Chicago Cubs vs New York Mets Betting Pick & Prediction 4/30/24

The Cubs head into Tuesday night’s matchup vs. the Mets looking to pick up a road win and move to 19-11 on the season. However, they are the underdog on the money line (+110). As for the Mets, they are 14-14 overall and will be sending Sean Manaea to the mound vs. a Cubs team that is starting Javier Assad.

First pitch from Citi Field is set for 7:10 PM ET. The over/under line is at 8 runs, and you can catch this one on MLBN.

CHICAGO CUBS VS NEW YORK METS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Chicago Cubs Moneyline +110

This game will be played at Citi Field at 7:10 ET on Tuesday, April 30th.

HOW TO BET THE CUBS VS METS:

• We have the Cubs winning by a score of 5 to 4
• If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Cubs to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over

Chicago picked up a 3-1 road win over the Mets in the most recent game of this series. The Cubs offense only had three hits in the game but took advantage of their opportunities, scoring three runs in the 8th and picking up two insurance runs in the 9th. Heading into the game, the Cubs were at +122 on the money line.

Jameson Taillon started for the Cubs and picked up the win, going 7 1/3 innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with one strikeout and one home run allowed. As for the Mets, Luis Severino got the start and took the loss, giving up one run in eight innings of work.

Christopher Morel was the difference for the Cubs’ offense, as he homered twice and scored three times. Brandon Nimmo hit a home run for the Mets and went 1/3 at the plate.

Cubs Records & Stats

Chicago is on the road today vs. the Mets, and they lead the NL Central by a half-game over the Brewers. The Cubs are 18-11 overall and have yet to play a game against another NL Central team this year. The Cubs won the final game of their series vs. the Red Sox and followed that up with a win over the Mets in the first game of this series.

At home, the Cubs have been strong at 10-3 this year. On the road, they are just one game above .500 at 8-8. As the underdog, the Cubs have gone 11-8 this year compared to 7-3 as the favorite. Chicago’s overall series record is 5-3-1.

The Cubs have been a solid bet against the run line this season, going 21-8 overall. They have been especially good on the road, going 12-4 against the run line. Their average run margin in winning games is +3.5, while their average run margin in losing games is -4.3.

The Cubs have gone under the total in four of their last five games, and their games have averaged just 4.0 runs per game over that span. Their over/under record on the season is 13-15, and the average over/under line in their games is 8.0 runs. Today’s over/under line is set at 8.0 runs, and the Cubs have played to the under in all five games this season when the line has been set at 8.0 runs.

Javier Assad is on the mound for the Cubs today, as they are on the road to take on the Mets. Assad has started 2 games this season, and he has a win and 2 no-decisions. His last start was at home vs. the Astros, where he went 5 2/3 innings and struck out 5.

So far this season, the Cubs are 7th in the league in scoring, averaging 5.1 runs per game. They have been even better at home, putting up 5.8 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .241, which is 13th in the league, and are also near the top of the league in walks, on-base percentage, and slugging. Chicago’s offense has been pretty balanced so far, as they are 8th in team home runs and have the 8th best isolated power mark in the league.

Michael Busch and Cody Bellinger have been the Cubs’ top power threats so far, as Busch’s six homers are 5th in the league, and Bellinger is right behind him with five. However, both players are batting under .270 for the season. Nico Hoerner comes into the game with a team-high batting average of .271 but has yet to go deep this season. Over his last eight games, Mike Tauchman is hitting .400 with three homers.

Mets Records & Stats

The Mets are at an even 14-14 heading into today’s game vs. the Cubs, and they are 5.5 games behind the Braves in the NL East. New York’s overall series record is 5-4, but they dropped the first game of their current series vs. the Cubs.

At home, the Mets are 7-9 this year compared to 7-5 on the road. So far, they have been .500 both as the favorite and as the underdog. As the home favorite, the Mets are 6-8 this year.

The Mets have been a good bet on the run line overall, going 14-14, but they have been better on the road, where they are 8-4. They have been a better bet as the underdog, going 7-5, compared to 7-9 as the favorite. Their average run differential is +0.2 runs per game, but they have been outscored by 0.2 runs per game at home.

When the Mets and Cubs met in the first game of their series, the Over/Under line was set at 7.0 runs, and the game finished with just four runs scored. In the Mets’ last 10 games, the Over/Under line has been set at 8.0 or lower in six of them. Their games have averaged 8.7 runs per game this season, and their Over/Under record is 14-14.

Sean Manaea is getting the start for the Mets today, and he has had a bit of an up-and-down start to his season. He picked up a win in his first start but then took a loss in his next outing. In his last start, he went 4 2/3 innings and gave up 4 earned runs on 6 hits.

So far this season, the Mets are averaging 4.4 runs per game, which is 16th in the league. They have been a better offensive team on the road, averaging 5.6 runs per game. As a team, they are batting .239, which is 14th in the league, and are 7th in the league in home runs. New York’s offense has been good at not striking out, as they have the 4th fewest strikeouts in the league.

Starling Marte is batting .288 for the Mets this season and is 3rd on the team with 12 RBIs. Pete Alonso leads the team with eight home runs, which is 3rd in the league, but is batting just .241. Francisco Lindor and Brandon Nimmo are also near the top of the league in home runs, but both are batting under .210 for the season.