Texas Rangers vs Baltimore Orioles Betting Pick & Prediction 6/29/24

Michael Lorenzen is starting for the Rangers on Saturday, as they are facing off against the Orioles, who have the best record in the AL East of 52-30. However, the Orioles are favored on the money line, with their odds sitting at -155 compared to the Rangers at +131. The over/under line is at 9 runs, and FOX is carrying this game on TV.

First pitch from Oriole Park at Camden Yards is set for 7:15 PM ET. The forecast for Saturday’s matchup calls for cloudy skies and temperatures in the upper 80s. Texas comes in with a record of 37-45 and they are currently on a five-game losing streak. Cade Povich is starting for the Orioles.

BALTIMORE ORIOLES VS TEXAS RANGERS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Baltimore Orioles Moneyline -155

This game will be played at Oriole Park at Camden Yards at 7:15 ET on Saturday, June 29th.

HOW TO BET THE RANGERS VS ORIOLES:

• We have the Orioles winning by a score of 6 to 4
• If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Orioles to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 10 runs and like the over

Baltimore picked up a 2-1 win over the Rangers in the most recent game of this series. The Orioles had a late rally, scoring one run in the 7th and another in the 8th, to pick up the win. Heading into the game, they were favored at -118 on the money line.

Albert Suarez started for the Orioles and picked up the win, going six innings and not giving up a run. He finished the game with just two strikeouts and allowed three hits. Craig Kimbrel closed things out for Baltimore.

Max Scherzer got the start for the Rangers, going 5 1/3 innings and giving up two earned runs. He finished the game with four strikeouts but allowed a home run. Texas wasted a good outing from Scherzer, who gave up just four hits and two earned runs.

Rangers Records & Stats

Texas is on the road today, looking to pick up a win vs. the Orioles, as they have dropped five straight games. Currently, they are 3rd in the AL West, nine games behind the Mariners for the division lead. So far, they are 9-14 in AL West matchups.

At home, the Rangers have gone 20-19 this season compared to 17-26 on the road. As the underdog, Texas has struggled, going just 14-25 this year. Their overall record is 37-45.

When the Rangers are on the road, they are 37-45 against the run line, including 18-25 against the run line on the road. Their average run margin in road games is -1.0, and they have a run line record of 20-19 as the underdog.

When the Texas Rangers play on the road, the over/under line is typically set at 9 runs. However, their games have only averaged 8.5 runs per game this season. Overall, the over/under record for the Rangers this season is 31-48, and when the line has been set at 9 runs, they are 5-10. So far this season, only 15.9% of their games have had over/under lines set at 9 runs, with 65.9% of their games having lower lines.

Texas is sending Michael Lorenzen to the mound today, and he comes in with a record of 4-3 and an ERA of 3.04. So far, he has made 13 starts and eight of them have been quality starts. Looking at his overall numbers, Lorenzen has a WHIP of 1.16 and is averaging 6.43 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, the right-hander finished with a no-decision, giving up two earned runs in five innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts. Lorenzen has been much better on the road, coming in with a record of 4-1 and an ERA of 2.67 compared to 0-2 with a 3.80 ERA at home.

Adolis Garcia and Corey Seager have been the Rangers’ top power threats this season, as Garcia’s 15 homers is the best mark on the team, and Seager is right behind him with 14. Seager is also hitting .258 for the season, and Garcia comes in with a batting average of .216. Seager is currently on a six-game hitting streak and has gone 8/25 in his last six games.

As a team, the Rangers are batting .237 and averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 18th in the league. They have been slightly better on the road this season, averaging 4.3 runs per game. Overall, they are 17th in home runs and have the 8th fewest strikeouts in the league.

Orioles Records & Stats

The Orioles are 52-30 overall and lead the AL East, tied with the Yankees. Baltimore has won three straight games, and they are 19-7 against other teams in the AL East. Their overall record has been helped by going 28-16 at home and 24-14 on the road.

So far, the Orioles have been favored in 66 of their games, and they have a record of 42-24 in those games. As for playing as the underdog, they are 10-6 this season. Baltimore has won three straight at home, and they are 26-15 as the home favorite this year. The Orioles’ overall series record is 17-6-3, and they have lost two straight series.

When the Orioles win, they win big, with an average run margin of 4.0. That has helped them to a 48-34 run line record this season, including a 24-20 mark at home. They are also 12-4 against the run line as an underdog.

When the Orioles play at home, the over/under line is set at 9 runs, which is the same as their combined run average for the season. Baltimore’s over/under record is 41-31, and their average over/under line is set at 8 runs. When the line is set at 9 runs, their record is 5-9-3. This season, only 2.4% of their games have had over/under lines set at 9 runs.

Cade Povich is getting the start at home for the Orioles today against the Rangers. Povich is still looking for his first win of the season, as he has a loss and two no-decisions in his three starts. His last time out, he took the loss against the Guardians, going 5 2/3 innings and giving up 3 runs.

As a team, the Orioles are the league’s top-scoring offense, averaging 5.2 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.5 runs per contest. Not only do the Orioles lead the league in home runs, but they also have the top slugging percentage and OPS in the league. Baltimore also has the top isolated power numbers in the MLB.

Adley Rutschman and Gunnar Henderson have been the Orioles’ top two run producers this season, with Rutschman having 55 RBIs and Henderson leading the team with 58. Henderson is also 2nd in the league with 26 homers. Henderson has also been hot of late, going 12/30 with four homers over his last eight games. Henderson and Jorge Mateo are both on five-game hitting streaks.