San Francisco Giants vs Boston Red Sox Betting Pick & Prediction 5/2/24

Thursday’s interleague matchup between the Giants and Red Sox is set for 1:35 from Fenway Park in Boston. The Red Sox are sending Josh Winckowski to the mound vs. Kyle Harrison for the Giants. Coming into the game, the Red Sox are 18-13 overall, while the Giants are 14-17.

San Francisco is the slight favorite on the money line, and the over/under line is at 9.5 runs. You can catch this one on NBCS.

BOSTON RED SOX VS SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Boston Red Sox Moneyline -113

This game will be played at Fenway Park at 1:35 ET on Thursday, May 2nd.

HOW TO BET THE GIANTS VS RED SOX:

• We have the Red Sox winning by a score of 6 to 5
• If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Red Sox to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over

Boston picked up a 6-2 win over the Giants in the most recent game of this series. The Red Sox had a huge 3rd inning, scoring all six of their runs. As for the Giants, they scored their only two runs in the 4th. Heading into the game, the Red Sox were favored at -160 on the money line.

Kutter Crawford started for the Red Sox and picked up the win, going seven innings and giving up just two earned runs. He finished the game with six strikeouts but issued two walks. On the other side, Erik Miller only went one inning for the Giants, giving up no hits and no earned runs.

Connor Wong was the Red Sox’ top hitter, going 3/4 with two doubles and an RBI. Both JD Martinez and Rafael Devers each drove in two runs. As for the Giants, Tom Murphy hit the game’s only home run and went 1/3.

Giants Records & Stats

San Francisco is on the road today vs. the Red Sox, and they are looking to get back to .500, as they are currently 14-17 overall. The Giants have dropped two straight games, and they trail the Dodgers by five games in the NL West. So far, they are 6-8 in divisional games.

The Giants have won two straight series, and their overall series record is 4-3-2 this year. On the road, they are 2-3 as the favorite, and they have dropped two straight as the road favorite. At home, the Giants are 9-7 this year.

San Francisco is 13-18 against the run line this season, including a 6-10 mark at home. The Giants have been a better bet on the road, going 7-8 against the run line. They are 6-13 against the run line as the favorite and 7-5 as the underdog. Their average run differential is -0.8 runs per game.

San Francisco’s over/under record for the season is 14-16, and the average over/under line for their games is 8 runs. Their games have averaged 8.4 runs per game, and their last five games have all gone under the total. Today’s over/under line is set at 9.5 runs, and the Giants have not had a game with a line set that high all season.

Giants starter Kyle Harrison has made six starts this season and has a record of 2-1 with an ERA of 4.09. Looking at his overall numbers, Harrison has a WHIP of 1.24 and has turned in four quality starts. In his most recent outing, the left-hander went six innings, giving up three earned runs, and didn’t allow a homer. Harrison didn’t give up a homer in that outing, but he has allowed a homer in three of his last four starts. Opponents are batting .265 off Harrison this season. He has a walk rate of 1.36 per nine innings compared to 8.45 strikeouts.

San Francisco comes into the game with a team batting average of .239, which is 13th in the league and right around the league average. They are also near the middle of the pack in terms of home runs and slugging percentage. Overall, they are averaging 3.8 runs per game, which is 21st in the league. At home, they are averaging just 3.4 runs per game.

Michael Conforto and Jorge Soler have been two of the Giants’ top power threats this season, as they both have five home runs. Conforto’s 16 RBIs are the best on the team, and Soler is 6th with eight RBIs. However, Soler is hitting just .211 this season and has gone 2/21 over his last six games. Matt Chapman is also struggling, hitting just .208 in his last six games.

Red Sox Records & Stats

Boston is hosting the Giants today with an overall record of 18-13, which has them 3rd in the AL East, 1.5 games behind the Orioles for the division lead. The Red Sox are looking to pick up a win at home today, as they are 0-3 in divisional games this year.

The Red Sox have won four straight games, with their most recent win coming yesterday vs. the Giants. So far, they are 7-8 at home compared to 11-5 on the road. As the home underdog, the Red Sox have gone 3-4 this year and are 9-9 as the underdog overall. Boston’s series record is 5-3-1 this year, and they are 7-3 in their last 10 games overall.

When the Red Sox win, they win big, with an average run margin of 4.7 runs per game. When they lose, they lose by an average of 3.4 runs per game. They have covered the run line in 18 of 31 games, and they are 12-4 on the run line on the road. As an underdog, they have covered the run line in 13 of 18 games.

When the Red Sox play at home, the over/under line for their games is usually set lower than 9.5 runs. In fact, 90.3% of their games have had lower lines than 9.5 runs. Their games have averaged 8.3 runs per game, and their over/under record is 13-15 on the season. They have gone under the over/under line in their last two games.

Through two starts, Josh Winckowski has a record of 1-1 and an ERA of 3.50 for the Red Sox. He has made a total of nine appearances this season. Winckowski has a WHIP of 1.67 and opponents are batting .297 this season. In his last outing, he faced the Cubs and went three innings, giving up one hit and issuing three walks. He didn’t allow a run in the outing. Winckowski has finished with a no-decision in each of his last three appearances. Per nine innings, he has 9.5 strikeouts and four walks.

Heading into today’s game, the Red Sox offense is averaging 4.8 runs per game, which is 9th in the league. They have been even better on the road this season, averaging 5.1 runs per contest. As a team, the Red Sox are batting .251, which is 6th in the league, and are also one of the league’s top home run-hitting teams.

Center fielder Ceddanne Rafaela comes into the game with a team-high 17 RBIs, but he is batting just .189 for the season. Rafael Devers has been hot of late, hitting 9/22 in his last six games, and is also on a seven-game hitting streak. Tyler O’Neill has been one of the team’s top power threats this season, as he is 2nd in the league with nine homers and is batting .304.