San Diego Padres vs Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Pick & Prediction 8/6/24

There does appear to be a chance of rain in Pittsburgh on Tuesday, where the forecasted temperature is 89 degrees. The Padres and Pirates are set to face off at 6:40 PM ET from PNC Park in Pittsburgh, and the Padres are favored on the money line (-170). The money line odds have the Pirates at +143, and the over/under line is currently 8 runs.

San Diego will be looking to extend their two-game winning streak, as they are 61-52 overall and are 3rd in the NL West. The Pirates are 3rd in the NL Central with a record of 56-55. Bailey Falter is starting for the Pirates, and he is facing off against Dylan Cease for the Padres. SN PT will be televising this NL matchup.

SAN DIEGO PADRES VS PITTSBURGH PIRATES BETTING PICK

The Pick: San Diego Padres Moneyline -170

This game will be played at PNC Park at 6:40 ET on Tuesday, August 6th.

HOW TO BET THE PADRES VS PIRATES:

• We have the Padres winning by a score of 6 to 5
• However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Pirates to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over

Padres Records & Stats

The Padres’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Rockies, closing out their series with a 10-2 win. After allowing one run to the Rockies in the top of the 4th, the Padres responded with three runs of their own. San Diego went on to add another seven runs in the 6th inning!

Matt Waldron put together a good start for the Padres, going 5 2/3 innings, and giving up just one earned run, and picking up the win. San Diego’s offense was carried by Jurickson Profar, who went 2/4 with a homer and three RBIs.

San Diego is 61-52 overall and is 5.0 games behind the Dodgers for the NL West lead. The Padres will be on the road today to take on the Pirates, and they are 19-18 in division games this year. They have won two straight games and closed out their series vs. the Rockies with a win.

At home, the Padres are just above .500 at 30-29 this season. On the road, they are 31-23, which is the fourth-best road record in the National League. San Diego has won five straight series and has an overall series record of 22-13-3 this year.

San Diego has been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 60-53 overall. They have been especially good on the run line on the road, going 38-16. The Padres have an average run margin of 0.4 runs per game this season, with a scoring margin of 1.1 runs per game on the road. They have been a much better bet on the run line as the underdog, going 33-15 this season.

San Diego’s games have averaged 8.9 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 60-52. Their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs, and when the line has been set at 8 runs, their over/under record is 9-10-1. 41.6% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8 runs, while 40.7% have had lower lines.

Dylan Cease has been pitching well for the Padres, coming into the game with a record of 11-8 and an ERA of 3.42. He has made 23 starts this year and has pitched well on the road, going 6-3 with a 4.99 ERA. Cease’s ERA at home is 3.29. Cease has made 13 quality starts this year and has a shutout and complete game to his name. In his last outing, Cease went 5 2/3 innings, giving up one earned run and getting the win. He has won his last three starts.

San Diego comes into today’s game as the top hitting team in the league, with a team batting average of .264. They also have the fewest strikeouts in the league and are 1st in on-base percentage. The Padres are also among the league leaders in home runs, and they have been even better on the road, averaging 4.9 runs per game.

Jurickson Profar and Manny Machado have been two of the Padres’ top power threats this season, and both have been red hot of late. Over their last 10 games, Profar and Machado have both gone deep four times, with Machado hitting .366 in that stretch, and Profar is hitting .316. Machado also comes into the game on a seven-game hitting streak.

Pirates Records & Stats

The Pirates will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Diamondbacks with a 6-5 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 9th inning before the Diamondbacks scored three runs in the top of the 9th. Pittsburgh was the -164 favorite at home going into the game.

Paul Skenes got the start for the Pirates, going 5 1/3 innings, and took the loss. He pitched well for most of the game, giving up just two earned runs and striking out four. However, the Pirates couldn’t close things out, and Colin Holderman took the loss out of the bullpen. The Pirates also wasted a big game from Yasmani Grandal, who went 3/4 with a double, a run scored, and an RBI.

Pittsburgh is 56-55 overall, putting them six games behind the Brewers for the NL Central lead. The Pirates will host the Padres today, and they are 27-28 at home this season. So far, they have gone 17-15 in divisional games.

The Pirates are coming off a series loss to the Diamondbacks, dropping two of three games. At home, the Pirates have lost two straight games as the underdog. This season, they are 32-34 as the underdog overall. As the favorite, Pittsburgh is 24-21 and 16-15-5 in series this year.

Despite a run differential of exactly zero, the Pirates have been a profitable team to back on the run line this season, boasting a record of 63-48. They have been particularly strong on the road, where they are 35-21 against the run line. They have been a solid bet as the underdog, going 46-20 against the run line in those games. Their average run differential in wins is +3.2, while it drops to -3.4 in losses.

The Pirates have an over/under record of 52-58 this season, with an average line of 8 runs per game. When the line is set at 8 runs, they have gone 11-13. In 58 games this year, the over/under line has been set higher than 8 runs, which accounts for 52.3% of their games. Their combined run average this season is 8.5 runs per game.

Bailey Falter gets the start for the Pirates today and is coming off a solid outing vs. the Astros in which he picked up the win. In that start, he went 5 1/3 innings and gave up just one earned run. Looking back at his last four starts, Falter has alternated between wins and losses. His overall record is 5-7, and he has an ERA of 3.95. Opposing batters are hitting .241 off the left-hander this season. Falter has made seven quality starts this year and is averaging 6.02 strikeouts per nine innings.

Over his last 10 games, Joey Bart has been swinging a hot bat for the Pirates, going 11/34 with two homers and seven RBIs. Overall, he is batting .324 in this stretch. Bryan Reynolds is also on a three-game hitting streak and comes into the game with a team-high 19 homers and 66 RBIs, which is 14th in the league. Reynolds is also batting .289 for the season.

As a team, the Pirates are averaging 4.2 runs per game and have been better on the road (4.4 RPG) than at home (4.0 RPG). They are 23rd in home runs and have a team batting average of just .233, which is 17th in the MLB. So far, they have been a below-average offense in terms of on-base percentage, slugging, and OPS.