Arizona Diamondbacks vs Philadelphia Phillies Betting Pick & Prediction 6/23/24
This article was published on Jun 23, 2024. Today’s picks MLB picks

First pitch for Sunday’s matchup between the Diamondbacks and Phillies is set for 11:35 AM ET from Citizen Bank Park in Philadelphia. The Phillies are the heavy favorite on the money line, with their odds sitting at -204, while the Diamondbacks are +171. The over/under line is currently at 9.5 runs.
Slade Cecconi will go for the Diamondbacks, and he will be facing off against Cristopher Sanchez for the Phillies. Arizona is 38-39 this season, while the Phillies have the best record in the NL East at 50-26.
ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS VS PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES BETTING PICK
The Pick: UNDER 9.5 Runs
This game will be played at Citizens Bank Park at 11:35 ET on Sunday, June 23rd.
HOW TO BET THE DIAMONDBACKS VS PHILLIES:
- We have the Phillies winning by a score of 5 to 4
- However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Diamondbacks to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the under
Philadelphia cruised to an easy 12-1 win over the Diamondbacks in the most recent game of this series. The Phillies had a huge 3rd inning, scoring nine of their twelve runs. As for the Diamondbacks, they scored their only run in the 5th. Heading into the game, the Phillies were favored at -268 on the money line.
Zack Wheeler pitched well for the Phillies in this one, going seven innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with eight strikeouts but didn’t factor into the decision. Hector Neris got the win out of the bullpen. Tommy Henry had a rough outing for the Diamondbacks, taking the loss.
Bryce Harper and Nick Castellanos each homered for the Phillies, while David Dahl went 1/1 with two RBIs and two runs scored. Alec Bohm also had a two RBI game at the plate.
Diamondbacks Records & Stats
Arizona is 38-39 overall this season, and they are nine games behind the Dodgers for the NL West lead. The Diamondbacks are 3rd in the NL West and have gone 15-12 in divisional games this year. They will take on the Phillies today with an overall series record of 10-11-3, and they have won three straight series.
The Diamondbacks are 19-18 at home this year and have gone 19-21 on the road. As the underdog, Arizona is 18-23 this season and 20-16 when favored. Arizona is 6-4 across their last ten games, and they are currently at .500 on the road this season.
When the Diamondbacks win, they win big, outscoring opponents by an average of 4.3 runs per game. But when they lose, they lose big, being outscored by an average of 4.2 runs per game. Their run line record is 37-40, with a scoring margin of -0.0 runs per game. They are 21-19 against the run line on the road, where they have a scoring margin of 0.1 runs per game.
Arizona’s games have averaged 9.5 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 37-38. The over/under line for today’s game is set at 9.5 runs, and when the line has been set at 9.5 runs, the Diamondbacks have gone 3-6. Only 7.8% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 9.5 runs, with the majority of their games having lower lines.
Arizona is sending right-hander Slade Cecconi to the mound today as he faces the Phillies on the road. So far this season, he has made nine starts and 10 total appearances. Cecconi’s record for the year is 2-5, and he comes in with an ERA of 5.90. Looking at his overall numbers, opponents are batting .252 this season. In his last outing, he pitched well, picking up the win and going six innings without giving up a run. Before that, he had given up at least three earned runs in three straight starts.
Arizona’s offense has been one of the better units in the league so far this season, averaging 4.8 runs per game. They have been even better at home, putting up 4.9 runs per contest. Overall, they are 7th in team batting average at .252. The Diamondbacks have been a good home run hitting team so far, but their team on-base percentage of .323 is 5th in the league.
Christian Walker and Ketel Marte have been the Diamondbacks’ top power threats this season, with Walker leading the team with 17 homers and Marte right behind him at 15. Walker has also driven in 50 runs, which is 10th in the MLB. However, Walker has hit just .235 over his last eight games, while Joc Pederson and Lourdes Gurriel Jr. have been swinging hot bats of late.
Phillies Records & Stats
Philadelphia is 50-26 overall and leads the NL East by seven games over the Braves. The Phillies are 12-6 against other teams in the NL East. So far, they have been really good at home, going 30-12, and they are 20-14 on the road. The Phillies have been really good in night games this year, going 34-13.
As the favorite, the Phillies have gone 44-20 this year, and they are 29-10 as the favorite at home. Philadelphia’s overall series record is 15-7-4 this year, and they are currently tied in their series vs. the Diamondbacks. Heading into today’s game, the Phillies are 4-6 over their last 10 games.
The Phillies have been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 40-36 overall. They have been especially good at home, where they are 22-20 against the run line. Their average run margin for the season is +1.5 runs per game, and they have a run line record of 34-30 as the favorite. Their average run margin in winning games is +3.8 runs per game.
Today’s over/under line for the Phillies-Diamondbacks game is set at 9.5 runs. The Phillies have played in 71 games this season, and only 6 of them have had an over/under line of 9.5 runs or higher. Their games have averaged 8.7 runs per game, and their over/under record for the season is 33-38.
Left-hander Cristopher Sánchez is getting the start for the Phillies today as he faces the Diamondbacks at home. He has made 14 starts this year and has a record of 4-3 with a 2.91 ERA. Sánchez’s WHIP for the season is 1.36, and opponents are batting .263 off him this year. In his 14 starts, Sánchez has turned in seven quality starts. In his most recent outing, he picked up the win, going seven innings and giving up one earned run on six hits. Before that, he had given up at least one homer in three straight starts.
As a team, the Phillies are averaging 5.1 runs per game, which is 2nd in the majors. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.5 runs per game. Overall, they are the league’s top home run hitting team and are also near the top of the league in terms of batting average, on-base percentage, and slugging. Over their last eight games, Alec Bohm has gone 14/34 (.412) with two homers and nine RBIs. Kyle Schwarber has also been swinging a hot bat, going 10/30 with four homers in this stretch.
Bryce Harper has been leading the way for the Phillies in terms of home runs, as his 18 long balls are 7th in the league. Harper is also 9th in the league with 51 RBIs. Harper is currently on a seven-game hitting streak. Bohm’s 61 RBIs are 4th in the league and is batting .301 for the season.
