Philadelphia Phillies vs Cincinnati Reds Betting Pick & Prediction 4/22/24

At 6:40 PM from Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, we have an NL matchup between the Phillies and Reds. Forecasted temperatures are in the low 60s with clear skies. Philadelphia comes in with a record of 14-8, while the Reds are 12-9.

The over/under line is at 8.5 runs, and the Phillies are the favorite on the money line at -121. Hunter Greene is starting for the Reds, and he is facing off against Ranger Suarez for the Phillies.

CINCINNATI REDS VS PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES BETTING PICK

The Pick: Cincinnati Reds Moneyline +102

This game will be played at Great American Ball Park at 6:40 ET on Monday, April 22nd.

HOW TO BET THE PHILLIES VS REDS:

• We have the Reds winning by a score of 5 to 4
• If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Reds to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over

Phillies Records & Stats

Heading into their last game vs. the White Sox, the Phillies closed out the series with an 8-2 win. Leading up to the game, they were the heavy favorite at -293. It was a big 4th inning that really turned things in their favor, as the Phillies scored three runs in the inning. Looking at the box score, the Phillies also had a three-run 2nd.

Aaron Nola put together a good start for the Phillies, going eight innings and giving up just two runs on four hits. He only had seven strikeouts in the outing and issued just one walk. Kyle Schwarber was hot right out of the gates, going 1/1 with a homer and three RBIs.

With an overall record of 14-8, the Phillies are riding a six-game winning streak as they take on the Reds today. In the NL East, they are just one game behind the Braves, as they hold the 2nd place in the division. So far, they have gone just 3-3 against other teams in the NL East.

Looking at their overall series record, the Phillies are 4-2-1, and they have won each of their last two series. When favored to win, they are 12-6 this season compared to 2-2 as the underdog. Coming into this one, they are both 10-6 at home and 4-2 on the road.

Philadelphia has been a solid bet against the run line this season, going 10-12 overall. They have been even better on the road, going 3-3 against the run line. The Phillies have been favored in 18 games and have gone 8-10 against the run line in those contests. Their average run margin for the season is +0.5 runs per game.

Despite the Phillies’ over/under record sitting at 9-13, the over has hit in their last two games, and the over/under line for today’s game is set at 8.5 runs. The Phillies’ games have averaged 8.2 runs per game, and their over/under record when the line is set at 8.5 runs is 1-6. In their last 11 games, the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs just twice, and their games have gone under the line in 59.1% of their games this season.

Ranger Suarez has been dominant in his first two starts of the season, and he’ll be on the road to face the Reds today. In his first start, he went 6 innings and struck out 8, and then he followed that up with a complete game shutout vs. the Rockies. Suarez has yet to allow a no-hitter or perfect game this season.

For the Phillies, we have Trea Turner as our top projected hitter in terms of total hits. His hits projection is 13th best in the league today. Bryce Harper is 2nd on the team in terms of total hits, and his total hits projection is 19th in the league. Kyle Schwarber has the highest home run projection on the team and the 2nd best in the league today.

Reds Records & Stats

The Reds’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Angels, closing out their series with a 3-0 win. After allowing the Reds to score three runs in the 6th inning, the Angels went on to lose the game. Cincinnati’s Emilio Pagan picked up the win out of the bullpen, and Alexis Diaz got the save.

Frankie Montas got the start for the Reds, going only two-thirds of an inning. He didn’t give up a run, but he did issue a walk and threw 19 pitches. Jeimer Candelario was hot at the plate, going 2/3 with a run scored and a RBI.

Cincinnati comes into today’s game, having won three straight games. In the NL Central, they are 2.5 games behind the Brewers, as they are in 3rd place. So far, they have gone 12-9 this season.

Looking at their overall series record, the Reds are 4-3, and they are coming off a series win over the Angels. At home, they are 7-5 compared to 5-4 on the road.

The Reds have been a profitable run line team this season, going 11-10 overall. They are 6-6 on the run line at home and 5-4 on the run line on the road. Cincinnati has covered the run line in three straight games and is 8-5 on the run line as the favorite this season.

Through their first 21 games, the Reds have played 13 overs and 8 unders, with an average combined run total of 9.7. Their games have had an average over/under line of 9 runs, and their games with an over/under line of 8.5 runs are 1-1. Overall, 12 of their games have had higher over/under lines than 8.5 runs, and 7 have had lower lines.

Hunter Greene is getting the start for the Reds at home against the Phillies. He has gone 4 innings, 6 innings, and 4 2/3 innings in his first 3 starts of the season, with his last start being a no-decision against the Mariners. In that outing, he went 4 innings and struck out 8, giving up 1 earned run on 4 hits.

For the Reds, we like Christian Encarnacion-Strand to have a big day at the plate. He is not only our top projected hitter in terms of total hits, but he also has the best odds on the team to hit a home run. In fact, his home run projection is 6th best in the league today. Spencer Steer is also a solid option, as he has the 2nd best odds on the team to hit a home run and his home run projection is 11th best in the league.