Tampa Bay Rays vs Milwaukee Brewers Betting Pick & Prediction 4/30/24

At 7:40 PM from American Family Field in Milwaukee, we have an interleague matchup between the Rays and Brewers. Heading into Tuesday’s game, the Rays are 14-16, while the Brewers come in with a record of 17-11. Tampa Bay is sending Tyler Alexander to the mound, and he is facing off against Freddy Peralta for Milwaukee.

The over/under line is at 7.5 runs, and the Brewers are the favorite at -147 on the money line. Looking at the money line odds for the Rays, they are sitting at +120. You can catch this one on BSSUN.

MILWAUKEE BREWERS VS TAMPA BAY RAYS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Milwaukee Brewers Moneyline -147

This game will be played at American Family Field at 7:40 ET on Tuesday, April 30th.

HOW TO BET THE RAYS VS BREWERS:

• We have the Brewers winning by a score of 6 to 5
• However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Rays to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over

Tampa Bay picked up a 1-0 road win over the Brewers in the most recent game of this series. The Rays had just two more hits than the Brewers and struck out 10 times, but still picked up the win. Heading into the game, they were at -105 on the money line.

Ryan Pepiot started for the Rays and picked up the win, going six innings and not giving up a run. He finished the game with seven strikeouts but didn’t issue a walk. Jason Adam got the save. Bryse Wilson had a good outing for the Brewers in the loss, giving up just one earned run in six innings of work.

The only run of the game came in the first inning when Niko Goodrum scored on an Isaac Paredes single. Goodrum and Paredes were the only two Rays hitters to have more than one hit.

Rays Records & Stats

The Rays are 5th in the AL East, trailing the Orioles by five games for the division lead. Overall, the Rays are 14-16 heading into today’s road matchup vs. the Brewers. Tampa Bay closed out their series vs. the White Sox with a win but dropped the first three games of the series.

So far, the Rays have gone just 3-4 in AL East games, and they are coming off a series where they lost three straight games. This year, the Rays have a series record of 3-4-2.

When the Tampa Bay Rays win, they win big, with an average run margin of +2.4 runs per game. However, when they lose, they lose by an average of -4.0 runs per game. They have a run line record of 11-19, with a 5-12 mark at home and a 6-7 mark on the road. They have been the underdog in 7 games, going 5-2 against the run line.

The Tampa Bay Rays have had a high over/under line in their games this season, with 83.3% of their games having lines higher than 7.5 runs. Their games have averaged 8.8 runs per game, and their over/under record is 17-13. Their last two games have gone under the total, and their over/under record when the line is set at 7.5 runs is 4-1.

Tyler Alexander is getting the start for the Rays today against the Brewers. This will be his third start of the season, and so far, he has not factored into a decision in either of his starts. Alexander has been effective, though, as he has yet to give up an earned run in either of his first two starts, and he has 8 strikeouts in 9 1/3 innings of work.

For the season, the Rays are averaging just 3.9 runs per game, which is 22nd in the league. They are also near the bottom of the league in home runs and have a team batting average of just .243. The team’s collective on-base percentage of .306 is also below the league average.

Isaac Paredes has been a bright spot for the Rays this season, as he is batting .283 with a team-high seven home runs and 17 RBIs. He has also gone 10/32 in his last eight games. Amed Rosario is hitting .320 overall and has gone 7/27 in his last seven games. Jose Caballero comes into the game on a four-game hitting streak.

Brewers Records & Stats

Milwaukee’s overall record is 17-11 heading into today’s matchup vs. the Rays, and they are looking to snap a three-game losing streak. These three losses have come at home, and they are just 5-7 at home this year. On the road, the Brewers have been good, going 12-4 so far.

The Brewers are 2nd in the NL Central, trailing the Cubs by just a half-game. So far, they have been good against other teams in the NL Central, going 7-3. Milwaukee has an overall series record of 5-2-2 this year, and they are 4-3 as the home favorite.

When betting the run line for the Brewers, it’s best to take them on the road, where they are 10-6 compared to just 2-10 at home. Their average run margin in winning games is 3.3, while it’s -3.9 in losses. They are 9-6 against the run line as underdogs and just 3-10 as favorites.

When the Milwaukee Brewers and Tampa Bay Rays met earlier this season, the combined run total was just one, well below the over/under line of 8.0. This season, the Brewers have played 28 games, with 17 going over the total and 11 staying under. The average over/under line in their games has been 8.0 runs, and the combined run average in their games is 9.7 runs. In games with a line of 7.5 runs, the over is 2-3. This season, 21 of their games have had higher over/under lines than 7.5 runs, and just two games have had lower lines. Overall, 75.0% of their games have had higher lines than 7.5 runs.

Freddy Peralta is making his 3rd start of the season and will be at home for the Brewers against the Rays. In his first start of the year, he went 6 innings and struck out 11 batters in a win over the Orioles. He then went 4 2/3 innings and gave up 5 runs on 5 hits in a no-decision against the Pirates.

William Contreras has been a huge bright spot for the Brewers so far this season, as he is batting .348 with a team-leading 22 RBIs and is 6th in the league with five home runs. Over his last 10 games, Contreras is hitting .325. Rhys Hoskins and Christian Yelich are also both batting over .300 and have combined for 11 homers.

As a team, the Brewers are 6th in the league in scoring at 5.1 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.8 runs per contest. Overall, they are 4th in batting average, at .255, and are 4th in team on-base percentage.