Seattle Mariners vs Tampa Bay Rays Betting Pick & Prediction 6/24/24

From Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, we have an AL matchup between the Mariners and Rays. The money line odds have the Mariners at -111 compared to the Rays at -108, and the over/under line is at 7.5 runs.

First pitch for this one is set for 6:50 PM ET, and BSSUN is carrying it on TV. Monday’s starting pitching matchup is Bryan Woo for the Mariners and Taj Bradley for the Rays. Seattle is 1st in the AL West, while the Rays are 4th in the AL East.

SEATTLE MARINERS VS TAMPA BAY RAYS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Seattle Mariners Moneyline -111

This game will be played at Tropicana Field at 6:50 ET on Monday, June 24th.

HOW TO BET THE MARINERS VS RAYS:

• We have the Mariners winning by a score of 5 to 4
• However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Rays to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over

Mariners Records & Stats

Led by a big game by Luke Raley at the plate, the Mariners are coming off a 6-4 loss to the Marlins. Raley went 3/4 with a homer and two RBIs. The Mariners really struggled on the mound, as Bryce Miller took the loss and gave up six earned runs in just four innings of work.

Seattle’s offense scored their four runs on seven hits but only had one extra-base hit. The Mariners scored their runs in the 2nd and 4th innings. However, they couldn’t hold the lead, as the Marlins scored two runs in the 4th and added another two in the 7th to close things out. Going into the game, the Mariners were at -154 on the money line.

Seattle heads into today’s road matchup vs. the Rays with a record of 45-35, putting them six games ahead of the Astros for the AL West lead. The Mariners closed out their series vs. the Marlins with a win but still lost the series 2-1. So far, they have been great against other AL West teams, going 17-5.

At home, the Mariners have gone 27-12 this year, and they are just under .500 at 18-23 on the road. As the favorite, Seattle is 29-20 this year and 16-15 as the underdog. Looking at their overall series record, the Mariners are 13-10-2 but have dropped two straight series.

Seattle has been a team to watch on the run line this season, as they have a 38-42 record against the run line. They have been a better bet at home, where they are 21-18, compared to on the road, where they are 17-24. The Mariners have been a better bet as an underdog, going 17-14 against the run line in those games. Seattle’s average run margin this season is +0.2 runs per game.

Seattle’s over/under record for the season is 33-44, and the over/under line for today’s game against the Rays is set at 7.5 runs. The Mariners’ combined run average for the season is 7.6 runs per game, and their average over/under line is set at 8 runs. When the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, Seattle has a record of 9-15. Overall, 42.5% of their games have had over/under lines set at 7.5 runs or higher, and they are currently on a two-game over streak.

Right-hander Bryan Woo gets the start for the Mariners today as he faces the Rays on the road. So far this season, he has made seven starts and has a record of 3-1 with an ERA of 1.67. Opponents are batting just .153 off Woo this season, and he has a WHIP of .61. In his 37 2/3 innings of work, Woo has issued just three walks compared to 27 strikeouts. Looking back at his last outing, he took the loss, giving up three earned runs in four innings of work. Before that, he had a streak of four straight quality starts.

Cal Raleigh has been a bright spot for the Mariners this season in terms of power, as his 12 home runs are 1st on the team and 15th in the league. However, he is batting just .198 for the season. Julio Rodriguez has been a key run producer for the Mariners, as his 29 RBIs are 3rd in the league, while batting .260. Luke Raley is 2nd on the team with 9 homers and is batting .263.

Seattle’s offense will be looking to get things going after averaging just 3.9 runs per game this season, which is the worst in the league. They are also one of the league’s worst teams in terms of batting average, on-base percentage, and slugging percentage. One thing to watch is that Dominic Canzone has gone 9/22 in his last seven games.

Rays Records & Stats

Heading into their last game vs. the Pirates, the Rays closed out the series with a 3-1 win. Leading up to the game, they were the heavy favorite at +141 on the money line. Offensively, the Rays scored their three runs on nine hits and only hit one home run.

Aaron Civale got the start for the Rays, going five innings and giving up just one run on three hits. He only had three strikeouts in the outing and got the win. Yandy Diaz was hot at the plate, going 3/4 with a homer and scoring the Rays’ other two runs. The Rays also had three other players with a single hit.

Tampa Bay is 38-40 overall and is 4th in the AL East, trailing the Yankees by 13 games. The Rays head into today’s game vs. the Mariners having gone 6-4 across their last 10. In the AL East, they are 10-17 in divisional games.

At home, the Rays are 19-23 this season and 19-17 on the road. As the favorite, Tampa Bay is 22-20 and 16-20 as the underdog. The Rays have won two straight series, and their overall series record is 12-11-2 this year.

The Rays have been a strong run line bet on the road this season, going 22-14. They have been particularly strong as the underdog, going 20-16 ATS. Their average run margin in winning games is +2.3, while their average run margin in losing games is -3.8.

When the Tampa Bay Rays are at home, the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs. The combined run average in their games this season is 8.8 runs per game. The over/under record for the Rays this season is 40-36, and their average over/under line is set at 8 runs per game. When the line is set at 7.5 runs, the over/under record is 13-9. This season, 67.9% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 7.5 runs, and only 3.8% have had lines set lower. The under has hit in their last two games.

Taj Bradley gets the start for the Rays today and will be looking to build off his last outing, where he finished with a no-decision. Against the Twins on June 19th, he went six innings, giving up two earned runs, and he gave up one homer in that outing. In his three previous outings, Bradley had given up at least one homer. Looking back further, he has allowed a total of nine homers this season. Bradley’s ERA for the season is 4.06, along with a record of 2-4. Opponents are batting .223 off Bradley this season. Per nine innings, he is averaging 10.76 strikeouts and 2.84 walks.

Yandy Diaz comes into the game on a 16-game hitting streak and has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 10/24 in his last five games with two homers. For the season, he is batting .271 with six homers and 36 RBIs, which is the 2nd best mark on the team. Isaac Paredes has been the Rays’ top power threat this season, as his 11 homers are the best mark on the team and 14th in the league. He also leads the team with 39 RBIs.

As a team, the Rays are 24th in scoring at 4 runs per game and are also near the bottom of the league in home runs and batting average. Overall, they are batting just .235. Tampa Bay’s offense has been even worse at home, averaging only 3.7 runs per game.