Houston Astros vs New York Mets Betting Pick & Prediction 6/28/24

Jose Quintana will be starting for the Mets on Friday, as they look to move above .500, as they are 39-39. However, they are on a three-game winning streak. The Astros are 7-0 over their last seven games and are 2nd in the AL West with a record of 40-40.

Friday’s interleague matchup has an over/under line of 8.5 runs, and the Astros are favored on the money line (-114). Today’s game can be seen on APLTV, and the first pitch from Citi Field is set for 7:10 PM ET.

NEW YORK METS VS HOUSTON ASTROS BETTING PICK

The Pick: New York Mets Moneyline -105

This game will be played at Citi Field at 7:10 ET on Friday, June 28th.

HOW TO BET THE ASTROS VS METS:

• We have the Mets winning by a score of 5 to 4
• If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Mets to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over

Astros Records & Stats

Houston closed out their series vs. the Rockies with an impressive 7-1 win. Heading into the game, the Astros were the heavy favorite at -195. Offensively, the Astros scored their seven runs on json11 hits and didn’t hit a home run.

Spencer Arrighetti put together a good start for the Astros, going seven innings and not giving up a run. He also issued just three walks and struck out 10 Rockies batters. Yainer Diaz was hot at the plate, going 3/4 with two RBIs.

The Astros head into today’s road matchup vs. the Mets at .500 with a record of 40-40. They have won seven straight games, and these wins have helped them close the gap on the Mariners in the AL West. Currently, they are 4.5 games behind the Mariners for the division lead. Houston’s overall series record is 14-11-1 this season, and they have won four straight series.

At home, the Astros are 24-19 this season, and they are just below .500 at 16-21 on the road. As the road favorite, the Astros are 10-16 this season, and they are 31-32 when favored overall. Their most recent win came as the favorite, and they are 9-8 as the underdog this year. The Astros closed out their series vs. the Rockies with two straight wins and are 8-2 across their last 10 games.

When playing on the road, the Astros have a run line record of 16-21, and their run line record is 38-42 overall. They have a run line win streak of two games on the road and have been favored in 63 games, going 28-35 in those contests.

The Houston Astros are on the road against the New York Mets, with today’s over/under line set at 8.5 runs. The combined run average for Astros games this season is 8.8 runs, and their over/under record is 28-48. When the line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 8-13, and 40.0% of their games this season have had higher lines than 8.5 runs.

Houston is sending Ronel Blanco to the mound today, and he has been pitching well this season. Blanco’s overall record is 8-2, and he has an ERA of 2.34. Out of his 14 starts, Blanco has turned in nine quality starts, one shutout, and one complete game. In his last outing, Blanco went seven innings, giving up just one earned run and picking up the win. He has won each of his last three starts. Blanco’s ERA on the road is 2.02, compared to 2.86 at home. Per nine innings, he is averaging 8.4 strikeouts and 3.6 walks.

Heading into today’s game, the Astros are the league’s top-hitting team, averaging 4.6 runs per game. This has been even better at home, where they are averaging 5.1 runs per contest. Overall, they are 6th in home runs and have the league’s best team batting average. Houston also does a great job of putting the ball in play, as they have the fewest strikeouts in the league.

Yordan Alvarez and Kyle Tucker have been the Astros’ top power threats this season, as Alvarez has 16 homers and Tucker has 19. Alvarez’s 41 RBIs are the most on the team, and Tucker is right behind him at 40. Jose Altuve has also been a consistent hitter for the Astros, batting .303 for the season and has gone 13/34 in his last eight games.

Mets Records & Stats

Heading into their last game vs. the Yankees, the Mets closed out the series with a 12-2 win. Leading up to the game, they were the slight favorite at +108 on the money line. It was a big third inning that really turned things in their favor, and the Yankees could only score two runs, both of which came in the 6th.

Sean Manaea put together a good start for the Mets, going five innings and not giving up a run. He also issued just two walks and struck out three. New York’s offense was carried by Francisco Alvarez, who went 3/3 with a homer and three RBIs.

The Mets have pulled their record back to .500 at 39-39, and they have won three straight games. New York will be hosting the Astros today, and they are 12.5 games behind the Phillies in the NL East. So far, they are 11-10 in divisional games.

At home, the Mets are 20-23 this season and 19-16 on the road. New York has won seven straight games as the underdog, and they have an overall series record of 13-12-3 this year. They have also won six straight series overall and four straight on the road.

The Mets have been a profitable team to bet on the run line this season, as they are 37-41 overall. They have been particularly good on the run line on the road, going 21-14. They have also covered the run line in four straight games at home. They are 24-15 against the run line as an underdog this season.

The Mets are home against the Astros today, and the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs. New York has a combined run average of 9.5 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 40-36. Their average over/under line for the season is 8 runs per game. When the line is set at 8.5 runs, their over/under record is 11-9. This season, 15 of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs, accounting for 19.2% of their games. The over has hit in their last two games.

New York is sending left-hander Jose Quintana to the mound today vs. the Astros. Quintana has made 15 starts this season and has a record of 3-5 with a 4.58 ERA. So far, he has turned in five quality starts and is coming off a game in which he didn’t allow an earned run. In that outing vs. the Cubs, he went 6 1/3 innings and gave up just one unearned run. Quintana has been pitching much better at home, with an ERA of 3.82 compared to 7.24 on the road. His ERA for the season was 5.90 before these last two outings.

Over the past seven games, Brandon Nimmo has been swinging a hot bat for the Mets, going 7/27 with four homers and seven RBIs. Overall, he is batting .242 with 12 homers, which is 3rd on the team. Pete Alonso and his 16 homers lead the team, but he is batting just .241 for the season. Alonso is 2nd on the team with 43 RBIs.

As a team, the Mets are 4th in home runs and are averaging 4.8 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.7 runs per contest. Overall, the Mets are 7th in team batting average and have the 6th best on-base percentage in the league.