San Francisco Giants vs Philadelphia Phillies Betting Pick & Prediction 5/4/24

At 6:05 PM ET, the Giants and Phillies will square off in an National League matchup. This one is being played at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia and features a Giants club that is 15-18 compared to the Phillies at 22-11. There does appear to be a chance of rain in Philadelphia on Saturday.

Keaton Winn is going for the Giants, while the Phillies are sending Ranger Suarez to the mound. Philadelphia is at -184 on the money line, and the over/under line is at 7.5 runs.

SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS VS PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES BETTING PICK

The Pick: OVER 7.5 Runs

This game will be played at Citizens Bank Park at 6:05 ET on Saturday, May 4th.

HOW TO BET THE GIANTS VS PHILLIES:

• We have the Phillies winning by a score of 5 to 4
• However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Giants to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over

It was a low-scoring game in the most recent game of this Phillies vs Giants series. Philadelphia went into the matchup as -175 favorites and squeaked out a 4-3 win. The Giants had a chance to tie or win the game in the 9th inning but could only muster one run.

San Francisco wasted a good outing from Jordan Hicks, as he gave up just two earned runs in four innings of work. Aaron Nola struggled on the mound for the Phillies, giving up two earned runs across four innings. Matt Strahm got the win out of the bullpen, and Jose Alvarado got the save.

Trea Turner scored three times for the Phillies while going 2/3 with a stolen base. Brandon Marsh also had a two-hit game and drove in two runs. Thairo Estrada had a two-hit game and drove in two runs for the Giants.

Giants Records & Stats

Heading into today’s road matchup vs. the Phillies, the Giants are 15-18 overall, which puts them 3rd in the NL West. San Francisco trails the Dodgers by 5.5 games in the division and are 6-8 in divisional matchups this year. The Giants are on the road today, and they are just 6-11 on the road this year.

San Francisco has an even series record of 4-4-2 this year, and they are 5-5 over their last 10 games. As the favorite, the Giants have gone 10-9 this year and 5-9 as the underdog. Their overall record at home is 9-7.

San Francisco is 15-18 against the run line this season, but they have been a better bet on the road, going 9-8. They have covered the run line in two straight games and are 9-5 as an underdog this season. They are 6-13 against the run line when favored.

San Francisco’s over/under record for the season is 14-17, and the average line for their games is 8 runs. When the line is set at 7.5 runs, the over has hit in 7 of their 12 games. This season, the Giants have played in 19 games with a line higher than 7.5 runs, which accounts for 57.6% of their games. Their average combined run total for the season is 8.2 runs per game.

Keaton Winn has been pitching well for the Giants, as he has a record of 3-3 and an ERA of 3.18. So far, he has made six starts and three of them have been quality starts. Winn’s WHIP for the season is currently .97. In his last outing, he faced the Pirates and picked up the win, going six innings and giving up just one earned run. Looking back at his last three outings, Winn has given up just one earned run in each of them. He has only allowed more than one homer in one outing this season.

So far this season, the Giants have been one of the worst offensive teams in the league, averaging just 3.8 runs per game, which is 22nd in the league. They have been even worse at home, averaging only 3.4 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .238, which is 13th in the league, and their team on-base percentage of .303 is also below average. San Francisco’s team slugging percentage of .367 is also just 18th in the league.

Michael Conforto and Jorge Soler are tied for the team lead with five homers apiece, with Conforto’s 16 RBIs leading the team and Soler’s eight RBIs being 6th on the team. Conforto is also batting .250 for the season, and Soler is batting just .205. Over his last six games, Thairo Estrada is 6/22 with one homer and four RBIs.

Phillies Records & Stats

With an overall record of 22-11, the Phillies are leading the NL East by a half-game over the Braves. Philadelphia has taken three straight games overall and is 3-3 in divisional matchups. The Phillies have won two straight series and have an overall series record of 6-2-2 this year.

At home, the Phillies are 11-6 this season and have won seven straight at home. As the favorite, the Phillies are 18-8 this year, and they are 4-3 when coming into a game as the underdog.

The Phillies are 16-17 against the run line this season, and they have been a better bet on the road (9-7) than at home (7-10). Their average run margin is +0.8 runs per game, but they have been outscored by 4.1 runs per game in their losses. So far, they have been favored in 26 games and have gone 12-14 against the run line in those contests.

The Phillies have had an over/under record of 14-17 this season, and the average over/under line in their games has been 8 runs. When the over/under line has been set at 7.5 runs, they have gone 2-6 in those games. Overall, the combined run average in their games has been 8.4 runs per game.

Ranger Suárez gets the start for the Phillies today and comes in with a record of 5-0 and an ERA of 1.32. So far, he has made six starts and has one complete game shutout. Suárez has turned in five quality starts and is averaging 8.78 strikeouts per nine innings. The left-hander most recently faced the Padres, where he picked up the win, going eight innings and giving up just one earned run. He has not allowed more than one earned run in any of his last four outings.

Philadelphia comes into the game with the league’s 3rd best home run total and is also among the league leaders in batting average, on-base percentage, and slugging percentage. Alec Bohm has been a big part of their offense so far, as he is hitting .358 with four homers, which is 2nd in the league. His 31 RBIs are also the 2nd most in the MLB. Kyle Schwarber and Bryce Harper have also been big home run threats, as they have 8 and 6 homers, respectively.

Over his last eight games, Kyle Schwarber has gone 7/33 with two homers and seven RBIs. However, his batting average for this stretch is just .212. Bryce Harper has also hit two homers in his last eight games, but is just 5/25 during this stretch. Alec Bohm is currently on a 16-game hitting streak.