Chicago Cubs vs Baltimore Orioles Betting Pick & Prediction 7/9/24

Baltimore is the heavy favorite on the money line for Tuesday’s interleague matchup with the Cubs, with their odds sitting at -153 compared to the Cubs at +127. The over/under line is currently 9.5 runs, and the game will be televised on MASN.

First pitch from Oriole Park at Camden Yards is set for 6:35 PM ET, and Jameson Taillon will go for the Cubs, while the Orioles are starting Dean Kremer. Chicago is 5th in the NL Central, while the Orioles are 1st in the AL East with a record of 57-33.

BALTIMORE ORIOLES VS CHICAGO CUBS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Baltimore Orioles Moneyline -153

This game will be played at Oriole Park at Camden Yards at 6:35 ET on Tuesday, July 9th.

HOW TO BET THE CUBS VS ORIOLES:

• We have the Orioles winning by a score of 5 to 4
• However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Cubs to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the under

Cubs Records & Stats

Heading into their last game vs. the Angels, the Cubs closed out the series with a 5-0 win. Leading up to the game, they were the heavy favorite at -147. Offensively, the Cubs only scored their five runs on seven hits and didn’t hit a home run.

Hayden Wesneski got the start for the Cubs, going 6 1/3 innings, and didn’t give up a run. He also issued just one walk and struck out two. Michael Busch was hot at the plate, going 1/4 with a homer and two RBIs.

Chicago is 42-49 overall and trails the Brewers by 11 games in the NL Central. The Cubs are 5th in the division and head into today’s game vs. the Orioles having gone 10-19 against other NL Central teams. This year, the Cubs are 22-22 as the favorite and 20-27 as the underdog.

On the road, the Cubs are 17-28 compared to going 25-21 at home. Chicago’s series record is 10-17-2, and they won their most recent series vs. the Angels. Looking at how they have been playing recently, the Cubs are 5-5 over their last ten games. Today’s game is on the road for the Cubs, and they are 11-22 as the road underdog this season.

When the Cubs win, they win big, with an average run margin of +3.1 runs per game. But when they lose, they lose big, with an average run margin of -3.2 runs per game. Overall, the Cubs have a run differential of -0.3 runs per game, and their run line record is 43-48. They have been a better bet on the run line on the road, where they are 25-20, compared to 18-28 at home. They are also a better bet on the run line as the underdog, going 30-17 compared to 13-31 as the favorite.

The Chicago Cubs are on the road today against the Baltimore Orioles. The over/under line for the game is set at 9.5 runs, which is higher than their combined run average of 8.5 runs per game. The Cubs have an over/under record of 39-48 on the season, and their average over/under line is set at 8 runs per game. When the over/under line is set at 9.5 runs, the Cubs have a record of 5-3. The under has hit in their last three games.

Right-hander Jameson Taillon gets the start for the Cubs today as he faces the Orioles on the road. He has made 14 starts this year and has a record of 5-4 with a 2.99 ERA. So far, Taillon has turned in eight quality starts and is coming off an outing in which he gave up just two earned runs in seven innings of work. Taillon has been a bit better on the road, with an ERA of 3.25 compared to 3.13 at home. His ERA for the season is 2.99. Per nine innings, Taillon is averaging 7.19 strikeouts and just 1.88 walks.

So far this season, the Cubs offense has been pretty average, as they are 20th in scoring at 4.1 runs per game. Their batting average of .229 is 19th in the league, and they are also near the bottom of the league in terms of slugging percentage and isolated power. One thing they have done well is draw walks, as they are 4th in the league in that category.

Christopher Morel has been a big home run threat for the Cubs this season, but he is hitting just .199. Ian Happ has been the team’s best power threat, as his 13 homers is 2nd on the team and 15th in the league. Happ is also 1st on the team in RBIs and is batting .241 for the season. Over his last 10 games, Happ has gone 11/30 with four homers.

Orioles Records & Stats

The Orioles’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Athletics, closing out their series with a 6-3 win. After allowing three runs in the top of the first, the Orioles responded with four runs of their own. Baltimore went on to add another two runs in the 3rd inning.

Grayson Rodriguez put together a good start for the Orioles, going six innings and giving up just three runs on six hits. He also issued only one walk and struck out eight Athletics batters. Anthony Santander was hot at the plate, going 2/5 with a homer and three RBIs.

The Orioles are 57-33 overall and lead the AL East by three games over the Yankees. Baltimore will host the Cubs today, and they have an overall division record of 19-7. The Orioles have been good at closing out series, as their overall series record is 20-6-3, and they have won three straight series.

At home, the Orioles are 29-17 this year and 28-16 on the road. This season, they have been really good as the favorite, going 46-27, and they are 27-16 as the favorite at home. Baltimore closed out their series vs. the Athletics with two straight wins and are 7-3 over their last 10 games.

The Orioles have been a solid run line bet this season, going 51-39 overall. They have been especially good on the road, going 27-17. They have been a good bet as the underdog, going 13-4, and their average run margin in winning games is 3.8.

The Orioles have been playing in high-scoring games this season, with a combined run average of 9.1 runs per game. They have an over/under record of 46-34 on the season, and their games have averaged an over/under line of 8 runs. When the over/under line has been set at 9.5 runs, they have gone over in all three games. The over has hit in their last two games, and they have not had a game with an over/under line set higher than 9.5 runs this season.

Right-hander Dean Kremer gets the start for the Orioles today and comes into the game with a record of 4-4 and an ERA of 3.93. So far this year, he has made 10 starts, and opponents are batting .196 off Kremer this season. In his 10 appearances, Kremer has turned in three quality starts. Kremer’s most recent outing was a good one, as he picked up the win, going five innings and not allowing a run. Before that, he had given up at least three earned runs in three straight outings. At home, his ERA is 6.47 compared to 3.23 on the road.

Not only do the Orioles lead the league in home runs, but they also have the best team slugging percentage and OPS in the league. As a team, they are averaging 5.2 runs per game, which is the best mark in the league. Baltimore’s offense has been even better on the road this season, averaging 5.3 runs per contest.

Shortstop Gunnar Henderson and right fielder Anthony Santander have been the team’s top power threats this season, with Henderson’s 27 homers leading the team and Santander’s 23 homers being the 2nd most on the team. Henderson comes into the game on a four-game hitting streak and has gone 9/25 in his last six games. Santander has also been swinging a hot bat, going 7/23 in his last six games.