Cleveland Guardians vs Miami Marlins Betting Pick & Prediction 6/9/24

Carlos Carrasco will start for the Guardians on Sunday, as they are facing the Marlins and Trevor Rogers. Cleveland is currently 41-22, and the Marlins are 22-42 overall. This interleague matchup is set to get started at 1:40 PM ET from loanDepot Park in Miami, and the Guardians are favored on the money line (-111).

The over/under line is currently at 8.5 runs, and the game will be televised on BSFL. Cleveland is in first place in the AL Central, while the Marlins are fifth in the NL East.

CLEVELAND GUARDIANS VS MIAMI MARLINS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Cleveland Guardians Moneyline -111

This game will be played at loanDepot Park at 1:40 ET on Sunday, June 9th.

HOW TO BET THE GUARDIANS VS MARLINS:

• We have the Guardians winning by a score of 5 to 4
• However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Marlins to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over

Cleveland cruised to an easy 8-0 win over the Marlins in the most recent game of this series. The Guardians had a huge 5th inning, scoring six of their eight runs. As for the Marlins, they had their best chance to score in the 7th, but could only muster four hits and left four runners on base.

Ben Lively only went five innings for the Guardians but didn’t give up a run and picked up the win. Roddery Muñoz struggled on the mound for the Marlins, giving up four earned runs in four innings of work. He took the loss.

Steven Kwan and José Ramírez each homered for the Guardians, while Josh Naylor scored twice and drove in two runs while going 2/5. David Fry also had a two-hit game and drove in a run.

Guardians Records & Stats

Cleveland is 41-22 overall and leads the AL Central by three games over the Royals. The Guardians are 11-6 against other teams in the AL Central. So far, they have been good at home, going 21-8, and they have gone 20-14 on the road. This season, they are 17-7 in day games.

As the favorite, the Guardians are 29-14 this year and 12-8 as the underdog. Cleveland’s overall series record is 14-5-1, and they are currently tied with the Marlins in their series. Over their last ten games, the Guardians are 5-5.

When the Guardians win, they tend to do so by a comfortable margin, as their average run differential in victories is +3.7 runs per game. That has helped them to a 35-28 run line record this season. They’ve been a solid bet on the run line both at home (16-13) and on the road (19-15), and they’ve been especially profitable as the underdog, going 15-5 against the run line in those games. Overall, their average run differential this season is +1.4 runs per game.

The Cleveland Guardians are on the road against the Miami Marlins today, with the over/under line set at 8.5 runs. Both teams have a combined run average of 8.7 runs per game this season, and the over/under record for the Guardians is 30-28. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, the Guardians have a record of 5-10, and 20.6% of their games this season have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs or higher.

Right-hander Carlos Carrasco gets the start for the Guardians today as he faces the Marlins on the road. So far this season, he has made 10 starts and has a record of 2-5 with a 5.66 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, Carrasco has a WHIP of 1.50 and opponents are batting .272 this season. In his last outing, he took the loss, giving up five earned runs in four innings of work. Before that, he had given up at least three earned runs in three straight starts. Carrasco’s ERA on the road is 6.17 compared to 5.92 at home.

Jose Ramirez has been the Guardians’ top power threat this season, as his 18 home runs are 4th in the league and the most on the team. He also comes into the game as the league’s top RBI man, with 61. Ramirez has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 12/37 in his last 10 games. Josh Naylor is 2nd on the team with 16 homers but has struggled of late, hitting just .175 over his last 10 games.

As a team, the Guardians are 3rd in the league in scoring at 5.1 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.2 runs per contest. Overall, they are batting .239 and have the league’s 7th best on-base percentage. Cleveland also comes into the game with two players on five-game hitting streaks.

Marlins Records & Stats

Miami is 5th in the NL East, trailing the Phillies by 23 games. Overall, the Marlins are 22-42 and have gone just 4-12 in divisional matchups this year. The Marlins will be at home today, where they are 12-24 compared to 10-18 on the road.

So far this season, the Marlins are just 3-12 when favored and 19-30 as the underdog. They have dropped three straight series and have an overall series record of 5-14-1. Miami is 3-7 over their last ten games and will be looking to take the series from the Guardians with a win today.

The Marlins have been a solid run line bet on the road this season, going 15-13, but they have been a disaster at home, going 11-25. They have been a much better bet as an underdog, going 25-24, compared to just 1-14 as a favorite. Their average run margin in losing games is -3.9, compared to +3.2 in winning games.

When the Miami Marlins play at home, the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs for 24 games this season. In those games, the over has hit 14 times and the under has hit 10 times. The Marlins’ games have averaged 8.7 runs per game this season, and their overall over/under record is 34-29. The average over/under line for their games this season is 8 runs.

Miami is sending left-hander Trevor Rogers to the mound today vs. the Guardians. This year, he has made 12 starts and has a record of 1-7 with a 5.68 ERA. Looking back at his last outing, Rogers took the loss vs. the Rangers, giving up four earned runs in six innings of work. He has allowed at least one homer in three straight outings. Opponents are batting .300 off Rogers this year, and his ERA at home is 6.34 compared to 8.18 on the road.

Josh Bell has been on fire for the Marlins over the team’s last 10 games, going 17/40 (.425) with six runs scored and four RBIs. Overall, Bell is batting .256 with seven homers, which is 15th in the league. Miami’s top home run hitter is Bryan De La Cruz, who has 11 homers this season while batting just .248. De La Cruz has struggled of late, going just 6/36 in his last nine games.

As a team, the Marlins are 29th in the league in scoring at just 3.6 runs per game. They have been slightly better at home, averaging 3.9 runs per game. Overall, they are batting .235, which is 12th in the league, but are near the bottom of the league in on-base percentage and slugging.