Washington Nationals vs Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Pick & Prediction 7/29/24

The Nationals and Diamondbacks will face off in an NL matchup at 9:40 PM ET at Chase Field in Phoenix. Washington is 49-57 overall and 4th in the NL East, while the Diamondbacks are 3rd in the NL West with an overall record of 55-51.

Monday’s money line odds have the Diamondbacks favored at -171, while the Nationals are sitting at +143. The over/under line is currently at 9 runs, and this game will be televised on MASN.

ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS VS WASHINGTON NATIONALS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Arizona Diamondbacks Moneyline -171

This game will be played at Chase Field at 9:40 ET on Monday, July 29th.

HOW TO BET THE NATIONALS VS DIAMONDBACKS:

• We have the Diamondbacks winning by a score of 6 to 5
• However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Nationals to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over

Nationals Records & Stats

The Nationals will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Cardinals with a 4-3 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 9th inning before the Cardinals scored a run in the bottom of the 9th to pick up the win. Washington was the +127 underdog on the road going into this game.

DJ Herz was excellent for the Nationals, going five innings and giving up just two runs on three hits. He also issued only one walk and struck out eight Cardinals batters. However, the Nationals couldn’t close things out, and Dylan Floro took the loss out of the bullpen. The Nationals also wasted a big game from Jacob Young, who went 2/4 with a double, two RBIs, and a run scored.

Heading into today’s road matchup vs. the Diamondbacks, the Nationals are 49-57 overall, putting them 4th in the NL East. They trail the Phillies by 16.5 games for the division lead and are 10.0 games out of a Wild Card spot. Washington’s record in the NL East is 16-15 this season.

Washington has gone 5-5 across their last 10 games and closed out their series vs. the Cardinals with a win. As the road team, the Nationals are 26-30 this year compared to 23-27 at home. So far, they have been the underdog in most of their games, where they have gone 39-48. As for their favorite record, they are 10-9 this year.

Washington has been a profitable run line bet this season, going 60-46 overall. They have been particularly strong on the road, going 33-23 on the run line. Their average run margin is -0.3 runs per game, but they have been able to cover the run line in three straight games and are 51-36 as an underdog this season.

Washington has played to an over/under record of 51-51 this season, with an average combined run total of 8.8. When the line is set at 9 runs, they are 7-9-2. Overall, 69 of their games have had lower lines than 9 runs, which accounts for 65.1% of their games.

Washington is starting left-hander Mitchell Parker today, and he comes in with a record of 5-6 and an ERA of 4.34. Looking at his overall numbers, Parker has made 18 starts, and opponents are batting .242 this year. Parker’s WHIP for the season is 1.21. In his last outing, Parker took the loss, giving up six earned runs in three innings of work. Before that, he had given up just one earned run in two straight outings. Parker has a 10.24 ERA on the road compared to 4.82 at home.

Washington’s offense is averaging 4.2 runs per game this season, which is 18th in the league. They have been better on the road, averaging 4.3 runs per contest. As a team, the Nationals are batting .240, and their team on-base percentage of .309 is 15th in the league. Washington has the worst team home run total in the league, and their slugging percentage and OPS are both near the bottom of the league rankings.

CJ Abrams has been the Nationals’ top power threat this season, as he has 15 home runs and 51 RBIs, both of which are the best marks on the team. Abrams is batting .256 this season, and Luis Garcia Jr. is hitting .276 for Washington. Over his last six games, Juan Yepez has gone 8/23 with one home run and eight RBIs.

Diamondbacks Records & Stats

The Diamondbacks will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Pirates with a 6-5 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 10th inning before the Pirates scored four runs in the top of the 10th. Arizona was the -116 favorite at home going into the game.

Offensively, the Diamondbacks only had five hits but scored five runs thanks to a big 2nd inning. Eugenio Suarez was hot right out of the gates, going 1/2 with a homer and three RBIs in the 2nd. However, the Diamondbacks couldn’t close things out, and Justin Martinez took the loss out of the bullpen. The Diamondbacks also wasted a good start from Yilber Diaz, who went five innings without giving up a run.

Arizona is 55-51 overall and 3rd in the NL West, trailing the Dodgers by 7.5 games. So far, they have gone 19-14 in divisional games. The Diamondbacks are at home today, hosting the Nationals, and they are 28-25 at home this season.

The Diamondbacks have an overall record of 17-13-4 in series this year, and they have won four straight series. This season, Arizona is 28-20 as the favorite and 27-31 as the underdog. They closed out their series vs. the Pirates with a win and are 6-4 across their last ten games.

Arizona has been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 55-51 overall. The Diamondbacks have been especially good on the run line on the road, going 31-22. They have been a little less successful at home, going 24-29. They have been a better bet on the run line as the underdog, going 35-23, compared to 20-28 as the favorite.

The Diamondbacks have been involved in high-scoring games this season, as their combined run average is 9.7 runs per game. Their over/under record is 56-47, and the average over/under line in their games is 9 runs. When the over/under line is set at 9 runs, their record is 12-11-2. Overall, 61.3% of their games have had lower over/under lines than 9 runs. Currently, they are on a two-game over streak.

Arizona is sending Jordan Montgomery to the mound today vs. the Nationals. He has made 14 starts this year and has a record of 7-5 with an ERA of 6.11. Montgomery’s WHIP for the season is 1.61, and opponents are batting .301 off the left-hander this year. In his 14 appearances, he has turned in five quality starts. Montgomery’s ERA at home is 10.93, compared to 5.12 on the road. His most recent outing came on July 23rd, where he picked up the win, going five innings and giving up one earned run. Before that, he had allowed at least two earned runs in three straight starts.

Arizona’s offense has been one of the best in the league this season, as they are 2nd in the MLB in runs scored at 5 runs per game. This has been the case both at home and on the road. The Diamondbacks have also been a tough lineup to strike out, as they are 8th in the league in this category.

Ketel Marte has been on a tear for the Diamondbacks, going 6/14 in his last five games with three homers and nine RBIs. For the season, he is batting .296 with 23 homers and 68 RBIs. Christian Walker also has 23 homers for the Diamondbacks and is 7th in the league with 71 RBIs.