Philadelphia Phillies vs Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Pick & Prediction 8/10/24

At 8:10 PM ET, the Phillies and Diamondbacks square off in an NL matchup. This one is being played at Chase Field in Phoenix, and the Phillies are the slight money line favorite, with their odds sitting at -106 compared to the Diamondbacks at -112. The over/under line is currently 8.5 runs.

Philadelphia leads the NL East with a record of 69-47, while the Diamondbacks are 3rd in the NL West at 64-53. Aaron Nola will start for the Phillies, and he is facing off against Zac Gallen. NSPPH will be televising Saturday’s Phillies vs. Diamondbacks matchup.

ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS VS PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES BETTING PICK

The Pick: Arizona Diamondbacks Moneyline -112

This game will be played at Chase Field at 8:10 ET on Saturday, August 10th.

HOW TO BET THE PHILLIES VS DIAMONDBACKS:

• We have the Diamondbacks winning by a score of 6 to 5
• If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Diamondbacks to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over

Philadelphia wasted an excellent outing from Zack Wheeler, as he went six innings and gave up just two runs as the Phillies starter vs. the Diamondbacks. After scoring one run in the first inning, the Diamondbacks were held in check until they broke out for two run in the 7th, picking up a 3-2 win.

Ryne Nelson started for the Diamondbacks and picked up the win, going just 7 1/3 innings and giving up two earned runs. He finished the game with nine strikeouts but issued a costly home run. Justin Martinez came out of the bullpen for the save.

Adrian Del Castillo was the difference for the Diamondbacks’ offense, as he homered, scored three times, and finished with two RBIs. Joc Pederson also went deep for Arizona. Bryce Harper hit a home run for the Phillies, going 1/4.

Phillies Records & Stats

Philadelphia is currently 1st in the NL East with an overall record of 69-47. They hold an 8.0 game lead over the Mets for the division lead. The Phillies are 15-10 against other teams in the NL East this year. So far, they have gone 38-21 at home and 31-26 on the road.

As the favorite, the Phillies have gone 58-36 this year and 21-17 as the favorite on the road. Their overall series record is 20-14-5, and they have dropped three straight series at home. The Phillies are coming off a loss and are just 4-6 in their last 10 games overall.

Philadelphia is 58-58 against the run line this season, with an average run differential of +0.9 runs per game. They have been slightly better on the road, going 30-27 against the run line with a +0.5 run differential. As the favorite, they are 46-48 against the run line, while they are 12-10 as the underdog.

The Philadelphia Phillies are on the road against the Arizona Diamondbacks with today’s over/under line set at 8.5 runs. The Phillies have an over/under record of 53-57 on the season, and their games have averaged 8.8 runs per game. When the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs, their record is 8-13. This season, 33 of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs, accounting for 28.4% of their games.

Right-hander Aaron Nola gets the start for the Phillies today as he faces the Diamondbacks on the road. Nola has made 23 starts this year and has a record of 11-5 with a 3.54 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, Nola has a WHIP of 1.10 and has turned in 15 quality starts this year. Nola’s most recent outing came against the Dodgers, where he took the loss, giving up four earned runs in six innings of work. Before that, he had gone three straight outings without taking the loss. Nola has been hit hard by home runs lately, giving up a homer in three straight starts.

As a team, the Phillies are averaging 4.9 runs per game, which is 8th in the league. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.3 runs per game. Overall, they are the league’s 6th ranked home run hitting team and have the 5th best team batting average in the MLB. Kyle Schwarber has been on a tear of late, going 12/25 in his last six games with five homers and 10 RBIs. This has helped him move into the team lead with 27 homers.

Not only does Schwarber lead the Phillies in homers, but he also has the team’s top on-base percentage, coming in at .389. Alec Bohm is right behind him in terms of OBP and is batting .298 for the season. Bohm also leads the team with 78 RBIs and is on an 11-game hitting streak.

Diamondbacks Records & Stats

Arizona is 64-53 this season, putting them 3rd in the NL West. Currently, they are 3.5 games behind the Dodgers for the division lead. The Diamondbacks are 19-14 in divisional games this year. They have won seven straight series and have an overall series record of 20-13-4 this year.

The Diamondbacks have been playing well lately, going 8-2 over their last ten games. They have been good both at home and on the road, as they are 32-26 at home and 32-27 on the road. Arizona has won three straight games as the underdog.

The Diamondbacks have been a solid run line bet overall this season, going 60-57. They have been better on the road, going 34-25 compared to 26-32 at home. They have been a good bet as the underdog, going 38-24 on the run line, compared to just 22-33 as the favorite. Their average run margin for the season is +0.4 runs per game.

Arizona has been a high-scoring team this season, as evidenced by their combined run average of 9.8 runs per game. Their games have gone over the total in 63 of their 112 games this season, and their games have had an average total of 9 runs. When the total has been set at 8.5 runs, the over has hit in 24 of their 40 games, and 44 of their games have had a total set higher than 8.5 runs.

Zac Gallen will be looking to bounce back from his last outing, where he gave up five earned runs in seven innings of work. In that start vs. the Guardians, he gave up two homers. Before that outing, he had won three straight starts. Gallen has a record of 9-5 this season and an ERA of 3.75. Looking at his home/away splits, he is 6-3 at home with a 3.72 ERA compared to 3-2 on the road with a 4.00 ERA. Opponents are batting .237 off Gallen this season. Per nine innings, he is averaging 8.58 strikeouts and 2.95 walks.

Arizona comes into the game as the top-scoring team in the league, averaging 5.1 runs per game. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.2 runs per game. The Diamondbacks are also one of the league’s top home run-hitting teams, and they have a collective batting average of .258, which is 4th in the MLB right now.

Ketel Marte has been a big run producer for the Diamondbacks this season, as his 80 RBIs are 8th in the league. He also leads the team with 29 home runs and is batting .297 for the season. However, he has gone just 8/34 in his last nine games. Christian Walker is also a big power threat for the Diamondbacks, as he has 23 homers this season and is batting .254.