Cincinnati Reds vs Atlanta Braves Betting Pick & Prediction 7/22/24
This article was published on Jul 22, 2024. Today’s picks MLB picks

There does appear to be a chance of rain in Atlanta on Monday, where the forecasted temperature is 85 degrees. Hunter Greene gets the start for the Reds, and they are the underdog on the money line (+133). The Braves have Reynaldo Lopez on the mound.
First pitch from Truist Park is set for 7:20 PM ET, and BSSO will be televising this NL matchup. The over/under line is currently at 8 runs, and the Braves are looking to end a two-game losing streak, while the Reds have lost four in a row. Atlanta is 2nd in the NL East, and the Reds are 5th in the Central.
CINCINNATI REDS VS ATLANTA BRAVES BETTING PICK
The Pick: Cincinnati Reds Moneyline +133
This game will be played at Truist Park at 7:20 ET on Monday, July 22nd.
HOW TO BET THE REDS VS BRAVES:
- We have the Reds winning by a score of 5 to 4
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Reds to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over
Reds Records & Stats
The Reds will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Nationals with a 5-2 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 8th inning before the Nationals scored three runs in the bottom of the 8th. Cincinnati was the -106 favorite on the money line going into the game.
Andrew Abbott put together a good start for the Reds, going 6 2/3 innings, and didn’t give up a run. He only had one strikeout in the outing and got the win. However, the Reds’ bullpen couldn’t close things out, and Lucas Sims took the loss out of the bullpen. The Reds also wasted a big game from Stuart Fairchild, who homered in the 2nd inning, going 1/3.
Cincinnati is 47-53 overall and are looking to snap a four-game losing streak today on the road vs. the Braves. The Reds are 5th in the NL Central, 10.5 games behind the Brewers for the division lead. So far, they are 12-14 in divisional matchups.
At home, the Reds are 25-28 this year and have gone 22-25 on the road. As the underdog, the Reds are 22-31 this year, including dropping three straight as the road underdog. Cincinnati’s overall series record is 11-18-3, and they were swept in their most recent series vs. the Nationals.
The Reds have been a profitable bet on the run line this season, going 53-47 overall. They’ve been especially strong on the road, where they are 30-17 against the run line. However, they have failed to cover in their last three road games and have gone 2-5 against the run line in their last seven games overall.
The Cincinnati Reds are on the road against the Atlanta Braves today. The O/U line for the game is set at 8 runs, which is slightly below their combined run average of 8.6 runs per game this season. The Reds have played to the over in 45 of their 96 games this season, and their average O/U line for the season has been set at 9 runs per game. When the O/U line has been set at 8 runs, they have gone over the total in 5 of 13 games this season.
Hunter Greene gets the start for the Reds today as he faces the Braves on the road. So far this season, he has made 19 starts and has a record of 6-4. Greene’s ERA is 3.34, and he most recently pitched on July 11th, where he picked up the win. In that outing, he went six innings and gave up just one earned run. Looking back at his last four starts, Greene has given up at least one homer in each outing. His WHIP for the season is currently 1.11.
Elly De La Cruz has been on a tear of late, as he is currently on a nine-game hitting streak and is batting .255 for the season with a team-high 17 homers. He is also 3rd on the team with 44 RBIs. Spencer Steer and Jeimer Candelario are also near the top of the team’s home run leaderboard, but both are batting under .240 this season.
Overall, the Reds are averaging 4.4 runs per game, which is 14th in the league. They also come into today’s game with the league’s 12th ranked home run total. As a team, the Reds are batting just .230, and their team on-base percentage is just 16th in the league.
Braves Records & Stats
The Braves will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Cardinals with a 6-2 loss. This was especially tough, as it closed out their series vs. St. Louis. Atlanta was the -145 favorite at home going into the game but fell behind early, as the Cardinals scored four times in the 2nd.
Offensively, the Braves only had two fewer hits than the Cardinals but scored just two runs. Both of their runs came in the 3rd inning. Jarred Kelenic hit a solo homer, and Ozzie Albies had an RBI double. The Braves also wasted a big game from Marcell Ozuna, who went 2/3 with a run scored.
With an overall record of 54-44, the Braves are 8.5 games behind the Phillies for the NL East lead. The Braves dropped the final two games of their series vs. the Cardinals and are 5-5 across their last ten games. At home, the Braves are 30-19 this season.
So far, the Braves have gone 14-12 in divisional matchups. As the favorite, the Braves have gone 50-35 and 4-9 as the underdog this season. Atlanta’s overall series record is 18-12-3 heading into today’s matchup vs. the Reds.
When the Braves win, they win big, with an average run margin of 3.6 runs per game. When they lose, they lose by an average of 3.1 runs per game. Their run line record is 45-53, with a 21-28 mark at home. They are 24-25 vs. the run line on the road. They are 39-46 vs. the run line as the favorite and 6-7 as the underdog.
The Atlanta Braves are playing host to the Cincinnati Reds in a game with an over/under line of 8 runs. The Braves have played in games with an average of 7.9 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 34-59. When the over/under line is set at 8 runs, their record is 4-8-1. So far this season, 64.3% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8 runs.
Right-hander Reynaldo López is getting the start for the Braves today, and he comes in with a record of 7-3 and an ERA of 1.88. So far this season, he has made 17 starts, and opponents are batting .218 off him. López has turned in 10 quality starts this year and is averaging 8.94 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, he took the loss, giving up three earned runs in six innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts. The right-hander has been much better at home, coming in with a 1.27 ERA compared to 2.73 on the road.
Marcell Ozuna has been on a tear of late for the Braves, hitting .462 over his last seven games with four homers. For the season, he is batting .308, which is the best mark on the team, and his 79 RBIs are 2nd in the league. Austin Riley and Matt Olson are also threats to go deep, as they are both tied for 2nd on the team with 13 homers.
As a team, the Braves are averaging 4.3 runs per game, which is 18th in the league. They have been a bit better at home, putting up the 20th most runs in the league. Overall, they are 9th in the league in home runs and have the 13th best team batting average in the league.
