Baltimore Orioles vs Cleveland Guardians Betting Pick & Prediction 8/3/24

From Progressive Field in Cleveland, we have the Orioles and Guardians facing off in an AL matchup. This one gets started at 7:15 PM ET and will be televised on FOX. The Guardians are on a five-game winning streak and are 1st in the AL Central, while the Orioles have lost two straight and are 1st in the AL East.

Baltimore is currently favored on the money line, with their odds sitting at -131 compared to the Guardians at +111. Saturday’s forecast in Cleveland calls for light rain and temperatures in the mid-70s. Zach Eflin is starting for the Orioles, and he will be facing off against Joey Cantillo.

CLEVELAND GUARDIANS VS BALTIMORE ORIOLES BETTING PICK

The Pick: Cleveland Guardians Moneyline +111

This game will be played at Progressive Field at 7:15 ET on Saturday, August 3rd.

HOW TO BET THE ORIOLES VS GUARDIANS:

• We have the Guardians winning by a score of 6 to 4
• If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Guardians to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 10 runs and like the over

The most recent game o of this Orioles and Guardians series came right down to the end, as the Orioles rallied late but still fell short with the Guardians winning 8-4 at home. Heading into the game, the Guardians were at -101 on the money line.

Cleveland’s offense was led by a big game from Josh Naylor, who went 3/4 with two RBIs. Brayan Rocchio and Austin Hedges each drove in two for the Guardians’ offense.

On the other side, Jackson Holliday went 2/3 with an RBI for the Orioles. Baltimore’s offense struggled overall, striking out 13 times and going 0/4 with runners in scoring position.

Orioles Records & Stats

The Orioles are currently 1st in the AL East, sharing the division lead with the Yankees. Overall, the Orioles have a record of 65-46, but they have dropped two straight games heading into today’s matchup at the Guardians. These two losses have come in the first two games of this series vs. the Guardians.

At home, the Orioles have gone 34-25 this season, and they are 31-21 on the road. So far, they have really thrived as the favorite, going 53-36, and they are 12-10 when the underdog. As for their overall series record, the Orioles are 22-10-3 this year, and they are 5-5 over their last 10 games.

When the Orioles are on the road, they have been a solid bet to cover the run line, going 30-22 on the season. They have a run differential of +0.9 runs per game on the road, which is slightly better than their overall run differential of +0.7 runs per game. However, they have failed to cover the run line in their last five road games.

The Orioles are playing the Guardians in Cleveland today. The O/U line is set at 9, which is higher than their average line of 8 this season. The O/U record for their games this season is 61-40, and they have gone over the line in 13 of the 27 games where the line was set at 9 runs. Their combined run average is 9.4 runs per game, and they have gone over the line in three straight games.

Zach Eflin will be looking to build off his last outing, where he faced the Blue Jays and picked up the win. In that July 29th start, he went 6 innings and gave up 3 earned runs. Looking at his overall numbers, Eflin has made 20 starts and has a record of 6-7. His ERA for the season is 4.11, along with a WHIP of 1.19. Opposing batters are hitting .265 off Eflin this year. The right-hander has turned in seven quality starts and is averaging 7.29 strikeouts per nine innings.

Not only do the Orioles lead the league in home runs this season, but they are also the top team in terms of slugging percentage and isolated power. As a team, they are averaging 5 runs per game, which is 3rd in the league. Baltimore’s offense has been even better on the road, averaging 5.2 runs per contest. Heading into the game, they have the league’s 2nd best OPS.

Anthony Santander has been a big power threat for the Orioles this season, as his 32 homers are the most on the team and 3rd in the league. He is also 7th in the league with 75 RBIs. Santander has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 8/29 in his last 8 games with three homers. Colton Cowser is also swinging a hot bat, going 12/33 in his last 8 games.

Guardians Records & Stats

Cleveland is hosting the Orioles today with an overall record of 67-42, which has them leading the AL Central by six games over the Royals. The Guardians have won five straight games, and they are 8-2 over their last 10 games overall. So far, they are 19-15 in divisional matchups.

At home, the Guardians are 35-15 this year and 32-27 on the road. As the favorite, Cleveland has gone 48-23 this year, and they are an even 19-19 when listed as the underdog. Cleveland has won two straight games as the underdog, and their overall series record is 22-10-3. This includes having won two straight series.

When playing at home, the Cleveland Guardians have a run line record of 24-26, and their average run margin in those games is 1.1. Their overall run line record is 55-54, and they have a run line record of 32-39 as the favorite and 23-15 as the underdog. Their average run margin in winning games is 3.4, while their average run margin in losing games is -3.2. They have covered the run line in two straight games and are 2-0 against the run line as the underdog in those games.

The Cleveland Guardians have an over/under record of 52-51 this season, and their games have averaged 8.5 runs per game. When the over/under line is set at 9 runs, their record is 7-9-2. The over has hit in their last two games, and only 5.5% of their games this season have had over/under lines set at 9 runs.

Joey Cantillo is getting the start for the Cleveland Guardians at home against the Baltimore Orioles. Cantillo’s first start of the season came on the road against the Phillies, and he went 3 1/3 innings, giving up 3 earned runs on 4 hits and 3 walks.

Jose Ramirez and Josh Naylor have been the driving forces behind the Guardians’ offense this season, as Ramirez’s 91 RBIs are 2nd in the MLB, and Naylor’s 77 RBIs are 6th. Ramirez is also 5th in the league with 28 home runs, while Naylor has gone deep 23 times. Over his last five games, Ramirez is batting .412 with four homers, and Naylor is 8/15 in his last four games.

As a team, the Guardians are averaging 4.7 runs per game and have been slightly better at home, where they are averaging 4.9 runs per contest. Overall, their team batting average is .242, and they are 12th in the league in home runs. Cleveland comes into the game as one of the league’s best teams at avoiding strikeouts, but they have been below average in terms of drawing walks.