Arizona Diamondbacks vs Cleveland Guardians Betting Pick & Prediction 8/6/24

There appears to be a chance for light rain in Cleveland on Tuesday, where the Guardians and Diamondbacks will face off at Progressive Field. The Guardians are favored on the money line (-116), while the Diamondbacks have a money line payout of -103. The over/under line is currently at 8 runs.

First pitch for this interleague matchup is set for 6:40 PM ET, and the game will be televised on BSGL. Ben Lively is starting for the Guardians, and they are looking to snap a three-game losing streak. Arizona will be sending Eduardo Rodriguez to the mound, and they are 2nd in the NL West with a record of 61-52.

CLEVELAND GUARDIANS VS ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Cleveland Guardians Moneyline -116

This game will be played at Progressive Field at 6:40 ET on Tuesday, August 6th.

HOW TO BET THE DIAMONDBACKS VS GUARDIANS:

• We have the Guardians winning by a score of 6 to 5
• If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Guardians to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over

It was a back-and-forth game in the most recent game of this Diamondbacks vs. Guardians series. Arizona went into the matchup as slight favorites at -120 and squeaked out a 7-6 win. The Diamondbacks had to rally late, as the Guardians scored one run in the 9th but fell short with Emmanuel Clase on the mound.

Logan Allen got the start for Cleveland and went five innings while giving up two runs and striking out two. Ryan Thompson got the win for the Diamondbacks out of the bullpen, and Justin Martinez got the save. Zac Gallen had a rough outing for Arizona, giving up five earned runs in seven innings of work.

Offensively, the Diamondbacks were led by Gabriel Moreno, Joc Pederson, and Josh Bell, as they were the only three Arizona hitters to have more than one hit. Moreno and Pederson each homered, while Bell scored two runs and drove in a run.

Diamondbacks Records & Stats

Arizona is 61-52 overall this season, and they are 5.0 games behind the Dodgers in the NL West. The Diamondbacks have won two straight games, and they are 8-2 over their last 10 games, which includes taking the first game of this series vs. the Guardians. In the NL West, the Diamondbacks are 19-14 when playing against other teams in the division.

As the road team today, the Diamondbacks are 30-27 this season, and they have gone 31-25 at home. Arizona has won five straight games as the favorite, and they are 33-20 overall when favored. They have also been good in series, as they are 19-13-4 overall and have won six straight series.

When betting the run line on the Diamondbacks, it’s best to do so on the road, as they are 32-25 against the run line away from home. They have an average run margin of 0.4 runs per game, and their average scoring margin is 0.5 runs per game on the road compared to 0.3 runs per game at home. They are 36-24 against the run line as an underdog, compared to 21-32 as a favorite.

Arizona’s games have averaged 9.9 runs per game this season, and the over/under record is 62-48. When the line is set at 8 runs, the over/under record is 10-4-1. The over has hit in 71.7% of their games this season, and they are currently on a two-game over streak.

Coming off a season in which he went 13-9, Eduardo Rodriguez will be making his first start of the season for the Diamondbacks. Last year, Rodriguez made 26 starts and finished with an ERA of 3.30. In terms of quality starts, he had 14, and his record against the Guardians was 4-0. In terms of his overall numbers, Rodriguez finished the season with a WHIP of 1.15 and an OPS allowed of .636. His ERA against the Guardians was 0.38, and he finished the season with 15 home runs allowed.

Arizona has been one of the league’s top offenses this season, averaging 5.2 runs per game, which is the 2nd best mark in the MLB. They have been even better at home, also averaging 5.2 runs per game. The Diamondbacks have the league’s 2nd best team batting average at .258 and have the 6th best slugging percentage in the league. Arizona also has the 4th best on-base percentage in the league.

Ketel Marte has been the Diamondbacks’ top hitter this season, batting .300 with a team-high 28 homers and 78 RBIs. He has also been hot of late, going 6/23 in his last five games with four homers. Marte is also on a seven-game hitting streak. Christian Walker is 2nd on the team with 23 homers and 71 RBIs.

Guardians Records & Stats

Cleveland is 67-45 overall this season, putting them 1st in the AL Central, 3.5 games ahead of the Twins. They have dropped three straight games, with the most recent loss coming in the first game of this series vs. the Diamondbacks. The Guardians are 19-15 against other AL Central teams this year.

At home, the Guardians are 35-18 this season, and they have gone 32-27 on the road. This year, Cleveland is 48-23 as the favorite and 19-22 as the underdog. So far, they are 4-5 as the underdog at home, and their overall series record is 22-10-4.

At home, the Guardians have a run line record of 25-28, and their average run margin in those games is +0.8 runs per game. They are 32-39 against the run line as the favorite and 24-17 as the underdog. Their average run margin in winning games is +3.4 runs per game, while in losing games, it is -3.2 runs per game.

Today’s over/under line for the Cleveland Guardians’ game against the Arizona Diamondbacks is set at 8 runs. The Guardians’ games have averaged 8.6 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 55-51. When the line has been set at 8 runs, their over/under record is 9-9-2. Cleveland has played 53 games with over/under lines set higher than 8 runs, which accounts for 47.3% of their games. They have played 39 games with over/under lines set lower than 8 runs.

Ben Lively gets the start for the Guardians today and will be looking to build off his last outing, where he picked up the win. Against the Orioles on August 1st, he went six innings, giving up just two earned runs. Looking at his overall numbers, Lively has made 19 starts and has a record of 10-6. His ERA for the season is 3.42, along with a WHIP of 1.15. Opposing batters are hitting .226 off the right-hander this season. Lively has turned in seven quality starts and is averaging 7.69 strikeouts per nine innings.

As a team, the Guardians are averaging 4.7 runs per game, which is 11th in the league. At home, they have been even better, putting up 4.9 runs per contest. So far, they have been a good home run hitting team, as they are 14th in the league in homers. Overall, they are batting .242, which is 11th in the league.

José Ramírez has been on a tear of late, going 13/30 in his last eight games with five homers and 12 RBIs. For the season, he is batting .282 with 29 homers and 94 RBIs. His 94 RBIs are 2nd in the league. Ramírez is also on a three-game hitting streak. Josh Naylor has also been a key power bat in the lineup, as he is 7th in the league with 24 homers.