Atlanta Braves vs Milwaukee Brewers Betting Pick & Prediction 7/31/24

Wednesday’s Braves vs. Brewers game has a first pitch set for 2:10 PM ET from American Family Field in Milwaukee. The Braves are 57-49 and 2nd in the NL East, while the Brewers lead the NL Central with a record of 61-46.

Chris Sale will start for the Braves, while the Brewers are sending Freddy Peralta to the mound. Atlanta is favored on the money line, and the over/under line is currently at 7 runs. BSWI will be televising this NL matchup.

MILWAUKEE BREWERS VS ATLANTA BRAVES BETTING PICK

The Pick: Milwaukee Brewers Moneyline +110

This game will be played at American Family Field at 2:10 ET on Wednesday, July 31st.

HOW TO BET THE BRAVES VS BREWERS:

• We have the Brewers winning by a score of 5 to 4
• If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Brewers to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over

Atlanta cruised to a 5-1 win over the Brewers in the most recent game of this series. The Braves had a huge 3rd inning, scoring four of their five runs. As for the Brewers, they scored their only run in the 7th. Heading into the game, the Braves were the slight favorites at -107.

Bryce Elder started for the Braves and picked up the win, going 6 1/3 innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with seven strikeouts but issued one walk. On the other side, Joe Ross got the start for the Brewers and took the loss, giving up five earned runs in five innings of work.

Offensively, the Braves were led by Jarred Kelenic and Austin Riley, as they were the only two Braves hitters to have more than one hit. Kelenic, Riley, and Eddie Rosario each had two RBIs for Atlanta’s offense.

Braves Records & Stats

With a record of 57-49, the Braves are 7.5 games behind the Phillies for the NL East lead. They will be playing on the road today vs. the Brewers, and the Braves are 27-28 on the road this year. At home, the Braves have gone 30-21 this season. The Braves really need to pick up a win today, having gone just 3-7 over their last 10 games.

As the favorite, the Braves have gone 50-38 this year and 20-18 as the favorite on the road. Atlanta has dropped four straight as the favorite, and their overall series record is 18-13-4. The Braves are also 7-11 as the underdog this year.

When it comes to the run line, the Braves have been a tough team to bet on this season, as they are just 48-58 overall. They have been slightly better on the road, going 27-28 against the run line, compared to 21-30 at home. They have been favored in 88 games this season, going 39-49 against the run line in those games.

The Braves are on the road today against the Brewers, and the O/U line is set at 7 runs. The combined run average for Braves games this season is 8.0 runs, and their O/U record is 38-63. The average O/U line for their games is 8 runs, and when the line is set at 7 runs, their O/U record is 2-4. In 94.3% of their games this season, the O/U line has been set at more than 7 runs.

The Braves are sending left-hander Chris Sale to the mound today as he faces the Brewers on the road. Sale has made 19 starts this season and has a record of 13-3 to go along with a 2.69 ERA. In his 19 appearances, he has turned in 11 quality starts and is coming off an outing in which he didn’t allow a run. Against the Mets on July 25th, Sale went 7 1/3 innings, giving up two earned runs, and finished with nine strikeouts. Sale has been especially tough on left-handed hitters this season, holding them to a .191 batting average.

Marcell Ozuna has been one of the league’s top power hitters this season, as his 31 homers are 3rd in the league and leads the Braves. His 84 RBIs are also 3rd in the MLB. Ozuna is also on a five-game hitting streak and has three homers in his last six games. Over this stretch, he is batting .273.

First baseman Matt Olson is 2nd on the Braves with 15 homers this season, but he is batting just .223. However, he has gone deep once in his last six games. Austin Riley has also homered in his last six games while batting .308.

Brewers Records & Stats

Milwaukee is hosting the Braves today with an overall record of 61-46, which has them leading the NL Central by six games over the Cardinals. So far, they have gone 23-13 in divisional games. The Brewers have won four straight games as the underdog, and they are 26-21 as the underdog overall.

The Brewers have an overall series record of 19-12-3 this season, and they have won two straight series on the road. At home, they are 6-6 as the underdog this season. Milwaukee is 6-4 across their last ten games and are 31-20 at home this year.

When the Brewers win, they win big, with an average run margin of 3.5 runs per victory. They are 56-51 on the run line this season, including a 25-26 mark at home. They have covered the run line in six straight games as the underdog, where they are 32-15 overall.

When the Milwaukee Brewers play at home, the over/under line is usually set higher than 7 runs. In fact, 95.3% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 7 runs. Their games have averaged 8.7 runs per game, and the over/under record for the season is 57-45. However, when the line is set at 7 runs, the under has hit in two of the three games.

Freddy Peralta will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing as he gets the start for the Brewers today. Against the Marlins on July 26th, he took the loss, giving up three earned runs in 5 1/3 innings of work. Looking at his overall numbers, Peralta has a record of 6-6 and an ERA of 3.94. Opponents have hit .213 off the right-hander this season. Peralta has made eight quality starts this year and is averaging 11.18 strikeouts per nine innings. In total, he has 142 strikeouts, which ranks eighth in the majors.

William Contreras and Willy Adames have been the Brewers’ top power threats this season, as Adames’ 17 homers is 2nd on the team and Rhys Hoskins has a team-high 18 homers. Adames’ 71 RBIs is 8th in the league and the top mark on the Brewers. Contreras has been a solid all-around hitter, batting .282 with 11 homers and 57 RBIs.

Rhys Hoskins has been on a tear of late, going 8/27 with four homers over his last nine games. For this stretch, he has driven in nine runs. Jackson Chourio has also been swinging a hot bat, going 11/31 over his last eight games. Hoskins also comes into the game on a six-game hitting streak.