Pittsburgh Pirates vs Milwaukee Brewers Betting Pick & Prediction 5/14/24

The money line odds for Tuesday’s Pirates vs. Brewers matchup have the Brewers as the heavy favorites, with their odds sitting at -155 compared to the Pirates at +130. This one is getting started at 7:40 PM ET from American Family Field in Milwaukee, and the Brewers are 1st in the NL Central, while the Pirates are 3rd.

The over/under line is currently at 8.5 runs, and SN PT will be televising this game. Joe Ross is starting for the Brewers, while the Pirates are going with Quinn Priester. Milwaukee is currently on a two-game winning streak, and they are 24-17, while the Pirates are 19-23.

MILWAUKEE BREWERS VS PITTSBURGH PIRATES BETTING PICK

The Pick: Milwaukee Brewers Moneyline -155

This game will be played at American Family Field at 7:40 ET on Tuesday, May 14th.

HOW TO BET THE PIRATES VS BREWERS:

• We have the Brewers winning by a score of 5 to 4
• However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Pirates to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over

Pittsburgh rallied for two runs in the 8th inning in the most recent game of this Pirates vs. Brewers series. The Pirates scored two runs in the 1st inning but didn’t score another run until putting up two in the top of the 8th, picking up an 8-6 win. Heading into the game, the Pirates were at +118 on the money line.

Mitch Keller started for the Pirates and went six innings, giving up zero earned runs and striking out seven. He picked up a win in the game, while David Bednar got the save. Colin Rea had a rough outing for the Brewers, taking the loss.

Pittsburgh’s offense was led by Bryan Reynolds, who went 5/5 with a home run. Reynolds scored three times and drove in two runs. Andrew McCutchen and Oneil Cruz each had two hits and two RBIs for the Pirates.

Pirates Records & Stats

Pittsburgh is 19-23 overall and trail the Brewers by 5.5 games in the NL Central. So far, they have gone just 4-4 in divisional games. The Pirates are looking to pick up a road win today, as they are 10-11 on the road compared to 9-12 at home.

As the underdog, the Pirates have gone 13-11 this year compared to 6-12 as the favorite. They are also looking to snap a two-series losing streak today, with an overall series record of 4-6-3.

When betting the run line, the Pirates have been a solid play this season, going 22-20 overall. They have been especially good as the underdog, going 17-7 on the run line in those games. The Pirates’ average run differential on the season is -0.6, but they have been better than that in games they have won, with an average run differential of +2.6 in those contests.

With a combined run average of 8.1 runs per game, the Pittsburgh Pirates and their opponents have been scoring slightly below the 8.5 over/under line set for their game against the Milwaukee Brewers today. The Pirates have gone over the over/under line in 10 of their 15 games with an over/under line set at 8.5 runs this season.

Quinn Priester is on the mound for the Pittsburgh Pirates today as they take on the Brewers. This will be his third start of the season, and he is still looking for his first win. In his last outing, he went 4 2/3 innings, giving up 5 runs, but he did strike out 7 batters. In his first start, he went 6 innings, giving up 3 runs.

So far this season, the Pirates offense is averaging just 3.8 runs per game, which is 26th in the league. They have been even worse at home, averaging only 3.3 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting just .226 and have the league’s 24th ranked slugging percentage. However, they have been good at drawing walks and have the league’s 13th best on-base percentage.

Over his last six games, Oneil Cruz has gone 10/23 with two homers and six RBIs. Cruz is currently leading the Pirates in RBIs, with a total of 18. Connor Joe has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 6/20 with two homers in his last five games. Joe also leads the team in batting average (.292) and has 20 RBIs.

Brewers Records & Stats

Milwaukee comes into today’s game vs. the Pirates having dropped two straight games, and they are 24-17 overall. The Brewers lead the NL Central by a half-game over the Cubs. So far, they have gone 11-7 against other teams in the NL Central.

At home, the Brewers are 10-9 this year and have gone 14-8 on the road. As the favorite, the Brewers are 11-8 this year and 13-9 as the underdog. Milwaukee’s overall series record is 7-4-2.

The Brewers have been a solid run line bet on the road this season, going 14-8. They have a run line record of 21-20 overall, and their average run margin is +0.8 runs per game. As the underdog, they are 15-7 against the run line.

So far this season, the Milwaukee Brewers have played 41 games with an average of 9.4 runs per game. Their over/under record is 25-16, and their games have averaged an over/under line of 8 runs. However, when the line has been set at 8.5 runs, the over has hit in 16 of their 22 games. Overall, only 9.8% of their games have had higher lines than 8.5 runs.

Joe Ross gets the start for the Brewers today and will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Royals, where he took the loss. In that game, he gave up three earned runs in five innings of work. Looking back over his last four starts, Ross has given up at least one homer in each outing. So far this season, he has a record of 1-4, an ERA of 4.75, and WHIP of 1.47. Opposing batters are hitting .271 off Ross this season. Ross has made two quality starts this year and is averaging 7.25 strikeouts per nine innings.

William Contreras comes into the game as one of the league’s top hitters, as he is batting .354 for the season, and he has also gone 15/38 in his last 10 games. However, he has yet to homer during this stretch. Rhys Hoskins is also one of the Brewers’ top power threats, as he has gone deep nine times this season, which is 5th best in the league. He has also gone 7/28 in his last nine games.

As a team, the Brewers are the league’s 3rd scoring offense, averaging 5.1 runs per game. They have been especially good at home, where they are also averaging 5.1 runs per contest. Currently, they are one of the league’s top home run hitting teams and have the 4th best team batting average in the league.