Baltimore Orioles vs Houston Astros Betting Pick & Prediction 6/23/24

First pitch for Sunday’s Orioles vs. Astros matchup is set for 2:10 PM ET from Minute Maid Park in Houston. The Orioles are currently on a two-game losing streak and are 49-27 overall, which has them in 2nd place in the AL East. The Astros have won four straight and are 2nd in the AL West with an overall record of 37-40.

Albert Suarez is starting for the Orioles, and he will be facing off against Framber Valdez for the Astros. Baltimore is a slight money line underdog (+105), while the Astros are favored (-125). The over/under line is at 8.5 runs.

HOUSTON ASTROS VS BALTIMORE ORIOLES BETTING PICK

The Pick: Houston Astros Moneyline -125

This game will be played at Minute Maid Park at 2:10 ET on Sunday, June 23rd.

HOW TO BET THE ORIOLES VS ASTROS:

• We have the Astros winning by a score of 6 to 5
• However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Orioles to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over

Houston cruised to a 5-1 win over the Orioles in the most recent game of this series. The Astros had a huge 3rd inning, scoring all five of their runs. As for the Orioles, they scored their only run in the 4th. Heading into the game, the Astros were at +125 on the money line.

Ronel Blanco started for the Astros and picked up the win, going seven innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with four strikeouts but issued three walks. On the other side, Corbin Burnes got the start for the Orioles and took the loss, giving up four earned runs in seven innings of work.

Chas McCormick was the difference for the Astros’ offense, as he went 3/3 with two homers and five RBIs. Yordan Alvarez also had a two-hit game for Houston. Jordan Westburg hit the game’s only other home run while going 1/4.

Orioles Records & Stats

The Orioles are 49-27 overall and trail the Yankees by 1.5 games for the AL East lead. So far, they have gone 19-7 against other teams in the AL East. Baltimore is on a two-game losing streak, with both of those losses coming in this series vs. the Astros.

At home, the Orioles have gone 25-14 this year, and they are 24-13 on the road. Baltimore has won two straight games as the underdog, and they are 17-4-3 in series this year. Their current series winning streak is at four games, and they have won two straight series on the road.

When the Orioles are on the road, bettors should be looking to take them on the run line. They are 24-13 against the run line on the road this season. They are also 12-3 against the run line as underdogs. Their average run margin on the road is 1.8 runs per game.

Today’s over/under line of 8.5 runs is higher than the Orioles’ average over/under line of 8 runs per game this season. Baltimore’s games have gone over the line in 14 of 22 games when the line was set at 8.5 runs. Overall, the Orioles have a 38-28 over/under record this season.

Right-hander Albert Suárez gets the start for the Orioles today as he faces the Astros on the road. So far this season, he has made eight starts and 15 total appearances. Suárez has a record of 3-1 and an ERA of 2.05. In his 48 1/3 innings of work, he has allowed just one homer. Looking back at his last outing, Suárez took the loss, going 3 2/3 innings and giving up three earned runs on six hits. Before that, he had won two straight starts.

As a team, the Orioles lead the league in both runs per game (5.3) and home runs. Their team batting average of .254 is 5th in the league, and they are also the top team in terms of slugging percentage and isolated power. Baltimore’s offense has been even better on the road this season, averaging 5.6 runs per contest.

Both Gunnar Henderson and Adley Rutschman have been big run producers for the Orioles this season, as they are tied for 1st on the team with 53 RBIs. Henderson is also 2nd in the league with 24 homers, while Rutschman has gone deep 14 times. Rutschman comes into the game with a team-best batting average of .303. Over his last nine games, Anthony Santander is hitting .289 with six homers.

Astros Records & Stats

The Astros are seven games behind the Mariners in the AL West but have won four straight games, and they are 37-40 overall. Houston has taken the first two games of their series vs. the Orioles and have an overall series record of 12-11-1 this year. Looking at their record as the favorite, the Astros are 28-32 and 9-8 as the underdog.

At home, the Astros are 21-19 this season and 16-21 on the road. Houston has won three straight games at home, and they are 18-16 as the home favorite this year. Over their last ten games, the Astros are 7-3, which is tied for the best mark in the AL West.

Despite an overall run differential of just +0.2 runs per game, the Astros have been a profitable team to bet on the run line this season, going 35-42. This includes a 19-21 mark at home, where they are outscoring opponents by 0.8 runs per game. They have covered the run line in three straight games and are 2-0 in that span as the favorite.

The Houston Astros are playing the Baltimore Orioles at home today, and the over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs. The combined run average for Astros games this season is 8.8 runs, and their over/under record is 27-47. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 7-13. Overall, 41.6% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8.5 runs.

Framber Valdez will be looking to bounce back from his last outing, where he took the loss and gave up two earned runs in six innings of work. In that start vs. the White Sox, he gave up five hits, issued two walks, and gave up a homer. Before that outing, he had won two straight starts. Valdez has a record of 5-5 this season and an ERA of 3.91. Opposing batters are hitting .244 off the left-hander this season. Valdez has made seven quality starts this year and is averaging 6.84 strikeouts per nine innings.

Not only do the Astros have the league’s best team batting average, but they also lead the MLB in fewest strikeouts per game. Overall, they are 4th in home runs and have the 5th best team slugging percentage in the league. Houston’s offense is averaging 4.5 runs per game, and they have been even better at home, putting up 5 runs per contest.

Yordan Alvarez has been on a tear of late, going 9/29 with three homers over his last eight games. For the season, he is batting .292 with a team-high 41 RBIs. Kyle Tucker has also been a big power threat, as he is 6th in the league with 19 homers. Alex Bregman has been swinging a hot bat, hitting .310 over his last 10 games.