Cincinnati Reds vs San Francisco Giants Betting Pick & Prediction 5/10/24

At 10:15 PM from Oracle Park in San Francisco, we have an NL matchup between the Reds and Giants. Heading into Friday’s game, the Reds are 16-21 compared to the Giants at 17-22. San Francisco is the favorite at -161 on the money line.

The over/under line is currently at 7.5 runs, and tonight’s pitching matchup features Andrew Abbott for the Reds and Logan Webb for the Giants. You can catch this one on NBCS.

SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS VS CINCINNATI REDS BETTING PICK

The Pick: San Francisco Giants Moneyline -161

This game will be played at Oracle Park at 10:15 ET on Friday, May 10th.

HOW TO BET THE REDS VS GIANTS:

• We have the Giants winning by a score of 6 to 5
• However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Reds to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over

Reds Records & Stats

Cincinnati is coming off a game in which they wasted several good performances. In their 5-4 loss to Arizona, Hunter Greene was solid on the mound, allowing three runs on just four hits. They also got a big offensive performance from Jeimer Candelario, going 2/4 with a homer and two RBIs.

Fernando Cruz took the loss out of the bullpen for the Reds, as Cincinnati allowed a run in the top of the 9th to blow their lead. The Reds were also favored at -142 at home going into the game.

Cincinnati is on the road today vs. the Giants, having lost eight straight games, and they are 16-21 overall. The Reds are 4th in the NL Central, trailing the Brewers by six games. So far, they are 1-2 in divisional games this year.

The Reds have dropped three straight games as the underdog, and they are 6-12 as the underdog overall. As for their time as the favorite, Cincinnati has gone 10-9 this year. At home, the Reds are 9-13 compared to 7-8 on the road. Looking at their series record, the Reds have dropped four straight series and are 4-7-1 overall.

The Reds have been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 17-20 overall. They have been especially profitable on the road, where they are 9-6 on the run line. Cincinnati has a run differential of -0.1 runs per game this season, but they have been outscored by just 0.5 runs per game at home. Their average run differential in winning games is +4.2 runs per game, while it drops to -3.3 runs per game in losses.

The Cincinnati Reds have played 29 games this season with an over/under line higher than 7.5 runs, which accounts for 78.4% of their games. Their games have averaged 8.8 runs per game, and their over/under record is 18-17. When the over/under line has been set at 7.5 runs, they have gone over the total in just two of six games.

Cincinnati is sending left-hander Andrew Abbott to the mound today vs. the Giants. He has made seven starts this year and has a record of 1-4 with a 3.32 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, Abbott has a WHIP of 1.16 and has allowed a total of seven home runs. Abbott’s ERA on the road is 3.6, and he has a record of 1-2 in these games. In his last outing, he gave up two earned runs in five innings of work and took the loss. Before that, he had given up four earned runs in back-to-back starts.

Cincinnati comes into today’s game with the league’s worst team batting average at just .211. They are also near the bottom of the league in on-base percentage, slugging percentage, and OPS. However, the Reds have been swinging the bats a little better of late, as shortstop Elly De La Cruz has gone 11/33 in his last nine games, including two homers. For the season, De La Cruz is batting .264 with a team-high eight home runs.

Spencer Steer and the Reds have three other hitters with four homers this season, but Steer is batting just .237. Steer’s 25 RBIs are the most on the team, while De La Cruz and Jeimer Candelario are 2nd and 5th in RBIs, respectively. Candelario has been hot of late, going 11/33 in his last nine games.

Giants Records & Stats

The Giants will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Rockies with a 9-1 loss. San Francisco was actually the slight favorite on the money line going into the game but fell behind big early, as the Rockies scored seven times in the fourth.

Offensively, the Giants only had one fewer hit than the Rockies but scored just one run. Their lone run came in the 4th inning. Michael Conforto went 2/3 with a homer, and Thairo Estrada also had a two-hit game.

San Francisco is 17-22 overall and trails the Dodgers by nine games in the NL West. The Giants are 4th in the division and have gone 8-9 in divisional games this year. They kick off their series vs. the Reds at home, with an overall record of 9-7 at home.

The Giants won their most recent series, taking two of three games vs. the Rockies. Over the last 10 games, the Giants are just 3-7. So far, they have gone 8-6 as the home favorite and 5-12 as the underdog overall.

San Francisco has been a solid bet against the run line this season, going 18-21 overall. They have been better on the road, where they are 12-11 against the run line. They have been a good bet when they are the underdog, going 10-7 against the run line. The Giants have an average run margin of -1.1 this season.

The San Francisco Giants have an over/under record of 18-19 this season, and the average over/under line for their games is 8 runs. Their games have averaged 8.6 runs per game this season, and their over/under record when the line is set at 7.5 runs is 7-6. They have played 23 games with over/under lines set higher than 7.5 runs, which is 59.0% of their games. They have played just three games with over/under lines set lower than 7.5 runs, which is 7.7% of their games. Their last two games have gone over the total.

Giants starter Logan Webb has made five straight quality starts and has an ERA of 3.50 this season. Overall, he has a record of 3-3 and has pitched much better at home, coming in with a 0.86 ERA compared to 7.08 on the road. Webb’s most recent outing was on May 5th, where he took the loss, giving up four earned runs in four innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts. Webb’s WHIP for the season is 1.36, and he is averaging 6.99 strikeouts per nine innings.

Michael Conforto has been swinging a hot bat of late for the Giants, going 9/29 in his last eight games with two homers and four RBIs. He is also on a three-game hitting streak. Conforto’s seven homers this season is the best mark on the team and 6th best in the league. Thairo Estrada is also swinging a hot bat for the Giants, going 11/36 in his last nine games with one homer and seven RBIs.

As a team, the Giants are averaging just 3.7 runs per game, which is 23rd in the league. They are also near the bottom of the league in home runs and have a collective batting average of just .240. However, their team on-base percentage and slugging percentage are right around the league average.