Milwaukee Brewers vs Atlanta Braves Betting Pick & Prediction 8/6/24

At 7:20 PM ET, the Braves and Brewers will face off in an NL matchup. Tuesday’s matchup is taking place at Truist Park in Atlanta, and the Braves are favored on the money line (-138). The money line odds for the Brewers are at +117, and they are currently on a two-game losing streak.

The over/under line is currently at 9 runs, and Colin Rea is slated to start for the Brewers, while the Braves are sending Bryce Elder to the mound.

ATLANTA BRAVES VS MILWAUKEE BREWERS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Atlanta Braves Moneyline -138

This game will be played at Truist Park at 7:20 ET on Tuesday, August 6th.

HOW TO BET THE BREWERS VS BRAVES:

• We have the Braves winning by a score of 6 to 4
• If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Braves to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 10 runs and like the over

Brewers Records & Stats

The Brewers will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Nationals with a 4-3 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 8th inning before the Nationals scored three runs in the bottom of the 8th. Milwaukee was the -126 favorite on the money line going into the game.

Tobias Myers got the start for the Brewers and took the loss. He pitched five innings, giving up just one earned run while striking out two. The Brewers’ offense was carried by Gary Sanchez, who went 1/3 with a homer and two RBIs.

Milwaukee is 62-49 overall, putting them 1st in the NL Central heading into today’s road matchup vs. the Braves. They hold a six-game lead over the Pirates for the division lead. The Brewers dropped the final two games of their series vs. the Nationals.

As the road team, the Brewers are 31-28 this season compared to 31-21 at home. Milwaukee’s overall series record is 19-14-3, and they have dropped three straight series at home. When playing as the underdog on the road, the Brewers are 20-15 this season.

When betting the run line, the Brewers have been a better play on the road, where they are 32-27. Their average run margin is 0.7 runs per game, and they have covered the run line in 57 of their 111 games. They have been a better play as an underdog, going 32-16 against the run line in those games.

When the Milwaukee Brewers are on the road this season, the over/under line has been set at 9 runs just 13 times (9.9% of their games). The over/under record for those games is 5-6-2. The Brewers’ games have averaged 8.7 runs per game this season, and their overall over/under record is 60-46. Their games have averaged 8 runs per game this season, and 78.4% of their games have had over/under lines set at fewer than 9 runs.

Milwaukee is sending Colin Rea to the mound today vs. the Braves, and he comes in with a record of 9-3 and an ERA of 3.59. Rea has made 18 starts this year and has turned in six quality starts. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, going 5 1/3 innings and giving up two earned runs on six hits. Rea has finished with a no-decision in each of his last three outings. Before that, he had won three straight starts. Opponents are batting .226 off Rea this season.

For the season, the Brewers are averaging 4.7 runs per game, which is 10th in the league. As a team, they are batting .254, which is the 5th best mark in the MLB right now. Milwaukee has also been very good at getting on base, as they have the 3rd best on-base percentage in the league. They have been even better in terms of batting average on balls in play, coming in 2nd in the league in this category.

Rhys Hoskins has been one of the Brewers’ top power threats this season, as his 19 homers are the best mark on the team and 12th in the league. He is also on a 10-game hitting streak, going 10/36 with four homers in this stretch. William Contreras and Willy Adames have also been key run producers, as Contreras has 59 RBIs and Adames is 10th in the league with 71 RBIs.

Braves Records & Stats

Heading into their last game vs. the Marlins, the Braves closed out the series with a 7-0 loss. This was especially tough, as they were the heavy favorite at -257. Offensively, the Braves only had six hits but didn’t score a run. Austin Riley was hot at the plate, going 3/4 with a double. However, the Braves couldn’t get him home.

Max Fried got the start for the Braves and took the loss. He only lasted 3 1/3 innings, giving up five earned runs. The Braves also issued five walks and hit a batter. Overall, it was just a bad day for the Braves.

With an overall record of 60-51, the Braves are 5.5 games behind the Phillies for the NL East lead. Atlanta lost the final two games of their series vs. the Marlins and are 18-16 in divisional matchups this year. So far, they have been good at home, going 32-23, and they are at an even 28-28 on the road.

Atlanta has gone 53-40 as the favorite this year and 7-11 as the underdog. Their overall series record is 19-13-5 coming into today’s series opener vs. the Brewers. At home, the Braves have gone 32-22 as the favorite this year.

The Braves have been a solid run line bet at home this season, going 23-32. Their average run margin at home is just 0.3, and they have been favored in 93 of their games. They are 42-51 against the run line as the favorite. They have a losing streak against the run line at home, failing to cover in their last two games.

The Braves have been playing in high-scoring games this season, with a combined run average of 7.9 runs per game. Their over/under record is 39-67, and when the line is set at 9 runs, they are 8-14-3. The over/under line for today’s game is set at 9 runs, and the under has hit in their last four games.

Right-hander Bryce Elder gets the start for the Braves today as he faces off against the Brewers. So far this season, he has made nine starts and three of them have been quality starts. Elder’s record for the season is 2-4, and he is coming off a performance in which he pitched well. In that outing, he went 6 1/3 innings, giving up just one earned run. He finished with seven strikeouts in that appearance. Per nine innings, Elder is averaging 7.83 strikeouts and 2.93 walks. This year, he has allowed a total of six homers. His ERA for the season is 5.67, along with a WHIP of 1.54.

Marcell Ozuna has been one of the league’s top power hitters this season, as his 32 home runs are 3rd in the MLB. He also comes into the game with a batting average of .300 and 86 RBIs, which is also 3rd in the league. Matt Olson has also been a solid power threat for the Braves, as he has 18 homers and 53 RBIs, but his batting average is just .226.

Atlanta’s offense is averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 20th in the league. They have been a good home run hitting team this season, but are batting just .239 as a team. Over the past 10 games, Austin Riley has gone 12/42 with two homers and seven RBIs, while Matt Olson has five homers in this stretch, but is batting just .229.