New York Yankees vs Baltimore Orioles Betting Pick & Prediction 7/13/24

There appears to be a chance for light rain in Baltimore on Saturday, where the Orioles and Yankees face off at Camden Yards. First pitch is currently scheduled for 4:05 PM ET. FS1 is carrying this game on TV.

The Orioles are favored on the money line, with their odds sitting at -135 compared to the Yankees at +115. This AL East matchup features the Yankees, who are 2nd in the division, and the Orioles, who are 1st but have lost four straight. The over/under line is currently 8.5 runs, and today’s pitching matchup is Luis Gil for the Yankees and Grayson Rodriguez for the Orioles.

BALTIMORE ORIOLES VS NEW YORK YANKEES BETTING PICK

The Pick: Baltimore Orioles Moneyline -135

This game will be played at Oriole Park at Camden Yards at 4:05 ET on Saturday, July 13th.

HOW TO BET THE YANKEES VS ORIOLES:

• We have the Orioles winning by a score of 6 to 5
• However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Yankees to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over

New York picked up a 4-1 win over the Orioles in the most recent game of this series. The Yankees had a two-run 2nd inning and added their final two runs in the 9th. As for the Orioles, they scored their only run in the 2nd. Heading into the game, the Yankees were favored at -128 on the money line.

Gerrit Cole started for the Yankees and picked up the win, going six innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with seven strikeouts but issued a season-high five walks. As for the Orioles, Cade Povich got the start and took the loss, giving up three earned runs in 5 1/3 innings of work.

Aaron Judge and Jose Trevino each homered for the Yankees, while Juan Soto went 2/5 with an RBI in his most recent game. For the Orioles, their only run came on a Trey Mancini home run.

Yankees Records & Stats

The Yankees are 57-39 overall this season, putting them just one game behind the Orioles for the AL East lead. So far, they have gone just 15-18 in AL East matchups. New York has really struggled recently, going 3-7 over their last ten games. At home, the Yankees are 25-19 and have gone 32-20 on the road.

This season, the Yankees have been the favorite in 77 of their games, going 44-33 in those games (13-6 as the underdog overall). New York’s overall series record is 17-9-3, but they have dropped three straight series overall and five straight series at home.

When the Yankees are on the road, they have a run line record of 30-22, which is better than their run line record at home. They have an average run margin of 1.3 runs per game on the road, which is better than their average run margin at home. When they are the favorite, they are 36-41 on the run line, but when they are the underdog, they are 15-4.

When the Yankees play, the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs. So far this season, the over/under record for the Yankees is 49-43, and their combined run average is 8.9 runs per game. In games where the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs, the Yankees have a record of 24-16. Overall, the over/under line for Yankees games has been set at 8 runs on average.

Luis Gil will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Red Sox, as he gets the start for the Yankees today. In that last start, which came on July 7th, he took the loss, going 6 2/3 innings and giving up one earned run. Looking back further, Gil has lost three straight starts and has allowed at least one homer in each outing. His ERA for the season is 3.27, along with a record of 9-5. Opponents are batting .163 off the right-hander this season. Out of his 18 starts, Gil has eight quality starts and is averaging 10.37 strikeouts per nine innings.

So far, the Yankees have been the best offensive team in the league, averaging 5 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.2 runs per game. New York has the 2nd most home runs in the league and are also the top walking team in the league. As a team, they are batting .247 and have the league’s best team on-base percentage.

Aaron Judge and Juan Soto have been the top two hitters for the Yankees this season, with Judge leading the team with a .306 batting average and Soto right behind him at .298. Judge’s 33 homers and 84 RBIs are both the best in the league. Soto comes into the game on a three-game hitting streak and has gone 9/32 in his last eight games.

Orioles Records & Stats

Baltimore is 57-37 overall this season, putting them 1st in the AL East, just one game ahead of the Yankees. The Orioles have dropped four straight games, and they lost the series opener vs. the Yankees. So far, they have gone 19-8 in AL East matchups.

At home, the Orioles are 29-21 this season, and they are 28-16 on the road. Baltimore has gone 46-30 as the favorite and 11-7 as the underdog. So far, they have an overall series record of 19-7-3 this year.

When the Orioles are at home, they have a run line record of 24-26, and their average run margin is 0.6. As the underdog, they are 13-5 against the run line, and their average run margin in winning games is 3.8.

When the Baltimore Orioles play at home, the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, with the team’s games averaging a combined 9.0 runs per game. The Orioles have a 47-37 over/under record on the season, and when the line is set at 8.5 runs, they are 15-12. Overall, 45.7% of their games have had over/under lines set lower than 8.5 runs, and their games have gone under the total in each of their last three contests.

Grayson Rodriguez has made 16 starts this year and has a record of 11-3. His ERA for the season is 3.52, along with a WHIP of 1.22. Rodriguez has been pitching well lately, as he has won his last two starts. In his most recent outing, he went six innings and gave up three earned runs. Looking back over his last three starts, he has allowed two earned runs in each outing. Rodriguez has given up 10 home runs this year. The right-hander has a batting average allowed of .230. Per nine innings, he is averaging 9.98 strikeouts and 2.85 walks.

As a team, the Orioles are the league’s top home run hitting team and are also 2nd in the league in runs scored, averaging 5 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.3 runs per contest. Overall, they are batting .253, which is the 5th best mark in the league.

Gunnar Henderson has been one of the league’s top power threats this season, as his 27 home runs are the best mark in the league. He is also batting .288 for the season and has gone 12/42 in his last 10 games. Henderson’s 61 RBIs are the best mark on the team and 9th best in the league. Anthony Santander has also been a big run producer for the Orioles, as his 57 RBIs are 3rd on the team and 12th in the league. He comes into the game on a 3-game hitting streak.