Tampa Bay Lightning vs Florida Panthers Betting Pick & Prediction 4/21/24

Don’t miss out on the NHL showdown between the Lightning and Panthers. The game is starting at 12:30 ET on ESPN, and it’s hosted by the Panthers at FLA Live Arena in Sunrise, FL. Get ready to place your bets! The over/under for this Atlantic division contest is set at 5.5 goals, with the Panthers being favored by -1.5 at home against the Lightning.

TAMPA BAY LIGHTNING VS FLORIDA PANTHERS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Florida Panthers -1.5

This game will be played at FLA Live Arena at 12:30 ET on Sunday, April 21st.

WHY BET THE FLORIDA PANTHERS:

• Even though they are considered 1.5-goal underdogs, our projection points to a 4-3 win for the Lightning.
• We like the Lightning on the moneyline (+144)
• The Lightning are also our pick on the spread at +1.5

Does Tampa Bay Have A Chance at FLA Live Arena?

On the season, the Lightning have gone 45-29-8, putting them in 6th place in the Eastern Conference. In the Atlantic Division, Tampa Bay is in 4th place. Over their last ten games, the Lightning have gone 5-5.

When playing on the road this season, Tampa Bay has gone 20-18-3. Coming into this game, the Lightning have lost two straight road games. As the underdog, Tampa Bay has gone 14-12-5 this season.

On the road this season, Tampa Bay has a puck line record of 20-21 and an average scoring margin of -.2 goals per game. So far, the Lightning have gone 43-39 against the puck line.

When coming into the game as the underdog, Tampa Bay has a puck line record of 20-11, and their average scoring differential in those games is -.4 goals per contest. In their last ten games, the Lightning have gone 5-5 vs. the puck line.

Games involving Tampa Bay have an average of 6.8 goals per game this season. Their average over/under line is 6.4. In terms of their over/under performance, the Lightning come in with a record of 39-37-6.

Through their last three road games, Tampa Bay has an puck line record of just 1-2. However, their overall record was 1-2 while averaging 4 goals per game.

For their offensive performance, the Lightning come in averaging 3.5 goals per game this season, which is 5th in the NHL. In the category of shots on goal per game, they are 22nd in the league. This season, the Lightning have a 25-14 record in games where they outshoot their opponent. In games with fewer shots on goal, they hold a 19-12 record.

Tampa Bay will be looking for a good game from Brayden Point who leads the team in scoring with 46 goals, ranking 8th in the NHL. In addition to his goal scoring, Point has 44 assists this season.

Defensively, the Panthers come into the season ranked 29th in goals allowed. Opponents are averaging 27.6 shots per game against Florida. For the season, they are ranked 3rd in shutouts, coming in with 8 shutouts.

Entering the game, goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy has started 52 games this season. His current record stands at 30-20, and his save percentage is 0.879%.

Can the Panthers Pull Out the Win as Home Favorites?

At home this season, the Panthers have been dominant, going 26-13-2. In the Atlantic Division, Florida is in first place and has a record of 17-9. Over their last ten games, the Panthers have gone 6-4.

Overall, the Panthers have gone 52-24-6, putting them in third place in the Eastern Conference. In the conference, Florida has gone 33-17. The Panthers have won four straight games and are on a five-game winning streak at home. As the favorite, Florida has gone 46-19-2 this season.

Florida has a puck line record of 41-41 this year and has gone 29-38 against the puck line when favored. The Panthers’ average scoring margin on the year sits at +.8 goals per game, and they have 33 wins by multiple goals.

So far, the Panthers have gone 14-27 against the puck line at home, and their average scoring differential at home is +.6 goals per contest. In their last ten games at home, the team has gone just 4-6 against the puck line.

For the season, the average number of goals per game in matchups featuring Florida is 5.7. The season’s average over/under line is currently at 6.2. The Panthers come in with an over/under record of 30-49-3.

In their last three games away from home, the Lightning have a straight up record of 1-2 while going 1-2 vs. the spread. The team averaged 4 goals per game in this stretch.

On offense, the Panthers are averaging 3.2 goals per game which is 11th in the NHL. In terms of shots on goal per game, they are 2nd in the league. This season, the Panthers are 38-19 when getting more shots on goal than their opponents. And in games with fewer shots on goal, they have a 10-4 record.

The leading scorer for Florida’s offense is Sam Reinhart. Coming into the game he has 57 goals, ranking 2nd in the NHL. Along with his scoring, he has come up with 37 assists so far.

Florida defense takes on the Lightning ranked 29th in goals allowed. On average, opponents are averaging 27.6 shots per game against Florida. They also are 3rd in shutouts, with 8 shutouts.

Goalie Sergei Bobrovsky comes into the game having made 58 starts this season. So far, his record is 36-17 and he has a save percentage of 0.948%.