Washington Nationals vs Chicago White Sox Betting Pick & Prediction 5/13/24

At 7:40 PM from Guaranteed Rate Field in Chicago, we have an interleague matchup between the Nationals and White Sox. Heading into Monday’s game, the Nationals are 19-20, while the White Sox are just 12-29. Television coverage for tonight’s game is being handled by MASN.

Chris Flexen is starting for the White Sox, and he is facing off against Trevor Williams for the Nationals. Looking at the money line odds, the Nationals are at -128 compared to the White Sox at +107. The over/under line is at 8.5 runs.

WASHINGTON NATIONALS VS CHICAGO WHITE SOX BETTING PICK

The Pick: Washington Nationals Moneyline -128

This game will be played at Guaranteed Rate Field at 7:40 ET on Monday, May 13th.

HOW TO BET THE NATIONALS VS WHITE SOX:

• We have the Nationals winning by a score of 5 to 4
• However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the White Sox to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over

Nationals Records & Stats

Washington is coming off a game in which they wasted several good performances. In their 3-2 loss to Boston, MacKenzie Gore was excellent on the mound, allowing just two runs while pitching six innings. They also got a big offensive performance from Eddie Rosario, going 1/2 with a homer and two RBIs.

Rosario’s homer tied the game at 2-2 in the 4th inning, but the Nationals couldn’t get the win. They were the +117 underdog going into this road game.

Washington is 19-20 overall, and they are 8.0 games behind the Phillies for the NL East lead. The Nationals and Mets are both 8.0 games back in the division. The Nationals lost the first two games of their series vs. the Red Sox but won the final game.

As the underdog, the Nationals are 17-19 this year and 2-1 when favored. At home, Washington is 7-10 compared to 12-10 on the road. Their overall series record is 5-7-1 this year, and they are coming off losing their series vs. the Red Sox.

Washington is 25-14 against the run line this season, including a 16-6 mark on the road. The Nationals have been the underdog in 36 of their games and have gone 23-13 against the run line in those contests. Washington’s average run differential in its victories is +3.2 runs per game, while it is -3.4 runs per game in its losses.

Washington’s over/under record for the season is 17-21, and the average over/under line in their games is 9 runs. In games with an over/under line of 8.5 runs, they are 7-9. The combined run average in their games this season is 8.4 runs. The under has hit in three straight Nationals games, and they have played 10 games this season with higher over/under lines than 8.5 runs, which is 25.6% of their games. They have played 13 games with lower over/under lines than 8.5 runs, which is 33.3% of their games.

Washington is sending Trevor Williams to the mound today, and he has made seven starts this season. Williams has a record of 4-0 and an ERA of 1.96. So far, he has made one quality start and is coming off an outing in which he didn’t give up a run. In that May 7th start against the Orioles, Williams went five innings, picking up the win and giving up just two hits. Looking at his overall numbers, Williams has been much better on the road, with an ERA of 2.17 compared to 1.62 at home.

So far this season, the Nationals offense is averaging 4.1 runs per game, which is 19th in the league. They have been a bit better on the road (4.2 rpg) than at home (4.0 rpg). As a team, the Nationals are batting just .228, which is 16th in the league, and their team slugging percentage of .362 is 22nd in the league. One area they have been good at is avoiding strikeouts, as they have the 8th fewest strikeouts in the league.

Washington will be looking for Eddie Rosario to keep up his recent hot streak, as he has gone 9/19 with four homers over his last six games. This has helped him move into the team’s 2nd home run hitter, although he is batting just .174 for the season. Rosario also comes into the game on a seven-game hitting streak. CJ Abrams and Luis Garcia Jr. are the Nationals’ top two home run hitters and are also 1st and 2nd in RBIs for the team.

White Sox Records & Stats

The White Sox will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Guardians with a 7-0 loss. Chicago was the +145 underdog at home going into this matchup. Things really got away from the White Sox in the 4th inning, as the Guardians scored three runs in the inning. Chicago’s offense didn’t score a run, and their only bright spot was Zach Remillard going 2/2.

Michael Soroka got the start for the White Sox and took the loss. He only lasted 5 1/3 innings, giving up four earned runs on four hits. Soroka also issued three walks and hit a batter. The White Sox’s bullpen didnjson’t give up a run, but they also didn’t have any timely hitting as the White Sox were already down 7-0 when Soroka was pulled from the game.

Chicago is hosting the Nationals today with an overall record of 12-29, which has them 5th in the AL Central. So far, they have really struggled against other AL Central teams, going 5-19. The White Sox are 13 games behind the Guardians for the top spot in the division.

The White Sox have been much better at home than on the road this year, going 8-13 at home compared to 4-16 on the road. So far, they are 4-12 in day games. Chicago has really struggled as the underdog this year, coming in with an 11-29 mark. Their overall series record is 3-9-1.

When betting the run line on the White Sox this season, it’s been a mixed bag. They are 20-21 overall, but have been a solid bet at home, going 13-8. Their average run differential is -2.2 runs per game, and they’ve been outscored by an average of 1.7 runs per game at home. As the underdog, they are 19-21 on the run line, while they are 1-0 as the favorite.

Chicago’s over/under record for the season is 18-22, and the average over/under line in their games is 8 runs. When the line is set at 8.5 runs, they have gone 5-6. Their games have averaged 8 runs per game this season, and their last two games have gone under the total.

Chris Flexen will be looking to build off his last outing, where he faced the Rays and picked up the win. In that May 8th outing, he went 6 innings, giving up just one earned run on three hits. Looking at his overall numbers, Flexen has made six starts and two of them have been quality starts. His ERA for the season is 4.29, along with a record of 2-3. So far, he has a WHIP of 1.21 and opponents are batting .224 off the right-hander. This year, he has allowed a total of five home runs. At home, his ERA is 8.04 compared to 2.41 on the road.

Chicago’s offense has really struggled this season, as they are averaging just 2.9 runs per game, which is the worst mark in the league. They have been even worse at home, averaging only 3.1 runs per contest. As a team, the White Sox are batting just .213, and their on-base percentage of .273 is also the worst in the league.

Paul DeJong has been a bright spot for the White Sox at the plate, as he is hitting .248 for the season and has gone deep six times, which is the best mark on the team. DeJong has also been hot of late, going 11/35 in his last 10 games with three homers. Korey Lee is also swinging a hot bat right now, as he is on a five-game hitting streak and has gone 7/19 in his last five games.