Minnesota Twins vs Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Pick & Prediction 6/9/24

On Sunday, the Twins and Pirates will face off in an interleague matchup at 1:35 PM ET at PNC Park in Pittsburgh. The money line odds have the Twins at -110 compared to the Pirates at -108, and the over/under line is currently 8 runs.

SN PT will be televising Sunday’s game, and Bailey Ober will be on the mound for the Twins, while the Pirates are starting Jared Jones. Ober and the Twins are looking to snap a five-game losing streak, and they are 3rd in the AL Central, while the Pirates have won two in a row and are 3rd in the NL Central.

MINNESOTA TWINS VS PITTSBURGH PIRATES BETTING PICK

The Pick: Minnesota Twins Moneyline -110

This game will be played at PNC Park at 1:35 ET on Sunday, June 9th.

HOW TO BET THE TWINS VS PIRATES:

• We have the Twins winning by a score of 5 to 4
• However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Pirates to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over

Pittsburgh cruised to a 4-0 win over the Twins in the most recent game of this series. The Pirates had a huge 8th inning, scoring three of their four runs. As for the Twins, they had their best chance to score in the 7th, but could only push across one run.

Carmen Mlodzinski only went 1 2/3 innings for the Pirates but didn’t give up a run and struck out one. Hunter Stratton got the win out of the bullpen. Simeon Woods Richardson had a good outing for the Twins, giving up just one run in 6 1/3 innings of work.

Rowdy Tellez was the difference for the Pirates, as he homered, scored twice, and drove in three runs. Andrew McCutchen also had a three-hit game and scored two runs. Bryan Reynolds added a two-hit game at the plate.

Twins Records & Stats

Minnesota is 33-31 overall, and they are looking to snap a five-game losing streak today on the road vs. the Pirates. The Twins are 8.5 games behind the Guardians in the AL Central, and they are 3rd in the division. So far, they have gone 15-11 in AL Central matchups.

As the favorite, the Twins have gone 25-15 this year and 8-16 as the underdog. Minnesota is 13-5 as the road favorite, and they have an overall road record of 17-18. The Twins have dropped five straight on the road, and they are 16-13 at home.

Minnesota has been a tough team to figure out this season, as they have a run differential of -0.2 runs per game. They have gone 28-36 against the run line, including a 17-18 mark on the road. They have failed to cover the run line in their last five road games and are just 6-17 against the run line as the favorite this season.

The Twins are on the road today to face the Pirates in a game with an over/under line of 8 runs. Minnesota’s games have averaged 8.7 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 27-35. When the line has been set at 8 runs, their record is 4-10-2. The over/under line has been set at 8 runs in 37.5% of their games this season, and their current streak is two games to the under.

Through 12 starts, Bailey Ober has a record of 5-4 and an ERA of 4.93. This season, he has made four quality starts and is averaging 8.71 strikeouts per nine innings. Ober’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.13. In his last outing, he took the loss, going five innings and giving up three earned runs on four hits. Before that, he had given up at least five earned runs in three straight starts. The right-hander will be looking to bounce back today against the Pirates. At home, he is 2-1 with a 4.26 ERA compared to 3-3 with an 11.3 ERA on the road.

For the season, the Twins are averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 18th in the league. They have been a better offensive team on the road, averaging 4.6 runs per game. As a team, they are batting .229, which is 16th in the MLB, and have the 11th best slugging percentage in the league. Minnesota’s offense has been good at hitting for power this season, as their isolated power figure of .162 is 4th in the league.

Ryan Jeffers has been the Twins’ top power threat this season, as his 12 homers is the best on the team and 10th best in the MLB. However, he is batting just .233 for the season and has gone just 3/23 in his last eight games. Carlos Santana has also struggled with a batting average of just .217, but he has gone 6/23 in his last seven games, including two home runs.

Pirates Records & Stats

Pittsburgh has taken the first two games of their series vs. the Twins and overall are 31-33 this season. The Pirates are 7th in the NL Central and trail the Brewers by seven games. So far, they are 7-7 in divisional games.

As the underdog, the Pirates have been good this year, putting together a record of 22-19 in those games. They have also been tough at home as the underdog, going 10-6 this season. Pittsburgh’s overall record is a result of going 16-16 at home and 15-17 on the road.

The Pirates have been a solid run line bet this season, with a 37-27 record. They have been especially profitable as the underdog, going 29-12 against the run line. They have covered the run line in two straight games and have a run line record of 17-15 at home.

Today’s over/under line of 8 runs is slightly below the Pirates’ season average of 8.5 runs per game. Pittsburgh has played 63 games this season, with 42.2% of them featuring over/under lines higher than 8 runs. The Pirates have gone 9-9 in games with an over/under line of 8 runs, and their over/under record for the season is 33-30. They have hit the under in their last two games.

Jared Jones gets the start for the Pirates today and will be looking to build off his last outing, where he didn’t give up a run. Against the Dodgers on June 4th, he pitched 6 innings, picking up the win in the outing. Looking at his overall numbers, Jones has made 12 starts, and his ERA for the season is 3.25. Opposing batters are hitting .213 this season off Jones. He has a record of 4-5 this year. Per nine innings, Jones is averaging 9.87 strikeouts and just 1.95 walks. For the year, he has allowed 11 homers.

So far this season, the Pirates are averaging 4.1 runs per game, which is 19th in the league. They have been slightly better on the road, averaging 4.2 runs per game. As a team, they are batting just .231, which is 15th in the league, and are 17th in home runs. Pittsburgh has been good at drawing walks this season and have a collective OBP of .301.

Bryan Reynolds comes into the game on a seven-game hitting streak and is batting .263 for the season. He has also gone 11/35 in his last eight games, with one homer and five RBIs. Reynolds and Andrew McCutchen are tied for 2nd on the team with eight homers, with Reynolds leading the Pirates with 34 RBIs. Oneil Cruz is also near the top of the team’s home run and RBI leaderboards, with nine homers and 24 RBIs.