Boston Red Sox vs Cincinnati Reds Betting Pick & Prediction 6/22/24

From Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, we have the Red Sox and Reds facing off in an interleague matchup. Saturday’s matchup is set to start at 4:10 PM ET, and the Red Sox are favored on the money line, with their odds sitting at -127 compared to the Reds at +107. The over/under line is currently at 9.5 runs.

Boston comes in with a record of 40-36, while the Reds are 36-39 overall. Nick Pivetta is starting for the Red Sox, and he is facing off against Frankie Montas. This game will be televised on BSOH.

BOSTON RED SOX VS CINCINNATI REDS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Boston Red Sox Moneyline -127

This game will be played at Great American Ball Park at 4:10 ET on Saturday, June 22nd.

HOW TO BET THE RED SOX VS REDS:

• We have the Red Sox winning by a score of 5 to 4
• However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Reds to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the under

Cincinnati picked up a 5-2 win over the Red Sox in the most recent game of this series. The Reds had a huge 1st inning, scoring five of their seven runs. As for the Red Sox, they scored their only two runs in the 3rd. Heading into the game, the Reds were the slight favorites at -105.

Andrew Abbott got the win for the Reds, going 5 2/3 innings and giving up just two earned runs. He finished the game with 10 strikeouts but issued a costly home run. Alexis Díaz got the save. Kutter Crawford had a rough outing for the Red Sox, taking the loss.

Jeimer Candelario and Jonathan India each had two hits and two RBIs for the Reds’ offense. Connor Wong did the most damage for the Red Sox, going 2/4 with a home run.

Red Sox Records & Stats

Boston is 40-36 overall and is 3rd in the AL East, ten games behind the Yankees for the division lead. The Red Sox are 10-9 in AL East games this year. So far, they have struggled on the road, going just 18-20 compared to 22-16 at home.

The Red Sox have won three straight series, and their overall series record is 11-9-4 this year. As the road favorite, the Red Sox have gone 9-3 this year. Overall, Boston has been a good favorite, putting up a mark of 20-15. So far as the underdog, the Red Sox are 20-21.

When betting the run line on the Boston Red Sox, it’s best to take them on the road, where they have a 22-16 record. Their average run margin is +0.6 runs per game, but that number jumps to +1.3 runs per game on the road. When they win, they win big, with an average run margin of +4.4 runs per game.

The Boston Red Sox are on the road today against the Cincinnati Reds. The over/under line for the game is set at 9.5 runs. The combined run average in Red Sox games this season is 8.7 runs per game. Boston’s over/under record for the season is 34-37. The average over/under line for Red Sox games this season is 8 runs. In games with an over/under line of 9.5 runs, the Red Sox have a 2-5 over/under record. Only 3.9% of their games this season have had an over/under line of 9.5 runs or higher.

Right-hander Nick Pivetta is starting for the Red Sox today as he faces the Reds on the road. Pivetta has made 10 starts this season and has a record of 4-4 with a 3.88 ERA. In his 10 appearances, he has turned in four quality starts. Pivetta’s ERA on the road is 3.62, and he has gone 3-2 away from home. Most recently, he picked up the win against the Blue Jays, giving up three earned runs in seven innings of work. Before that, he had given up at least four earned runs in three straight starts.

Heading into today’s game, the Red Sox are 6th in the league in runs scored at 4.6 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 4.9 runs per contest. As a team, the Red Sox are batting .253, which is 6th in the league, and are also one of the top home run hitting teams in the league. Boston’s lineup has been tough to strike out, as they are 28th in the league in strikeouts.

Ceddanne Rafaela has been swinging a hot bat for the Red Sox, going 12/22 in his last six games with a home run and four RBIs. Tyler O’Neill has also homered three times in his last six games but has just six hits in his last 25 at-bats. O’Neill comes into the game with a team-high 15 home runs, while Rafael Devers is 2nd on the team with 14 homers and is batting .274 for the season.

Reds Records & Stats

Cincinnati is 36-39 overall and trail the Brewers by 7.5 games in the NL Central. The Reds are 9-10 in divisional games this year. Cincinnati took the first game of the series vs. the Red Sox and will be at home for today’s matchup.

At home, the Reds are 19-19 this year compared to 17-20 on the road. As the underdog, the Reds are 17-26 this year and 19-13 when favored. Cincinnati’s overall series record is 8-14-2, and they have dropped two straight series.

The Reds have been a solid run line bet this season, going 40-35 overall. They have been especially good on the road, where they are 24-13 against the run line. They have covered the run line in two straight games overall and as an underdog. Their average run differential in wins is +3.5, while it is -2.9 in losses.

The Cincinnati Reds have played to the over in 11 of their 17 games with an over/under line of 9.5 runs this season. Their games have averaged 8.2 runs per game, and their overall over/under record is 31-41. The under has hit in six straight games for the Reds.

Reds starter Frankie Montas has made 13 starts this season and has a record of 3-5 with an ERA of 4.62. So far, he has turned in four quality starts and is averaging 7.31 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, Montas finished with a no-decision, giving up three earned runs in five innings of work. Before that, he had given up at least three earned runs in three straight starts. Montas’ ERA at home is 6.34 compared to 7.1 on the road.

Over the past nine games, Jeimer Candelario has been on fire for the Reds, going 13/33 with five home runs and 11 RBIs. For the season, he is batting .255, and his 14 homers are 10th best in the majors. Candelario’s 37 RBIs are the 2nd most on the team, behind Spencer Steer, who has 43 RBIs but is batting just .234.

As a team, the Reds are averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 18th in the league. They have been a bit better on the road, averaging 4.4 runs per game. Overall, they are 14th in home runs and have the 20th batting average in the MLB. Currently, the Reds have three players on a hitting streak, led by Nick Martini at six games.