San Diego Padres vs Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Pick & Prediction 5/4/24

At 8:10 PM from Chase Field in Phoenix, we have an NL West matchup between the Padres and Diamondbacks. San Diego is currently 17-18, and the Diamondbacks are 14-19. Brandon Pfaadt is starting for the Diamondbacks, and he is facing off against Michael King for the Padres.

The over/under line is at 9 runs, and the Diamondbacks are the slight favorite on the money line at -126. Looking at the money line odds for the Padres, they are sitting at +106. You can catch this one on Fox Sports San Diego.

ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS VS SAN DIEGO PADRES BETTING PICK

The Pick: Arizona Diamondbacks Moneyline -126

This game will be played at Chase Field at 8:10 ET on Saturday, May 4th.

HOW TO BET THE PADRES VS DIAMONDBACKS:

• We have the Diamondbacks winning by a score of 6 to 5
• However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Padres to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over

San Diego cruised to a 7-1 win over the Diamondbacks in the most recent game of this series. The Padres had a huge 4th inning, scoring four of their seven runs. As for the Diamondbacks, they scored their only run in the 5th. Heading into the game, the Padres were favored at -116.

Dylan Cease pitched well for the Padres in this one, going 6 2/3 innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with eight strikeouts but did not factor in the decision. Mark Melancon got the win out of the bullpen. Slade Cecconi had a rough outing for the Diamondbacks, giving up six runs in just 4 1/3 innings of work.

Fernando Tatis Jr. and Jake Cronenworth each homered for the Padres, while Manny Machado went 1/4 with two RBIs. Tatis, Cronenworth, and Tyler Wade each scored two runs for San Diego’s offense.

Padres Records & Stats

Heading into today’s road matchup vs. the Diamondbacks, the Padres are 17-18 overall, and they are 4.5 games behind the Dodgers in the NL West. The Padres have won three straight games, and they are 9-8 in divisional matchups this year. San Diego’s overall record is 8-12 at home compared to 9-6 on the road.

As the underdog, the Padres are 5-8 this year, and they have dropped four straight as the underdog. San Diego is 12-10 when favored this year. The Padres’ overall series record is 5-5-2, and they are 4-6 in their last 10 games overall.

San Diego has been a profitable run line team overall, but bettors should be cautious when backing them at home. The Padres are just 6-14 against the run line at Petco Park this season. However, they have been a strong bet on the run line on the road, going 12-3. They have covered the run line in three straight games as the underdog and are 8-5 overall in that situation this season.

The Padres and Diamondbacks have a combined run average of 9.5 runs per game this season. San Diego has played 34 games this season, and 30 of them have had over/under lines set at less than 9 runs. Their over/under record for the season is 18-16. Today’s over/under line is set at 9 runs.

Right-hander Michael King gets the start for the Padres today as he faces the Diamondbacks on the road. King has made six starts this year and has a record of 2-3 with an ERA of 5.00. So far, he has made two quality starts and is coming off a rough outing where he gave up six earned runs in 5 1/3 innings of work. King has taken the loss in each of his last three outings. Opponents are batting .224 off King this season, and he has a BB/9 figure of 5.25 compared to 10 strikeouts per nine innings.

San Diego has been one of the best offensive teams in the league this season, averaging 4.9 runs per game, which is 7th in the league. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.3 runs per game. The Padres are also 6th in the league in home runs and have the 5th best team batting average in the league at .252.

Jurickson Profar and Jake Cronenworth have been two of the Padres’ top hitters this season. Profar comes into the game with a batting average of .333, and Cronenworth is hitting .279, while leading the team with 25 RBIs. Cronenworth has been especially hot of late, going 13/35 in his last nine games with three homers and 11 RBIs. Profar is also on a hot streak, going 15/37 in his last 10 games.

Diamondbacks Records & Stats

Arizona is 14-19 overall this year and trail the Dodgers by 6.5 games in the NL West. The Diamondbacks have dropped two straight games and are 4th in the division. So far, they have gone 8-7 in divisional matchups.

The Diamondbacks have dropped three straight games as the favorite, and they are 8-7 overall when favored. As the underdog, Arizona is 6-12 this year. At home, the Diamondbacks are 8-9 compared to 6-10 on the road. Arizona’s overall series record is 3-6-1, and they have dropped three straight series.

Arizona has been a .500 team against the run line this season, going 15-18. They are 8-9 at home against the run line, and 7-9 on the road. They have failed to cover the run line in their last two home games, and are 5-5 against the run line in their last 10 games overall.

Arizona’s over/under record is 13-19 on the season, and the average over/under line for their games is 9.0 runs. The over/under line for today’s game is set at 9.0 runs. The Diamondbacks have played in 11 games this season with over/under lines higher than 9.0 runs, and the under has hit in 6 of those games. Their over/under record when the line is set at 9.0 runs is 3-4, and their games have averaged 9.5 runs per game.

Arizona is starting right-hander Brandon Pfaadt today vs. the Padres, and he has made six starts this year. Pfaadt’s record for the season is 1-1, and his ERA is 4.63. Looking at his overall numbers, Pfaadt has a WHIP of 1.11 and opponents are batting .244 this season. In his six starts, he has turned in two quality starts and is averaging 9.77 strikeouts per nine innings. Pfaadt’s most recent outing came vs. the Mariners, where he went six innings, giving up two earned runs, and finished with 11 strikeouts. He didn’t allow a homer in that outing.

Arizona has been one of the better offensive teams in the league so far this season, averaging 4.9 runs per game, which is 5th in the MLB. They have been even better at home, putting up 5.1 runs per contest. The Diamondbacks are also one of the league’s top home run-hitting teams, but their team batting average of .246 is just 8th in the league.

Christian Walker has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 6/20 in his last six games with three homers and five RBIs. For the season, he is batting .269 with a team-high seven homers. Ketel Marte has also been a consistent hitter for the Diamondbacks, batting .308 for the season and is currently on a five-game hitting streak.