PM ET, and MASN will be televising it.

The Orioles are -109 on the money line compared to the Rays, who are also -109. The over/under line is currently at 8 runs, and Baltimore is looking to keep their two-game winning streak alive. The Rays are 4th in the AL East, while the Orioles are leading the division with a record of 70-48.

TAMPA BAY RAYS VS BALTIMORE ORIOLES BETTING PICK

The Pick: Tampa Bay Rays Moneyline -109

This game will be played at Tropicana Field at 1:40 ET on Sunday, August 11th.

HOW TO BET THE ORIOLES VS RAYS:

• We have the Rays winning by a score of 6 to 5
• If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Rays to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over

Baltimore picked up a 7-5 road win over the Rays in the most recent game of this series. The Orioles had a three-run 1st inning but didn’t score another run until putting up three in the 8th. As for the Rays, they scored all five of their runs in the 5th. Heading into the game, the Orioles were favored at -138 on the money line.

Corbin Burnes started for the Orioles and picked up the win, going six innings and giving up three earned runs. He finished the game with five strikeouts but issued just one walk. On the other side, Drew Rasmussen only went one inning for the Rays and gave up three earned runs on four hits.

Ramon Urias and Jackson Holliday each homered for the Orioles, while Ryan Mountcastle went 3/5 with three RBIs. Adley Rutschman also had a three-hit game at the plate.

Orioles Records & Stats

Baltimore is 70-48 overall this season, putting them 1st in the AL East, just one game ahead of the Yankees. The Orioles have taken the first two games of this series vs. the Rays. So far, they have gone 26-12 in AL East matchups.

As the road team today, the Orioles are 36-23 this season, and they are 34-25 at home. Baltimore has an overall record of 58-38 when favored and 12-10 as the underdog. They have an overall series record of 21-11-4 this year and are 6-4 over their last 10 games overall.

The Orioles have been a good team to bet on the run line this season, as they are 64-54 overall. They have been especially good on the road, where they are 35-24 against the run line. Their average run margin on the road is +1.0, and they have covered the run line in two straight games.

The Orioles have played in 68 games with over/under lines set at 8 or higher, and they have gone over the total in 14 of those contests. Overall, Baltimore has an over/under record of 66-42 this season, and their games have averaged 9.4 runs per game. Today’s over/under line is set at 8 runs.

Right-hander Albert Suárez gets the start for the Orioles today as he faces the Rays on the road. This year, he has made 15 starts and 23 total appearances. Suárez’s record for the season is 5-4, and he comes in with an ERA of 3.66. So far, he has turned in two quality starts and is averaging 7.21 strikeouts per nine innings. Suárez most recently faced the Blue Jays, where he went five innings, giving up six hits and two walks. He didn’t allow a run in that outing. The right-hander has finished with a no-decision in each of his last three outings.

Heading into today’s game, the Orioles are the league’s top-scoring offense at 5.1 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.3 runs per contest. Baltimore’s offense has also been the best in the league in terms of slugging percentage and OPS. So far, they have the most home runs in the league.

Anthony Santander and Gunnar Henderson have been the Orioles’ top power threats this season. Santander’s 34 homers are 3rd in the league, and he is also 12th in the league with 78 RBIs. Henderson is batting .286 for the season and has gone deep 29 times. Jackson Holliday has struggled of late, going just 3/18 in his last five games.

Rays Records & Stats

Tampa Bay is currently at .500 with a record of 58-58, and they are 4th in the AL East, 11 games behind the Orioles for the division lead. The Rays have dropped two straight games, and they are losing the series vs. the Orioles 0-2 heading into today’s game.

This season, the Rays have gone 16-23 in AL East matchups. At home, they are 30-31 compared to 28-27 on the road. As the underdog, the Rays are 28-31 this season, and they have lost two straight as the underdog. Tampa Bay’s overall series record is 20-12-4, and they are 4-6 in their last 10 games overall.

When betting on the run line in Tampa Bay games, the Rays are 58-58 overall, but they have been a better bet on the road, where they are 34-21. They are just 24-37 against the run line at home, and they have failed to cover in their last three home games. They are also just 22-35 against the run line as the favorite.

Today’s over/under line of 8 runs for the Tampa Bay Rays’ game against the Baltimore Orioles is right in line with their season average of 8.3 runs per game. The Rays have played 54 games to the over and 57 games to the under this season. When the over/under line has been set at 8 runs, their record is 13-17-1. So far this season, 37.1% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 8 runs.

Jeffrey Springs is getting the start for the Rays today, and he will be facing the Orioles. This will be his second start of the season, and in his first outing, he took the loss against the Cardinals. Springs went 5 innings, giving up 4 runs on 6 hits, including 2 home runs.

For the season, the Rays are averaging just 3.9 runs per game, which is the worst mark in the league. They are also near the bottom of the league in home runs and batting average. However, the Rays do have a good team on-base percentage and are 8th in the league in walks. Their team isolated power of .141 is 20th in the league.

Brandon Lowe and Jose Siri are both tied for 2nd on the team with 14 homers, and Lowe comes into the game with a batting average of .256. He has gone 8/31 in his last seven games with two homers and eight RBIs. Christopher Morel leads the team with 53 RBIs but is batting just .195 for the season.