Baltimore Orioles vs Tampa Bay Rays Betting Pick & Prediction 8/10/24

From Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, we have an AL East matchup between the Orioles and Rays. The Orioles are the division leaders with a record of 69-48, while the Rays are 4th in the AL East at 58-57.

First pitch for this one is set for 7:15 PM ET, and FOX is carrying it on TV. The money line odds have the Orioles at -173 compared to the Rays at +144. Saturday’s pitching matchup is Corbin Burnes for the Orioles and Drew Rasmussen for the Rays.

TAMPA BAY RAYS VS BALTIMORE ORIOLES BETTING PICK

The Pick: Tampa Bay Rays Moneyline +144

This game will be played at Tropicana Field at 7:15 ET on Saturday, August 10th.

HOW TO BET THE ORIOLES VS RAYS:

• We have the Rays winning by a score of 6 to 5
• If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Rays to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over

Baltimore cruised to a 4-1 win over the Rays in the most recent game of this series. The Orioles had a huge 5th inning, scoring all four of their runs. As for the Rays, they scored their only run in the 9th. Heading into the game, the Orioles were favored at -132 on the money line.

Zach Eflin pitched well for the Orioles in this one, going seven innings and striking out seven without giving up a run. He picked up a win in the game, while Zack Littell took the loss for the Rays. Littell went five innings and gave up three earned runs.

Cedric Mullins and Colton Cowser each homered for the Orioles, while Eloy Jimenez went 3/4 with an RBI. Ryan O’Hearn also had a two-hit game and drove in two runs.

Orioles Records & Stats

The Orioles lead the AL East by a half-game over the Yankees and are 69-48 overall. This year, they have gone 25-12 in divisional games, and they are 26-16 as the favorite on the road. Baltimore has gone 34-25 at home this year.

Baltimore has an overall series record of 21-11-4 this year, and they are 6-4 in their last 10 games. So far, they have taken the first game of the series vs. the Rays, who are 60-60 overall.

The Orioles are a solid bet on the run line this season, as they are 63-54 overall. They have been especially good on the road, going 34-24 against the run line. Their average run margin is +0.8 runs per game, and they have been even better on the road, with a scoring margin of +1.0 runs per game.

The Baltimore Orioles are on the road against the Tampa Bay Rays today, and the over/under line for the game is set at 7.5 runs. The Orioles have an over/under record of 65-42 this season, and their games have had an average combined run total of 9.4. When the over/under line has been set at 7.5 runs, their record is 6-6. Overall, 77.8% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 7.5 runs.

Corbin Burnes gets the start for the Orioles today as he faces the Rays on the road. He has made 23 starts this year and has a record of 12-4 with an ERA of 2.63. Burnes’ WHIP for the season is currently 1.06. In his last outing, he gave up four earned runs in five innings of work, coming away with the win. Before that, he had picked up the win in three straight outings. Burnes has been strong on the road, coming in with a record of 6-2 and 3.33 ERA compared to 6-2 with a 2.15 ERA at home.

One of the most impressive things about the Orioles offense is that they are not only the league’s top home run hitting team, but they also have the best isolated power mark in the league. As a team, they are averaging 5.1 runs per game, and they have been even better on the road, averaging 5.3 runs per contest. Overall, they are the league’s 3rd highest-scoring offense.

Anthony Santander has been the Orioles’ top power threat this season, as his 34 home runs are 3rd in the league and the most on the team. Gunnar Henderson has been a solid all-around hitter for the Orioles, batting .283 with 29 homers and 69 RBIs. Eloy Jimenez has been on fire of late, going 11/20 in his last six games, while Jackson Holliday has three homers in his last seven games. Ryan Mountcastle comes into the game on a five-game hitting streak.

Rays Records & Stats

The Rays are 58-57 overall, putting them 4th in the AL East, 10 games behind the Orioles for the division lead. So far, they have gone just 16-22 in AL East matchups. Tampa Bay is looking to bounce back after dropping the first game of their series vs. the Orioles.

At home, the Rays are 30-30 this season compared to 28-27 on the road. As the favorite, Tampa Bay has gone 30-27 and 28-30 as the underdog. They have dropped two straight at home, and their overall series record is 20-12-4. Heading into today’s game, they are 5-5 in their last 10.

Despite a losing run line record at home, the Rays have been a profitable run line bet on the road, where they are 34-21. They have been an underdog in 58 games and have covered the run line in 36 of them. The average run margin in their wins is +2.8, while it is -3.7 in their losses.

Today’s over/under line for the Tampa Bay Rays’ game against the Baltimore Orioles is set at 7.5 runs. The combined run average for Rays games this season is 8.3 runs, and their over/under record is 53-57. The average over/under line for their games is 8 runs, and when the line is set at 7.5 runs, their record is 17-18. Overall, 64.3% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 7.5 runs, with just 5.2% of their games having lower lines.

Getting the start for the Rays today is Drew Rasmussen, who is making his first start of the season. Rasmussen has made one appearance out of the bullpen so far this year, going 2 innings and striking out 3 against the Cardinals.

Heading into today’s game, the Rays are 28th in the league in runs per game, averaging just 3.9 runs per contest. They are also near the bottom of the league in home runs and have a team batting average of just .234. One bright spot for the Rays is that they are 8th in the league in walks and have a team on-base percentage of .312.

Christopher Morel has been a big power threat for the Rays this season, leading the team with 20 homers, but he is batting just .194. Yandy Diaz is the team’s top hitter, with a batting average of .272 and 10 homers. Over his last seven games, Brandon Lowe has gone 8/30 with two homers and eight RBIs.