Detroit Tigers vs Boston Red Sox Betting Pick & Prediction 6/2/24

From Fenway Park in Boston, we have the Tigers and Red Sox facing off in an AL matchup. First pitch for this one is set for 1:35 PM ET. The money line odds have the Red Sox as the favorite at -143, while the Tigers are sitting at +122. The over/under line is currently at 9 runs, and the forecast calls for clear skies and temperatures in the mid-70s.
Detroit will be starting Casey Mize, while the Red Sox are sending Brayan Bello to the mound. Boston comes in with a record of 30-29, while the Tigers are 28-30. The Red Sox are currently on a two-game winning streak. BSDET will be televising this game.
BOSTON RED SOX VS DETROIT TIGERS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Boston Red Sox Moneyline -143
This game will be played at Fenway Park at 1:35 ET on Sunday, June 2nd.
HOW TO BET THE TIGERS VS RED SOX:
- We have the Red Sox winning by a score of 6 to 4
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Red Sox to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 10 runs and like the over
Boston picked up a 6-3 win over the Tigers in the most recent game of this series. The Red Sox had a two-run lead going into the 9th inning and the Tigers scored two runs but still fell short. Heading into the game, the Red Sox were favored at -112 on the money line.
Cooper Criswell got the win for the Red Sox, going five innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with five strikeouts but issued one walk. On the other side, Reese Olson got the start for the Tigers and took the loss, giving up five earned runs in 5 1/3 innings of work.
Enmanuel Valdez was the difference for the Red Sox, as he homered twice, scored three times, and finished with three RBIs. Jarren Duran also had a two-hit game and scored two runs for Boston’s offense.
Tigers Records & Stats
Detroit is 28-30 overall this season, and they are 4th in the AL Central, 11 games behind the Guardians for the division lead. The Tigers have dropped two straight games, and they trail the Guardians by seven games for 3rd place in the division. So far, they are 10-9 in AL Central matchups.
At home, the Tigers are 14-15 this year, and they are also 14-15 on the road. This season, the Tigers are 14-12 as the favorite but just 14-18 as the underdog. Detroit’s overall series record is 8-7-3, and they are 5-5 in their last 10 games overall.
Despite a run line record of 25-33 overall, the Tigers have been a profitable team to back on the run line on the road this season, going 16-13. They have been especially good as an underdog, going 19-13 against the run line. Detroit’s average run differential in winning games is +3.5, while it is -3.4 in losses.
The Detroit Tigers are on the road against the Boston Red Sox today. The O/U line for the game is set at 9 runs, which is higher than their season average of 8.5 runs per game. The Tigers have hit the over in 32 of their 56 games this season, and their over/under record when the line is set at 9 runs is 4-1. This is only the second game this season where the over/under line has been set at 9 runs.
Detroit is sending Casey Mize to the mound today vs. the Red Sox, and he comes in with a record of 1-3 and ERA of 4.71. So far, Mize has made 10 starts and four of them have been quality starts. Per nine innings, he has 6.16 strikeouts and just 2.17 walks. Mize’s last outing came on May 26th vs. the Blue Jays, where he went 4 1/3 innings, giving up three earned runs, and taking a no-decision. Before that, he had lost two straight starts. The right-hander has struggled on the road, coming in with a 10.13 ERA.
Over the past six games, Matt Vierling has been on fire for the Tigers, batting .462 with four homers and nine RBIs. Vierling is also currently on a six-game hitting streak. Riley Greene and Kerry Carpenter have been the Tigers’ top power threats this season, with Greene’s 10 homers leading the team and Carpenter’s eight long balls coming in at 2nd. Carpenter also leads the Tigers with 29 RBIs and is batting .283.
For the season, the Tigers are averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 17th in the league. Their team batting average is just .234 (16th) and they are 15th in home runs. Overall, they have been a below-average offensive team in most categories.
Red Sox Records & Stats
Boston is 30-29 overall and is 10.5 games behind the Yankees in the AL East. The Red Sox have gone just 5-8 in divisional games this year. Boston has won two straight games, and they are closing out their series vs. the Tigers today with a 2-1 series lead.
At home, the Red Sox are 13-16 this year and 17-13 on the road. As the favorite, Boston is 16-12 this year and 14-17 as the underdog. The Red Sox have dropped two straight series, and their overall series record is 8-9-1 this year.
When the Red Sox are favored, they are just 9-19 on the run line, but as the underdog, they are 18-13. They are 9-20 on the run line at home, but 18-12 on the road. Their average run margin is +0.4 runs per game, but they have been outscored at home by 0.5 runs per game.
The Boston Red Sox have played a lot of low-scoring games this season, with a combined run average of 8.3. They have an over/under record of 23-31 on the season, and their games have averaged an over/under line of 8 runs. When the line has been set at 9 runs, their over/under record is 3-1-2. In fact, only 10.2% of their games have had over/under lines set at 9 runs or higher. They are currently on a two-game over streak.
Brayan Bello gets the start for the Red Sox today as he faces off against the Tigers at home. He has made nine starts this season and has a record of 6-2 with an ERA of 4.18. Bello’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.18. In his last outing, he went 5 innings and gave up three earned runs on two homers. Bello did come away with the win in that outing. Before that, he had given up at least three earned runs in three straight starts. Bello has made two quality starts this season.
As a team, the Red Sox are averaging 4.4 runs per game, which is 13th in the league. They have been a better offensive team on the road this season, averaging 4.8 runs per game. Boston is also one of the better home run hitting teams in the league, coming in at 10th in the MLB. The Red Sox have been one of the league’s best teams at avoiding strikeouts this season.
Rafael Devers has been a key power bat in the Red Sox lineup this season, as his 10 homers are 2nd on the team and 11th in the league. He is also 2nd on the team with 27 RBIs and has a strong batting average of .278. Ceddanne Rafaela has been one of the league’s top power threats this season, as his 7 homers are 3rd in the league. He is batting just .212 but has gone 4/16 with two homers over his last five games.