New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies Betting Pick & Prediction 6/9/24
The Phillies are the heavy favorite on the money line today, as they are sitting at -155 compared to the Mets at +131. This NL East matchup has an over/under line of 10.5 runs, and first pitch from London Stadium is set for 10:10 AM ET.
Jose Quintana will go for the Mets, and he is facing off against Taijuan Walker. The Phillies are 45-19 and they are on a four-game winning streak, while the Mets are 27-36 and are 4th in the NL East. ESPN is carrying this game on TV.
PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES VS NEW YORK METS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Philadelphia Phillies Moneyline -155
This game will be played at London Stadium at 10:10 ET on Sunday, June 9th.
HOW TO BET THE METS VS PHILLIES:
- We have the Phillies winning by a score of 5 to 4
- However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Mets to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the under
Philadelphia cruised to a 7-2 win over the Mets in the most recent game of this series. The Phillies had a huge 4th inning, scoring six of their seven runs. As for the Mets, they scored their only two runs in the 5th. Heading into the game, the Phillies were favored at -162 on the money line.
Ranger Suarez started for the Phillies and picked up the win, going 5 2/3 innings and giving up just two earned runs. He finished the game with six strikeouts but issued one walk. On the other side, Sean Manaea got the start for the Mets and took the loss, giving up six earned runs in just 3 2/3 innings of work.
Bryce Harper, Whit Merrifield, and Nick Castellanos each homered for the Phillies. Harper, Merrifield, and Francisco Lindor each had two RBIs for the Mets.
Mets Records & Stats
The Mets are 27-36 overall and trail the Phillies by 17.5 games in the NL East. So far, they are 8-9 in divisional matchups. New York will look to close the gap on the Phillies as they try to move out of 4th place in the division, where they currently sit.
At home, the Mets have gone just 13-22 this year. New York has been better at .500 at 14-14 on the road. As the road underdog, the Mets have put together a mark of 9-10 this year, and they have won three straight as the road underdog.
When the Mets win, they’ve been doing it by an average of 2.9 runs per game, but when they lose, they’re losing by an average of 3.1 runs per game. They’ve been a good bet on the run line on the road, going 17-11, and they’ve covered the run line in their last three road games.
When the Mets are on the road, the over/under line is set at an average of 8 runs per game. Their games have averaged 9.2 runs per game, and their over/under record is 33-28. Their games have had an over/under line of 10.5 runs zero times this season, with all 63 games having lines set below that number.
New York is sending left-hander Jose Quintana to the mound today vs. the Phillies. He has made 12 starts this year and has a record of 1-5 with an ERA of 5.17. Quintana’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.39. In his 12 appearances, he has turned in three quality starts. Quintana’s last outing came vs. the Diamondbacks, where he finished with a no-decision, giving up three earned runs in four innings of work. Before that, he had given up three earned runs in three straight outings. Opponents are batting .265 off Quintana this season.
Francisco Lindor, Pete Alonso, and Brandon Nimmo are all tied for the team lead in RBIs, with each player driving in 31 runs so far this season. Alonso and Nimmo are also tied for the team lead in home runs, with Alonso’s 14 homers being the 8th most in the league. Alonso has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 8/25 in his last six games, with two homers and four RBIs.
As a team, the Mets are averaging 4.3 runs per game, which is 14th in the league. They have been a much better offensive team on the road this season, averaging 5.5 runs per contest. Overall, the Mets are 10th in the league in home runs and have the 9th best batting average in the league.
Phillies Records & Stats
With an overall record of 45-19, the Phillies lead the NL East by nine games over the Braves. The Phillies have won four straight games, and they are 12-5 against other teams in the NL East. Philadelphia has been tough to beat at home, where they are 27-9 this year.
So far, the Phillies have been the favorite in most of their games, putting together a mark of 40-15 as the favorite. As for their record as the home favorite, they are 26-7 this year. Philadelphia’s overall series record is an impressive 14-4-3, and they have won three straight series.
Philadelphia has been a solid run line bet this season, going 36-28 overall. They’ve been especially good at home, where they are 20-16 against the run line. Overall, the Phillies’ average run margin is +1.7 runs per game, but they’ve been even better at home, where they’ve outscored opponents by an average of 1.9 runs per game.
When the Philadelphia Phillies host the New York Mets today, the over/under line is set at 10.5 runs. This season, the Phillies have an over/under record of 27-33, and their games have averaged 8.5 runs per game. Their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs, and when the line has been set at 10.5 runs, the over has hit in their only game.
Taijuan Walker gets the start for the Phillies today and comes into the game with a record of 3-1 and ERA of 5.74. So far, he has made two quality starts and is averaging 7.17 strikeouts per nine innings. Walker’s last outing came vs. the Cardinals, where he finished with a no-decision after giving up four earned runs in five innings of work. Before that, he had gone three straight outings without taking the loss and finished with a no-decision in all three. Walker has given up at least one homer in each of his last four outings.
Philadelphia comes into the game as the 2nd highest-scoring team in the league, averaging 5.1 runs per game. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.4 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .254, which is the 5th best mark in the league. The Phillies also do a good job of working the count, as they are 2nd in the league in walks.
Bryce Harper and Alec Bohm have been the Phillies’ top home run hitters this season, with 15 and 6 homers, respectively. Bohm is also the team’s top hitter in terms of RBIs, as his 50 RBIs are the 5th best mark in the league. Harper has gone 7/21 in his last six games, with two homers and three RBIs.