Texas Rangers vs Atlanta Braves Betting Pick & Prediction 4/21/24

The Braves will be looking to move to 15-5 this season, as they are set to host the Rangers at 7:10 PM ET at Truist Park in Atlanta. Darius Vines is starting for the Braves, and he is up against a Rangers club that is 11-11 and starting Michael Lorenzen. Texas is the underdog on the money line (+132), and the over/under line is at 10 runs.

Atlanta comes in with a winning streak of six games, and they are 2-0 in interleague play this season. As for the Rangers, they are 1-1 vs. the NL this year. This game can be seen on ESPN.

ATLANTA BRAVES VS TEXAS RANGERS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Atlanta Braves Moneyline -158

This game will be played at Truist Park at 7:10 ET on Sunday, April 21st.

HOW TO BET THE RANGERS VS BRAVES:

• We have the Braves winning by a score of 6 to 5
• However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Rangers to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over

The most recent game o of this Braves vs Rangers series came right down to the end, as the Rangers rallied late but still fell short with the Braves winning 5-2 at home. Heading into the game, the Braves were favored at -143 on the money line.

Charlie Morton pitched well for the Braves in this one, going six innings and giving up just two hits and two earned runs. He finished the game with four strikeouts but issued two walks. Nathan Eovaldi had a rough outing for the Rangers, giving up three earned runs in 5 1/3 innings of work.

Travis d’Arnaud and Michael Harris II each had two RBIs for the Braves’ offense. d’Arnaud, Ronald Acuna Jr., and Ozzie Albies each scored two runs for Atlanta.

Rangers Records & Stats

Texas currently leads the AL West on both overall record (11-11) and their games behind, as no other team in the division is above .500. The Rangers head into today’s game on a two-game losing streak, dropping the final two games of their series with the Tigers. So far, they have gone just 4-6 against their division rivals.

On the road, the Rangers are 6-6 compared to 5-5 at home. Texas has an overall series record of 3-2-1. When coming off two straight losses as the underdog, the Rangers are 2-0 this season.

When the Texas Rangers are on the road, they have a run line record of 6-6. Their average run margin in those games is -0.5. They have failed to cover the run line in their last two road games and are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games as the favorite.

The Texas Rangers have played 22 games this season with an over/under line. Their over/under record is 11-11, and the average over/under line for their games is 9 runs. The over/under line for their game against the Atlanta Braves today is 10 runs, which is the highest line of the season for the Rangers. Their games have averaged 9.5 runs per game this season.

Michael Lorenzen and the Rangers are on the road to face the Braves today. Lorenzen is coming off a strong first start of the season, as he went five innings and picked up the win against the Tigers. In that outing, he struck out four and gave up three hits.

For the Rangers, Marcus Semien has the 22nd highest total hits projection in the league today, and his home run projection is 8th best in the league. Corey Seager is 24th in total hits projection and 6th in home runs. Adolis García has the 3rd best home run projection in the league today.

Braves Records & Stats

With an overall record of 14-5, the Braves come into today’s game on a six-game winning streak. In the NL East, they are currently two games ahead of the Phillies. So far, they have yet to lose a series, with a record of 4-1-1.

At home, the Braves are 6-2 this season and have gone 8-3 on the road. They have been good in day games, going 7-3, and have also been solid in night games with a 7-2 record.

Atlanta has been a good team to back on the run line this season, as they are 10-9 overall. They have been especially good on the road, going 7-4, and have covered the run line in their last two games overall and when favored. Their average run margin in winning games is 4.0, while it is -3.8 in losing games. Their average run margin overall is 1.9.

Atlanta’s over/under record for the season is 11-7, and the average over/under line for their games is 9 runs. The Braves have only had one game with an over/under line of 10 runs, and that game went over the total. Their games have averaged 10.8 runs per game this season.

Darius Vines is making his first start of the season for the Braves, and he will be at home against the Rangers. In his first start of the season, Vines went 4 2/3 innings, giving up 1 earned run on 4 hits and striking out 4.

Our model projects Ronald Acuña Jr. to have the best chance of hitting a home run for the Braves, as his home run projection is 9th best in the league today. Austin Riley has the 9th best home run projection in the league as well. Marcell Ozuna is 4th on the team in terms of total hits, but his home run projection is 4th best in the league today.