Milwaukee Brewers vs Boston Red Sox Betting Pick & Prediction 5/24/24

Both the Brewers and Red Sox will send a pitcher to the mound on Friday, as Milwaukee is starting Bryse Wilson and the Red Sox are starting Kutter Crawford. The money line odds have the Red Sox favored at -136, while the Brewers are at +115. This one is being played at Fenway Park in Boston, and the forecast calls for scattered clouds and temperatures in the low 80s.

Friday’s over/under line is sitting at 9.5 runs, and the Brewers are currently 1st in the NL Central, while the Red Sox are 3rd in the AL East. Boston is currently on a four-game winning streak. BSWI will be televising this interleague matchup, and first pitch is set for 7:10 PM ET.

BOSTON RED SOX VS MILWAUKEE BREWERS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Boston Red Sox Moneyline -136

This game will be played at Fenway Park at 7:10 ET on Friday, May 24th.

HOW TO BET THE BREWERS VS RED SOX:

• We have the Red Sox winning by a score of 6 to 5
• However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Brewers to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over

Brewers Records & Stats

Milwaukee closed out their series vs. the Marlins with a 1-0 loss. Heading into the game, the Brewers were the slight favorite at -132 on the money line. It was a good start for the Brewers, as Freddy Peralta went seven innings, giving up just one run while striking out seven. However, the Brewers couldn’t get the win, and Peralta took the loss.

Offensively, the Brewers only had four hits but didn’t score a run. Their best chance to score came in the 1st inning when they had the bases loaded with one out but couldn’t get a run home. Gary Sanchez was the only Brewers hitter with more than one hit, going 2/3.

Milwaukee is 28-21 overall and leads the NL Central by two games over the Cubs. The Brewers lost two of three in their most recent series vs. the Marlins. So far, they have gone 13-7 against other teams in the NL Central.

At home, the Brewers have gone 12-9 this season and are above .500 at 16-12 on the road. As the underdog on the road, Milwaukee has put together an 11-6 mark and is 14-10 as the underdog overall. As for their series record, the Brewers are 8-6-2 and dropped two straight series before this new series vs. the Red Sox.

When the Brewers are on the road, they have been a solid bet on the run line, going 16-12. They have an average run margin of 1.0 on the road, which is better than their overall average of 0.8. They have been a better run line bet as the underdog, going 16-8, compared to 8-17 as the favorite.

The Milwaukee Brewers are on the road today against the Boston Red Sox. The O/U line for the game is set at 9.5 runs. The Brewers have gone over the total in 29 of their 49 games this season, and their games have averaged 9.2 runs per game. Their games have had an average O/U line of 8 runs, and when the line has been set at 9.5 runs, they have gone over in both games.

Bryse Wilson gets the start for the Brewers today as he faces the Red Sox on the road. He has made six starts and 12 appearances this season, coming in with a record of 2-1 and an ERA of 2.79. Wilson has pitched well this year, but he has had some issues with the long ball, giving up six homers. Wilson’s WHIP for the season is 1.14, and opponents are batting .197 off the right-hander this year. So far, he has turned in two quality starts and is coming off an outing in which he gave up two earned runs in 4 2/3 innings of work.

William Contreras has been one of the Brewers’ top hitters this season, as he is batting .333 with a team-high 40 RBIs and seven home runs. However, he has struggled a bit of late, going just 4/25 in his last six games. Willy Adames and Rhys Hoskins also have seven and nine homers, respectively, but Adames is batting just .238 for the season, and Hoskins is only hitting .233.

Over the team’s last four games, Andruw Monasterio has gone 3/10 with a home run, and Brice Turang is 6/15 in his last five games. Joey Ortiz has also gone deep in one of his last six games while batting .286.

Red Sox Records & Stats

Heading into their last game vs. the Rays, the Red Sox closed out the series with an 8-5 win. Leading up to the game, they were the slight favorite at +123 on the money line. It was a big second inning that really turned things in their favor, as the Red Sox scored five runs in the inning. The Rays could only score three runs in the 2nd, and Boston added another three runs in the 5th to put things out of reach.

Brayan Bello put together a good start for the Red Sox, going six innings and giving up just three runs on four hits. He only had three strikeouts in the outing and got the win. Wilyer Abreu was hot at the plate, going 2/4 with a homer and two RBIs.

Boston is hosting the Brewers today with an overall record of 26-24, which has them 3rd in the AL East. Currently, they are eight games behind the Yankees for the division lead. The Red Sox head into today’s game having won four straight games, and they closed out their series vs. the Rays with three straight wins.

At home, the Red Sox are 10-13 this season and have gone 16-11 on the road. So far, they have been really good in day games, going 14-6. As the favorite, the Red Sox are 13-9 this year and 13-15 as the underdog. Boston is just above .500 for the season, with an overall series record of 8-7-1.

When betting the run line on the Red Sox, it’s best to do it on the road, where they are 17-10. At home, they are just 7-16. They are 7-15 on the run line as the favorite, but 17-11 as the underdog. Their average run margin is +0.8, but they are -0.4 at home and +1.8 on the road. Their average run margin in winning games is +4.4, while it’s -3.2 in losing games. They have failed to cover the run line in five straight home games.

Today’s over/under line for the Boston Red Sox game against the Milwaukee Brewers is set at 9.5 runs. The Red Sox have had an average combined run average of 8.2 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 19-27. Their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs, and when the line has been set at 9.5 runs, the over/under record is 0-2. Only 4.0% of their games have had over/under lines set at 9.5 runs or higher.

Through 10 starts, Kutter Crawford has a record of 2-2 and an ERA of 2.17 for the Red Sox. He has made five quality starts this year and is averaging 8.84 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, Crawford finished with a no-decision, going 5 2/3 innings and giving up one earned run on six hits. Before that, he had given up at least two earned runs in three straight outings. Opponents are batting .219 off the right-hander this season. At home, Crawford is 1-2 with a 2.61 ERA compared to 1-0 with a 1.60 ERA on the road.

For the season, the Red Sox are averaging 4.5 runs per game, which is 12th in the league. They have been a better team on the road, averaging 4.9 runs per game. As a team, they are batting .243, which is 12th in the league, and have the 8th best on-base percentage in the league. Boston has been one of the better power-hitting teams in the league, as they are 9th in home runs and have the 4th best isolated power in the league.

Rafael Devers comes into the game with the 7th most home runs in the league (10) and is batting .277 for the season. He has three homers in his past five games but is just 4/18 in that stretch. Ceddanne Rafaela leads the team with 26 RBIs, but he has just five homers and is batting just .198 for the season.