San Diego Padres vs Baltimore Orioles Betting Pick & Prediction 7/26/24

There is a five-game winning streak on the line for the Padres, as they are 55-50 and 2nd in the NL West. The Orioles are 61-41 and 1st in the AL East, and they are the heavy favorites on the money line today at -203. San Diego’s money line odds are at +169, and the over/under line is at 9 runs.

Grayson Rodriguez is starting for the Orioles, while the Padres are going with Adam Mazur. This interleague matchup is set for 7:05 PM ET from Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore. MASN is carrying this game on TV.

SAN DIEGO PADRES VS BALTIMORE ORIOLES BETTING PICK

The Pick: OVER 9 Runs

This game will be played at Oriole Park at Camden Yards at 7:05 ET on Friday, July 26th.

HOW TO BET THE PADRES VS ORIOLES:

• We have the Orioles winning by a score of 6 to 4
• If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Orioles to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 10 runs and like the over

Padres Records & Stats

Heading into their last game vs. the Nationals, the Padres closed out the series with a 3-0 win. Leading up to the game, they were the heavy favorite at -158. Offensively, the Padres scored their three runs on six hits and didn’t hit a home run.

Dylan Cease put together a great start for the Padres, going nine innings and not giving up a run. He also issued just three walks and struck out nine Nationals batters. San Diego’s offense was carried by Ha-Seong Kim, who went 2/4 with three RBIs.

San Diego is 55-50 overall this season, and they are 7.5 games behind the Dodgers in the NL West. The Padres will take on the Orioles today on the road, with their overall record including a 15-17 mark in divisional games. The Padres have won five straight games, closing the gap on the Dodgers.

At home, the Padres are 26-28 this year, and they have gone 29-22 on the road. As the road underdog, the Padres have put together a mark of 19-13 this year, and they have won five straight road games. San Diego has an overall series record of 19-13-3, and they have won two straight series overall and four straight on the road.

The Padres have been a strong run line bet on the road this season, going 36-15 on the run line away from Petco Park. Their average run margin on the road is +1.1, and they have covered the run line in five straight games. They have been particularly strong against the run line as the underdog, going 31-14 on the run line in those games.

San Diego is on the road today against Baltimore, and the over/under line for the game is set at 9 runs. The combined run average for Padres games this season is 8.8 runs, and their over/under record is 54-50. Their games have averaged an over/under line of 8 runs, and when the line has been set at 9 runs, they have gone over the total in 2 of 6 games. Only 11.4% of their games have had over/under lines set at 9 runs or higher this season.

Right-hander Adam Mazur gets the start for the Padres today as he faces the Orioles on the road. He has made seven starts this year and has a record of 1-3 with an ERA of 7.84. Opposing batters are hitting .304 off Mazur this season. In his last outing, Mazur took the loss, giving up five earned runs in 4 2/3 innings of work. Before that, he had picked up the win, allowing four earned runs in five innings of work. Mazur has made just one quality start this year.

San Diego comes into the game with the league’s best team batting average at .262 and are also near the top of the league in home runs. Overall, they are averaging 4.5 runs per game, which is 13th in the MLB. The Padres have been even better on the road, averaging 4.7 runs per contest.

Jurickson Profar is the Padres’ top home run hitter this season, but he has struggled of late, going 8/35 in his last eight games. However, Xander Bogaerts has been hot, going 13/28 in his last seven games. Profar and Fernando Tatis Jr. are both tied for 2nd on the team with 14 homers, while Jake Cronenworth is 2nd on the team with 60 RBIs.

Orioles Records & Stats

The Orioles’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Marlins, closing out their series with a 7-6 win. After allowing one run to the Marlins in the bottom of the first, the Orioles responded with a run of their own and added three more in the 3rd inning. Baltimore went on to close out the 7th with another three runs, and the Marlins added two more in the 8th, but the Orioles’s picked up the win.

Corbin Burnes put together a good start for the Orioles, going 7 1/3 innings and giving up just three earned runs, and picking up the win. Baltimore’s offense was carried by Anthony Santander, who went 2/5 with a homer and three RBIs.

Baltimore will host the Padres with an overall record of 61-41, which has them leading the AL East by 2 games over the Yankees. The Orioles closed out their series vs. the Marlins with a loss and are 4-6 across their last 10 games. In the AL East, they have gone 20-9 this season.

At home, the Orioles are 30-22 this season and have gone 31-19 on the road. As the favorite, Baltimore has gone 49-33 and 12-8 as the underdog. So far, they have an overall series record of 21-9-3, but they have dropped two straight series at home.

When the Orioles win, they tend to do so by a comfortable margin, as their average run differential in victories is +3.8. That’s a big reason why they are 55-47 against the run line this season. They have been especially good on the road, going 30-20 vs. the run line. They have been a bit below .500 at home, going 25-27 vs. the run line.

When the Orioles play at home, the over/under line is set at 9 runs. Their games have averaged 9.1 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 53-39. When the over/under line is set at 9 runs, their record is 9-11-3. So far this season, only 2.9% of their games have had over/under lines set at 9 runs.

Through 18 starts, Grayson Rodriguez has a record of 12-4 and an ERA of 3.83. He has made 10 quality starts this year and is coming off an outing in which he gave up two earned runs in six innings of work. In that start vs. the Rangers, he gave up two homers. Looking back further, he has given up at least one homer in four straight starts. Rodriguez’s ERA for the season is 4.88 on the road compared to 3.31 at home. So far, he has a record of 7-2 on the road and 5-2 at home.

Anthony Santander has been on a tear for the Orioles of late, going 11/30 in his last seven games with five homers and 10 RBIs. His 28 homers this season is tied for the team lead with Gunnar Henderson. Santander’s 67 RBIs are also the best on the team and 9th in the league. Santander is also on an 11-game hitting streak.

As a team, the Orioles are 2nd in the league in scoring at 5 runs per game and are the top home run hitting team in the league. Overall, they are batting .253 (6th) and have the league’s best isolated power figure.