Houston Astros vs Minnesota Twins Betting Pick & Prediction 7/7/24

At 2:10 PM ET, the Astros and Twins face off in an AL matchup. This one is taking place at Target Field in Minneapolis, and the Astros are slight favorites on the money line (+107 vs. Twins -126).Spencer Arrighetti is starting for the Astros, and they are currently 46-43 and in 2nd place in the AL West. The Twins, who are 2nd in the AL Central, will be sending Simeon Woods Richardson to the mound.

MINNESOTA TWINS VS HOUSTON ASTROS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Minnesota Twins Moneyline -126

This game will be played at Target Field at 2:10 ET on Sunday, July 7th.

HOW TO BET THE ASTROS VS TWINS:

• We have the Twins winning by a score of 6 to 5
• However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Astros to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over

It was all Minnesota in the last game of this series, as the Twins took down the Astros by a score of 9-3. The Twins offense only had two more hits than the Astros and struck out eight times, but still picked up a convincing win. Heading into the game, they were favored at -135 on the money line.

This game featured a starting pitching matchup between Joe Ryan for the Twins and Hunter Brown for the Astros. Ryan only went 5 2/3 innings but gave up just three hits and three earned runs. On the other side, Brown was tagged for seven runs in six innings of work.

Minnesota’s two homers came from Byron Buxton and Brooks Lee. Buxton, Willi Castro, Max Kepler, and Jose Miranda each had two RBIs for the Twins’ offense.

Astros Records & Stats

Houston is 46-43 overall and trails the Mariners by two games for the AL West lead. The Astros are 15-12 against other teams in the AL West. The Astros will be on the road today, facing the Twins, and they are 22-24 on the road this year.

The Astros have won six straight series, and their overall series record is 16-11-1 this year. As the favorite, the Astros are 34-32 and 12-11 as the underdog. They are 7-3 over their last 10 games and are tied 1-1 in their series vs. the Twins.

When betting on the Astros this season, it’s been a coin flip. They’re 45-44 against the run line, including a 23-23 mark on the road. Their average run differential is +0.4 runs per game, but they’ve been outscored by 0.2 runs per game on the road. They’ve been a better bet at home, where they’re 22-21 against the run line and have a scoring margin of +1.1 runs per game.

The over/under line for today’s game between the Houston Astros and Minnesota Twins is set at 9 runs. The combined run average for Astros games this season is 9.2 runs per game, and their over/under record is 35-50. When the over/under line is set at 9 runs, the Astros are 10-7-2. This season, 62.9% of their games have had lower over/under lines than 9 runs, and the over has hit in their last two games.

Houston is sending Spencer Arrighetti to the mound today as he faces the Twins on the road. Arrighetti has made 15 starts this year and has a record of 4-7. His ERA is 6.13, along with a WHIP of 1.65. One of his quality starts came in his most recent outing, where he went seven innings and didn’t give up a run. Before that, he had given up at least three earned runs in three straight starts. Opponents are batting .263 off the right-hander this year. Per nine innings, Arrighetti is averaging 10.43 strikeouts and 5.09 walks.

Yordan Alvarez and Kyle Tucker have been a big reason why the Astros have the league’s top batting average, as Alvarez is hitting .298 for the season, and Tucker is batting .266. Alvarez is also 8th in the league with 19 home runs, and Tucker is tied with him for the team lead. Alvarez has been hot of late, going 6/16 in his last five games with two homers and seven RBIs. Jose Altuve is also on a good stretch of games, as he is on a five-game hitting streak.

Overall, the Astros are 9th in the league at 4.8 runs per game. They have been a better offensive team at home, averaging 5.1 runs per contest. As a team, they are the league’s top home run hitting club and have the best team slugging percentage in the MLB.

Twins Records & Stats

Minnesota is 50-39 overall, putting them six games behind the Guardians for the AL Central lead. The Twins are 17-12 against other teams in the AL Central this year. They are currently on a four-series winning streak and have an overall series record of 17-9-2 this year.

At home, the Twins are 26-18 this year and 24-21 on the road. Minnesota has been really good as the favorite this year, going 41-22, and they are 9-17 as the underdog. Looking at their most recent games, the Twins are 7-3 over their last ten.

Minnesota has been a solid run line bet this season, going 43-46 overall. They have been better on the road, going 25-20 compared to 18-26 at home. When favored, they are 30-33 vs. the run line, and when the underdog, they are 13-13. Their average run differential on the season is +0.6 runs per game.

The Twins have been playing in high-scoring games lately, with their last six games all going over the total. Their games have averaged 9.4 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 45-42. The over/under line for today’s game against the Astros is set at 9 runs, which is higher than their average line of 8 runs per game this season.

Through 14 starts, Simeon Woods Richardson has a record of 3-1 and an ERA of 3.52 for the Twins. He has made four quality starts this year and is coming off an outing in which he didn’t give up a homer. Against the Tigers on July 2nd, Woods Richardson went 5 2/3 innings, giving up three earned runs, four walks, and two homers. He finished with a no-decision in that outing. Before that, he had given up a homer in three straight starts. The right-hander has a BB/9 figure of 2.64 compared to 7.53 strikeouts per nine innings.

Carlos Santana and Ryan Jeffers have been the Twins’ top power threats this season, with Santana’s 12 homers ranking 2nd on the team and Jeffers’ 14 homers leading the club. Jeffers also comes into the game as the team’s leader in RBIs, with 46. Jeffers has also been hot of late, going 18/33 in his last nine games.

Minnesota’s offense is one of the league’s best, as they are 4th in runs per game and have the 6th best team batting average at .254. They are also near the top of the league in on-base percentage, slugging percentage, and OPS. The Twins have several players on solid hitting streaks, including Jose Miranda, who has hits in 10 straight games.