Cleveland Guardians vs Houston Astros Betting Pick & Prediction 4/30/24

Carlos Carrasco will get the start for the Cleveland Guardians on Tuesday, as they are on the road to take on the Houston Astros and Hunter Brown. This American League matchup is set for 8:10 PM ET from Minute Maid Park in Houston. The Guardians are currently 19-9, while the Astros are 9-19.

Looking at the odds, the over/under line is at 9.5 runs, with the Astros being the favorite at -146 on the money line. If you’re looking to watch this one on TV, it is being carried by AT&T SportsNet SW and SportsTime Ohio.

HOUSTON ASTROS VS CLEVELAND GUARDIANS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Houston Astros Moneyline -146

This game will be played at Minute Maid Park at 8:10 ET on Tuesday, April 30th.

HOW TO BET THE GUARDIANS VS ASTROS:

• We have the Astros winning by a score of 6 to 5
• However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Guardians to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over

Guardians Records & Stats

Cleveland closed out their series vs. the Braves with a 4-3 loss. The Guardians were the +136 underdog on the road. This was a particularly tough loss, as the Guardians held a lead going into the 9th inning before the Braves scored two runs in the bottom of the 9th. Cleveland’s offense scored their three runs on 10 hits and didn’t hit a home run.

Ben Lively got the start for the Guardians, going 4 1/3 innings, and took the loss. He only gave up one run and issued just two walks, but Cleveland’s defense let him down, and he was charged with the loss. Brayan Rocchio was hot at the plate, going 2/3 with two doubles, two RBIs, and a run scored. The Guardians also had three other players with two hits.

Cleveland will be on the road to take on the Astros today, and they are 19-9 overall, putting them in 1st place in the AL Central. The Guardians lead the Tigers by three games and have gone 4-1 in division play. The Guardians dropped the final game of their series vs. the Braves but took the first two games of the series.

At home, the Guardians have gone 8-4 this year, and they have been even better on the road, going 11-5. Cleveland has been really good in day games, going 9-3 this year. So far, the Guardians have been good as the favorite, putting up an 11-5 mark, and they are 8-4 as the underdog. Cleveland has an overall series record of 7-2 this year.

The Guardians are 19-9 vs. the run line this season, including an 11-5 mark on the road. They have covered the run line in two straight games and are 10-2 as an underdog. Their average run margin in wins is +3.8, while it’s -2.9 in losses.

It’s been a low-scoring season for the Cleveland Guardians, as their games have averaged just 8.6 runs per contest. Their over/under record is 15-11, and the average line for their games has been just 8 runs. In their last three games, the under has hit each time, and the over/under line for today’s game against the Houston Astros is set at 9.5 runs.

Carlos Carrasco is on the mound for the Guardians today, as they take on the Astros. Carrasco has started three games this season, with a 1-2 record. His last time out, he took a loss vs. the Red Sox, going 5 innings and giving up 4 earned runs. He did pick up a win in his first start of the season, going 5 2/3 innings and striking out 5.

For the season, the Guardians are averaging 5.1 runs per game, which is 5th in the league. Their team batting average of .250 is also 7th in the league, and they have been good at avoiding strikeouts, as their 7 strikeouts per game is the 3rd best mark in the NBA. As a team, they are 12th in home runs and have a collective on-base percentage of .321.

José Ramírez has been hot of late, going 9/27 with two homers over his last seven games. For the season, he is batting .261 with a team-high 24 RBIs. Josh Naylor and Steven Kwan are also near the top of the team’s home run leaderboard, with Naylor’s six homers being 5th best in the league, and Kwan is 8th in the NBA with three homers.

Astros Records & Stats

The Astros’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Rockies, closing out their series with an 8-2 win. After scoring two runs in the 1st inning, the Astros added another two runs in the 2nd. Houston went on to add another four runs in the 4th inning.

Framber Valdez got the start for the Astros, going five innings and giving up just two runs on five hits. He only had two strikeouts in the outing and got the win.

Houston will be at home today, hosting the Guardians with an overall record of 9-19. The Astros have won two straight games, closing out their series with the Rockies with two wins. In the AL West, they are 6.5 games behind the Mariners for the division lead.

So far, the Astros are 4-3 against other AL West teams. At home, they are just 4-9 this year compared to 5-10 on the road. As the favorite, the Astros have gone just 7-16 this year, and they are 2-3 as the underdog. Houston’s overall series record is 3-5-1 this year.

When the Astros win, they tend to win big, with an average run margin of +5.7. However, when they lose, it’s often by a narrow margin, with an average run differential of -3.8. Houston is 10-18 against the run line this season, including a 5-8 mark at home. As the favorite, they are just 7-16 vs. the run line, while they are 3-2 as the underdog.

The Astros have played to the under in seven straight games, and the over/under record for their games this season is just 8-18. The average over/under line for their games is 10 runs, and the O/U line for today’s game against the Guardians is set at 9.5 runs. The combined run average for their games this season is 9.5 runs per game, and the percentage of their games with an O/U line of 9.5 runs is just 28.6%.

Hunter Brown and the Astros are back at home for their next start, as they take on the Cleveland Guardians. Brown has taken the loss in each of his starts this season, with his most recent outing being a 3-2 loss to the Nationals. In that game, he went 6 innings, giving up 2 earned runs and striking out 3.

Heading into today’s game, the Astros are 3rd in the league in team batting average at .264, and they also have the fewest strikeouts in the league. Overall, they are averaging 4.4 runs per game, but this number jumps to 4.8 when they are at home. Houston has been a good home run hitting team so far, as they are 6th in the league in homers.

Kyle Tucker comes into the game on a five-game hitting streak and is currently 9th in the league with 20 RBIs. Tucker is also tied for the team lead in homers, along with Yordan Alvarez and Jose Altuve. Altuve is batting .342 for the season, but he has hit just .235 over his last eight games. Jeremy Pena has been hot of late, going 9/30 in his last eight games.