Atlanta Braves vs Seattle Mariners Betting Pick & Prediction 4/30/24
This article was published on Apr 30, 2024. Today’s picks MLB picks

The Braves and Mariners are set to face off in an interleague matchup at 9:40 PM ET on Tuesday. This one is being played at T-Mobile Park in Seattle, with the Braves being the favorite on the money line (-135). The over/under line is at 7 runs.
Reynaldo Lopez is starting for the Braves, and he is up against Luis Castillo for the Mariners. Atlanta comes in with a record of 19-8, while the Mariners are currently 16-13.
ATLANTA BRAVES VS SEATTLE MARINERS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Atlanta Braves Moneyline -135
This game will be played at T-Mobile Park at 9:40 ET on Tuesday, April 30th.
HOW TO BET THE BRAVES VS MARINERS:
- We have the Braves winning by a score of 5 to 4
- However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Mariners to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over
It was a low-scoring game in the most recent game of this Mariners vs Braves series. Seattle went into the matchup as +132 underdogs and squeaked out a 2-1 win. Both teams scored one run in the first inning, and the Braves could only muster one more run in the 7th inning. As for the Mariners, they scored the game’s go-ahead run in the 8th, and both offenses went silent after that.
Max Fried pitched well for the Braves in this one, going six innings and giving up just one run on two hits. He finished the game with seven strikeouts but issued two walks. A.J. Minter came out of the bullpen and took the loss. Bryce Miller put together a good outing for the Mariners, getting the win after going seven innings and giving up one earned run on two hits.
Mitch Garver provided the Mariners’ offense with a big boost, as he homered and went 1/3 at the plate. He scored both of Seattle’s runs. As for the Braves, Ronald Acuna Jr. went 2/4 with a home run.
Braves Records & Stats
Atlanta is 19-8 overall this season, which has them leading the NL East by 1.5 games over the Phillies. The Braves lost the first game of this series vs. the Guardians but bounced back with a win in the series finale. For the year, they are 8-4 in divisional games.
At home, the Braves have gone 11-4 this year, and they are 8-4 on the road. So far, they have been really good in night games, going 12-4. As the favorite, the Braves are 19-8 this year, and they have yet to be the underdog.
The Braves have been a solid run line bet this season, going 13-14 overall and 7-5 on the road. They have an average run margin of 1.7 runs per game, and they have been particularly good against the run line in their victories, with an average run margin of 3.7 runs per game.
The Atlanta Braves have been on a seven-game under streak, and their games have averaged 9.4 runs per game this season. Their over/under record is 11-14, and their games have had an average over/under line of 9 runs. When the line has been set at 7 runs, their over/under record is 1-1. So far this season, 92.6% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 7 runs, and none have had lines set lower than 7 runs.
Reynaldo López and the Braves are on the road to take on the Mariners. López has been solid in his first two starts, picking up a win against the Astros and then going 7 innings in his last start vs. the Marlins. He has 18 strikeouts in 12 innings of work and has only given up 1 earned run in each of his two outings.
As a team, the Braves are the top-scoring team in the league at 5.6 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 6 runs per contest. Not only do they have the league’s best team batting average at .272, but they also have the best team BABIP in the league. As a team, they are also near the top of the league in on-base percentage, slugging percentage, and OPS.
Marcell Ozuna has been the league’s top run producer so far, leading the league with 31 RBIs, while also being 2nd in the league with 9 home runs. Ozuna is also hitting .330 for the season. Michael Harris II has also been a key contributor, hitting .306 with 13 RBIs. Orlando Arcia has struggled of late, going 3/19 in his last five games.
Mariners Records & Stats
Seattle is hosting the Braves today with an overall record of 16-13, good for 1st place in the AL West. The Mariners hold a one-game lead over the Rangers for the division lead. The Mariners took the first game of this series vs. the Braves and have an overall series record of 4-4-1 this year.
The Mariners have been good at home this year, putting together a record of 10-7. They are just above .500 at 6-6 on the road. As the underdog, the Mariners have won two straight, and they are 3-1 as the home underdog this year. Seattle’s overall record as the favorite is 11-7.
Seattle has been a solid play on the run line this season, going 14-15 overall. They have been a better bet at home, going 8-9, compared to 6-6 on the road. The Mariners have been a good bet as an underdog, going 6-5 on the run line, and they have won two straight run line bets as the underdog. Overall, Seattle has an average run margin of +0.4 runs per game this season.
Seattle’s over/under record is now 7-20 after the under hit in their last game. The Mariners’ games have averaged 6.9 runs per game, and their average over/under line for the season is 8 runs. The over/under line for today’s game is set at 7 runs, and the under has hit in seven straight games for Seattle.
Seattle is sending right-hander Luis Castillo to the mound today vs. the Braves. He has made six starts this season and has a record of 2-4 with an ERA of 4.15. Opponents are batting .268 off Castillo this year. In his last outing, he went six innings, giving up two earned runs, and got the win. Before that, he had given up at least two homers in three straight starts. So far, he has allowed five homers at home and has an ERA of 5.52 at home compared to 3.4 on the road.
Seattle’s offense is averaging just 3.7 runs per game this season, which is 25th in the league. They have been even worse at home, putting up just 3.2 runs per contest. The Mariners are also near the bottom of the league in batting average, on-base percentage, and OPS. However, they do come into the game with the 8th most home runs in the league.
Julio Rodriguez has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 14/40 in his last 10 games. Cal Raleigh has also been swinging a good bat, going 8/31 in his last nine games with three homers. Raleigh is 3rd on the team with 13 RBIs and is batting just .226 for the season.
