Pittsburgh Pirates vs Milwaukee Brewers Betting Pick & Prediction 5/13/24

The Pirates and Brewers are set to face off in an NL Central matchup at 7:40 PM ET on Monday. This one is being played at American Family Field in Milwaukee and features a Pirates club that is 18-23 compared to the Brewers at 24-16.

Monday’s matchup is being televised by BSWI, and the over/under line is at 8 runs. The Brewers are the home favorite, with a money line payout of -139. Mitch Keller is starting for the Pirates, and he is facing off against Colin Rea.

MILWAUKEE BREWERS VS PITTSBURGH PIRATES BETTING PICK

The Pick: Milwaukee Brewers Moneyline -139

This game will be played at American Family Field at 7:40 ET on Monday, May 13th.

HOW TO BET THE PIRATES VS BREWERS:

• We have the Brewers winning by a score of 5.1 to 5
• However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Pirates to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 10.1 runs and like the over

Pirates Records & Stats

The Pirates will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Cubs with a 5-4 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 10th inning before the Cubs scored three runs in the top of the 10th. Pittsburgh was the -102 favorite at home going into the game.

Bailey Falter put together a good start for the Pirates, going six innings and giving up just two earned runs, and striking out one. However, the Pirates couldnjson’t close things out, and Aroldis Chapman took the loss out of the bullpen. The Pirates also wasted a big game from Connor Joe, who homered in the 1st inning, going 2/4.

Pittsburgh is 18-23 overall and trails the Brewers by 6.5 games in the NL Central. The Pirates are 3rd in the division and have gone 3-4 in divisional games this year. The Pirates will be looking to pick up a win today, as they dropped two of three in their most recent series vs. the Cubs.

At home, the Pirates are 9-12 this year, and they are just under .500 at 9-11 on the road. So far, they have really struggled as the favorite, going 6-12. As for their record as the underdog, they are 12-11 this year. The Pirates’ overall series record is 4-6-3, and they have dropped two straight series.

The Pirates have been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 21-20 overall. They are 10-11 against the run line at home and 11-9 on the road. They have been a better bet as the underdog, going 16-7 against the run line in those games. Their average run margin in winning games is +2.6, while their average run margin in losing games is -3.2.

When the Pittsburgh Pirates have played games with an over/under line of 8 runs this season, the over has gone 4-6. Their games have averaged exactly 8 runs per game this season. The over/under line for today’s game against the Brewers is set at 8 runs. The Pirates’ games have averaged 8 runs per game this season.

Mitch Keller will be looking to build off his last outing, where he faced the Angels and came away with the win. In that May 6th outing, he went 9 innings and gave up just one earned run. Looking at his overall numbers, Keller has made eight starts and has a record of 3-3. His ERA for the season is 4.41, along with a WHIP of 1.33. This year, opponents are batting .253 off the right-hander. Keller has turned in three quality starts and is averaging 8.08 strikeouts per nine innings. So far, he has allowed six homers.

Although the Pirates offense has been one of the worst in the league so far this season, they do have a couple of hitters who have been swinging the bat well of late. Connor Joe and Oneil Cruz have both gone deep twice in their last four games, with Cruz hitting .438 and Joe batting .375 in that stretch. Joe comes into the game with a six-game hitting streak, and Cruz has also hit safely in his last four games.

For the season, Joe is batting .292, which is the best mark on the team, and Cruz is right behind him at .265. Joe’s 20 RBIs are the best on the team, and Cruz is 2nd with 17 RBIs. Cruz’s seven homers are the most on the team and 7th in the league.

Brewers Records & Stats

The Brewers will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Cardinals with a 4-3 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 9th inning before the Cardinals scored three runs in the top of the 9th. Milwaukee was the -154 favorite at home going into the game.

Bryse Wilson put together a good start for the Brewers, going four innings and giving up just two runs on five hits. He only had one strikeout in the outing and took the loss. The Brewers’s offense was carried by Christian Yelich, who went 2/3 with a run scored and a walk.

Milwaukee hosts the Pirates with an overall record of 24-16, good for 1st place in the NL Central. Currently, they lead the Cubs by a half-game for the division lead. The Brewers went 3-1 in their most recent series vs. the Cardinals, and they are 5-5 across their last 10 games.

So far, the Brewers have been good both at home and on the road. They are 10-8 at home compared to 14-8 on the road. Milwaukee’s overall series record is 7-4-2 this year.

When betting the run line, the Brewers have been a better bet on the road than at home, as they are 14-8 on the run line away from Miller Park. They have a positive run differential both at home and on the road, but they have been a better bet to cover the run line as the underdog, going 15-7 on the run line in those games.

Today’s over/under line of 8 runs for the Milwaukee Brewers’ game against the Pittsburgh Pirates is right in line with their season average. The Brewers’ games have averaged 9.3 runs per game, and their over/under record is 24-16 on the season. Interestingly, the Brewers have played more games with over/under lines set above 8 runs (62.5% of their games) than below that number (30.0% of their games).

Milwaukee is sending Colin Rea to the mound today vs. the Pirates, and he has made seven starts this season. Rea’s ERA is currently 3.29, and he has a record of 3-0. Looking at his overall numbers, Rea has made two quality starts and is averaging 5.87 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, Rea finished with a no-decision, giving up four earned runs in 4 2/3 innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts. One area of concern for Rea is that he has allowed at least one homer in three straight outings.

William Contreras comes into the game on a six-game hitting streak and has gone 13/37 in his last 10 games, with nine runs scored. For the season, he is batting .346 with five homers and 30 RBIs. Rhys Hoskins and Willy Adames are also near the top of the Brewers’ home run and RBI leaderboards, with Hoskins leading the team with nine homers and Adames having gone deep seven times.

As a team, the Brewers are 4th in the league in scoring at 5.1 runs per game and are also 6th in home runs. They have been one of the better hitting teams in the league so far, with a team batting average of .254. Overall, their team OPS of .751 is 3rd in the league.