Miami Marlins vs Washington Nationals Betting Pick & Prediction 6/15/24

From Nationals Park in Washington, we have the Marlins and Nationals facing off in an NL East matchup. First pitch for Saturday’s matchup is set for 4:05 PM ET. DJ Herz is starting for the Nationals, and they are the slight favorite on the money line (-120).

As for the Marlins, they are on a three-game losing streak and their money line odds are sitting at +102. Today’s over/under line is 8.5 runs, and Trevor Rogers is starting for Miami. MASN will be televising Saturday’s game.

WASHINGTON NATIONALS VS MIAMI MARLINS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Washington Nationals Moneyline -120

This game will be played at Nationals Park at 4:05 ET on Saturday, June 15th.

HOW TO BET THE MARLINS VS NATIONALS:

• We have the Nationals winning by a score of 5 to 4
• However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Marlins to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over

Washington cruised to an easy 8-1 win over the Marlins in the most recent game of this series. The Nationals had a huge 3rd inning, scoring seven of their eight runs. As for the Marlins, they scored their only run in the 2nd. Heading into the game, the Nationals were favored at -182 on the money line.

Mackenzie Gore started for the Nationals and picked up the win, going seven innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with 10 strikeouts but issued one walk. Shaun Anderson got the start for the Marlins and took the loss, going just two innings and giving up seven runs.

At the plate, the Nationals were led by Lane Thomas and CJ Abrams, as they were the only two Nationals hitters to have more than one hit. Thomas, Jesse Winker, and Joey Meneses each homered for Washington’s offense.

Marlins Records & Stats

Miami is 5th in the NL East with a record of 23-46, which has them 24 games behind the Phillies for the division lead. So far, they have really struggled against other NL East teams, going 5-15 this year. The Marlins are on a three-game losing streak, and they dropped the first game of this series vs. the Nationals.

At home, the Marlins are just 12-25 this year, and they are 11-21 on the road. As the underdog, the Marlins are 20-34 this year, and they are just 3-12 when favored. Looking at their overall series record, the Marlins are 5-16-1 and have lost five straight series.

When betting the Marlins on the run line, it’s best to do so on the road. Miami is 17-15 vs. the run line on the road, compared to 11-26 at home. The Marlins’ average run margin on the road is -1.2, which is better than their -1.9 average run margin at home. Miami is 1-14 vs. the run line as the favorite, but 27-27 as the underdog.

The Miami Marlins are on the road against the Washington Nationals today, and the over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs. The Marlins have a combined run average of 8.7 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 37-31. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, they have a record of 15-11. So far this season, 33 of their games have had over/under lines set below 8.5 runs, while only 10 games have had lines set higher than 8.5 runs.

Miami is sending left-hander Trevor Rogers to the mound today vs. the Nationals. He has made 13 starts this season and has a record of 1-7 with a 5.37 ERA. Rogers’ WHIP for the season is currently 1.71. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, going five innings and giving up one earned run on four hits. Before that, he had given up at least four earned runs in three straight starts. Opponents are batting .291 off Rogers this season. Per nine innings, he is averaging 7.55 strikeouts and 4.5 walks.

For the season, the Marlins are averaging just 3.5 runs per game, which is 29th in the league. They have been a little better at home, averaging 3.9 runs per game. Miami’s offense has been one of the worst in the league in terms of home runs and slugging percentage. As a team, they are batting .233, which is 17th in the league.

Jazz Chisholm Jr. and Bryan De La Cruz have been two of the Marlins’ better hitters this season, with Chisholm Jr. leading the team in RBIs and De La Cruz leading the team in home runs. Chisholm Jr. has gone 6/19 in his last five games, with two homers, while De La Cruz has gone 5/17 with two homers in this stretch. Jake Burger is also on a five-game hitting streak and has two homers in his last five games.

Nationals Records & Stats

Washington is 33-36 overall and is 14 games behind the Phillies in the NL East. So far, they have gone 12-10 against other teams in the NL East. The Nationals are currently on a four-game winning streak at home, and they are 14-17 at home this year.

As for their overall record, the Nationals are 29-33 as the underdog this year and 4-3 as the favorite. Washington has won two straight series and are 9-12-1 in series this year. Over the last 10 games, the Nationals are 6-4.

Washington has been a profitable team against the run line this season, posting a 42-27 mark overall. They have been especially good on the road, going 25-13, and have covered in four straight games at home. As an underdog, the Nationals are 38-24 on the run line, and their average run margin in winning games is +3.4.

The Washington Nationals are playing host to the Miami Marlins today, with the over/under line set at 8.5 runs. Both teams have combined for an average of 8.4 runs per game this season, and the Nationals have a 32-34 over/under record overall. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, Washington has gone 11-11. So far this season, 27.5% of the Nationals’ games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs.

Getting the start for the Nationals today is DJ Herz, who will be making his third start of the season. He has yet to record a win, as he took a loss in his first start and then took a no-decision in his last outing. Herz’s first start was against the Mets, and he went 4 innings, giving up 4 runs on 7 hits. In his last start, he went 4 1/3 innings, giving up 2 earned runs.

So far this season, the Nationals are averaging 4.1 runs per game, which is 21st in the league. At home, they are averaging 4.3 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting just .234 and are also near the bottom of the league in terms of home runs and isolated power. However, their team OPS of .661 is 23rd in the league.

CJ Abrams has been on a tear of late, going 11/33 in his last eight games with two homers and 10 RBIs. For the season, he is batting .257 with a team-high 36 RBIs and 11 homers. Lane Thomas is also on an eight-game hitting streak, going 10/29 in his last eight games.