New York Yankees vs Minnesota Twins Betting Pick & Prediction 5/14/24
This article was published on May 14, 2024. Today’s picks MLB picks

Carlos Rodon will start for the Yankees on Tuesday, and he will be facing off against Chris Paddack and the Twins. The money line odds have the Yankees as the favorite, and the Twins are at +115 compared to the Yankees at -137. First pitch from Target Field is set for 7:40 PM ET.
The over/under line is currently at 8 runs, and the game will be televised on BSN. Both teams are 7-3 in their last 10 games, and they are 2nd in their respective divisions. The Yankees are 27-15, while the Twins are 24-16.
MINNESOTA TWINS VS NEW YORK YANKEES BETTING PICK
The Pick: Minnesota Twins Moneyline +115
This game will be played at Target Field at 7:40 ET on Tuesday, May 14th.
HOW TO BET THE YANKEES VS TWINS:
- We have the Twins winning by a score of 6 to 5
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Twins to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
Yankees Records & Stats
The Yankees’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Rays, closing out their series with a 10-6 win. New York scored a run in the 1st inning and added another three runs in the 3rd. After the Rays pulled to within one run with a 5-run 7th, the Yankees scored an additional four runs in the top of the 8th to put things out of reach. Heading into the game, the Yankees were the -145 favorite on the money line.
Luis Gil put together a good start for the Yankees, going six innings and not giving up a run. He also issued just two walks and struck out three Rays batters. New York’s offense was carried by Jose Trevino, who went 2/4 with two homers and three RBIs.
The Yankees are on the road today vs. the Twins, with both teams sitting in 2nd place in their respective divisions. The Yankees are 27-15 overall and are 2nd in the AL East, tied with the Orioles for the division lead. New York’s record includes an even 8-8 mark in AL East matchups.
At home, the Yankees have gone 13-6 this year, and they have been really good on the road, coming in at 14-9. So far, they have been good as the favorite, going 20-11, and they are 7-4 as the underdog. New York’s overall series record is 10-2-1, and they have won three straight series.
When the Yankees win, they win big, with an average run differential of +3.4 runs per game. However, when they lose, they lose big, with an average run differential of -2.6 runs per game. Overall, the Yankees are just 21-21 against the run line this season, but they have been better on the road (13-10) than at home (8-11).
The New York Yankees have had a high-scoring season, with a combined run average of 8.3 runs per game. Their over/under record is 18-22, and the over has hit in two straight games. The over/under line for today’s game against the Minnesota Twins is set at 8 runs, which is right around their average line for the season. The over has hit in 3 of their 7 games with an over/under line of 8 runs.
Carlos Rodón gets the start for the Yankees today and will be looking to build off his last outing, where he gave up just two earned runs and got the win. In that start vs. the Astros, he went 6 1/3 innings. Looking back over his last three outings, Rodón has gone at least six innings and has given up two earned runs or fewer in each of those starts. Rodón’s ERA for the season is 3.56, and he has a record of 3-2. Opposing batters are hitting .234 this season vs. Rodón. So far, he has made four quality starts. Per nine innings, Rodón is averaging 9 strikeouts and 2.93 walks.
So far this season, the Yankees are averaging 4.8 runs per game, which is 8th in the league. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.1 runs per contest. As a team, the Yankees are 3rd in home runs and have the league’s 2nd ranked walk rate. They also have a team batting average of .249, which is 8th in the league.
Yankees fans have to be happy with the way Aaron Judge has been swinging the bat of late, as he has gone 12/31 in his last nine games with four homers and nine RBIs. This has helped him move into the team lead in home runs, while Juan Soto is hitting .314 with a team-high 34 RBIs.
Twins Records & Stats
The Twins’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Blue Jays, closing out their series with a 5-1 win. After allowing one run to the Blue Jays in the bottom of the first, the Twins responded with three runs of their own. Minnesota went on to add another two runs in the 7th inning.
Starting for the Twins was Bailey Ober, who picked up the win while tossing 6 1/3 innings of scoreless baseball. He also finished with 10 K’s and issued just one walk. Carlos Santana went 2/4 with a homer and three RBIs.
Minnesota will host the Yankees with an overall record of 24-16, putting them just one game behind the Guardians for the AL Central lead. So far, they have gone 12-7 against other teams in the AL Central. The Twins have been good at home, going 11-8, and they have been even better on the road, coming in with a record of 13-8.
As the favorite, the Twins have gone 19-7 this year and 5-9 as the underdog. Minnesota has won two straight games at home, and they have an overall series record of 7-4-2. They have won six straight series and have won three straight series on the road.
Minnesota has been a solid bet against the run line this season, going 22-18 overall. They have been especially good on the road, going 13-8 against the run line. The Twins have been a good bet as the favorite, going 15-11 against the run line in those games. In their wins, they have been especially good, with an average run margin of 3.6 runs per game.
Minnesota’s over/under record for the season is 20-19, and the average over/under line for their games is 8 runs. When the over/under line is set at 8 runs, their record is 4-5-1. So far this season, 35.0% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8 runs, while 40.0% have had lines set below that number. Their combined run average for the season is 9.1 runs per game.
Chris Paddack gets the start for the Twins today and comes into the game with a record of 4-1 and an ERA of 4.34. So far this season, he has made seven starts, and opponents are batting .296 off the right-hander. Paddack has made two quality starts this year and is averaging 8.92 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, he went 5 1/3 innings, giving up one earned run, and got the win. Before that, he had given up at least four earned runs in three straight starts. Paddack has been much better at home, coming in with a 1.39 ERA compared to 8.96 on the road.
Carlos Santana has been on a tear of late for the Twins, going 7/16 in his last five games with three homers and eight RBIs. This has helped him move into a tie with Edouard Julien for 2nd on the team in homers. Max Kepler is also swinging a hot bat right now, going 7/18 in his last five games, and he is currently on a 14-game hitting streak.
As a team, the Twins are 6th in the league in scoring at 4.9 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.4 runs per contest. Overall, they are 10th in home runs and have the league’s 3rd best isolated power figure.
