Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Yankees Betting Pick & Prediction 4/21/24

At 1:35 from Yankee Stadium in New York, we have an American League matchup between the Rays and Yankees. Tampa Bay comes in with a record of 12-10, while the Yankees are currently 14-7. Starting for the Rays is Aaron Civale, and he is facing off against Luis Gil for the Yankees.
New York is at -130 on the money line, and the over/under line is at 8.5 runs. If you’re looking to watch this game on TV, it is being carried by BSSUN.
NEW YORK YANKEES VS TAMPA BAY RAYS BETTING PICK
The Pick: New York Yankees Moneyline -130
This game will be played at Yankee Stadium at 1:35 ET on Sunday, April 21st.
HOW TO BET THE RAYS VS YANKEES:
- We have the Yankees winning by a score of 5 to 4
- However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Rays to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over
Tampa Bay picked up a 2-0 win over the Yankees in the most recent game of this series. The Rays offense only had two more hits than the Yankees and struck out 14 times, but still picked up a win thanks to a good outing from Zach Eflin, who went six innings and didn’t give up a run.
Heading into the game, the Rays were at +107 on the money line. New York wasted a good outing from Nestor Cortes, as he gave up just one run in seven innings of work for the Yankees.
This game was scoreless until the Rays broke through with two runs in the top of the 10th. Amed Rosario scored the game’s first run on a wild pitch, and Yandy Diaz added an RBI single.
Rays Records & Stats
The Rays are currently on the road, taking on the Yankees, and they come into the game with a record of 12-10. In the AL East, they are 2.5 games behind the Yankees, as they are in 4th place in the division. So far, they have gone just 3-3 against other teams in the AL East.
At home, the Rays have been just above .500, with a record of 7-7. They have been a bit better on the road, going 5-3 so far. Tampa Bay has won two straight series on the road.
When it comes to the run line, the Rays are a team that has been a tough one to figure out. They have a negative run differential on the season, but they are 8-14 against the run line. They have been a better bet on the road, going 4-4 against the run line, compared to 4-10 at home. They are 6-12 against the run line as the favorite, and 2-2 as the underdog.
The Tampa Bay Rays have played 22.7% of their games with an over/under line set at 8.5 runs. Their over/under record when the line is set at 8.5 runs is 5-6. The combined run average in those games is 8.9 runs. Their over/under record for the season is 12-10, and their average over/under line is set at 9 runs per game. Their current under streak is at three games.
Through his first three starts of the season, Aaron Civale has a 2-1 record, and he’s coming off a win over the Angels in which he went 6 innings and struck out 8. He’s made one start on the road this season, and that came against the Angels, where he picked up the win, going 5 innings and allowing 3 runs.
Looking at the Rays’ player props for today, we see that Yandy Díaz has the highest total hits projection on the team and the 17th best in the league. As for home runs, Isaac Paredes has the best odds on the team and 8th best in the league. Amed Rosario is 2nd on the team in total hits and 6th in terms of home run projections. Richie Palacios has the 2nd best odds on the team to hit a home run and 10th best in the league.
Yankees Records & Stats
The Yankees are currently in 1st place in the AL East heading into today’s game vs. the Rays. New York holds a half-game lead over the Orioles. Overall, the Yankees have a record of 14-7. New York is coming off a series win over the Rays and, prior to that, dropped three straight games.
At home, the Yankees are 5-3 this season and have gone 9-4 on the road. In their current series vs. the Rays, the Yankees are the underdog. This season, New York is 8-5 as the favorite and 6-2 as the underdog.
When betting on the Yankees’ run line, it’s best to do so when they’re on the road, as they are 8-5 against the run line away from home. They’re also 7-1 against the run line as the underdog, compared to 4-9 as the favorite. Their average run differential in their wins is +2.8, while it’s -2.7 in their losses.
So far this season, the Yankees have played 20 games with an average combined run total of 8.1 runs per game. Their over/under record is 7-13, and their average over/under line is 9 runs per game. When the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs, their record is 5-5. In their last 10 games, the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs 10 times, and the over/under record in those games is 5-5. Their current under streak is at 2 games.
Luis Gil is getting the start for the Yankees today at home against the Rays. Gil has started three games so far this season, and he has yet to pick up a win. In his last start, he took the loss against the Blue Jays, going 5 innings and giving up 3 earned runs.
If you’re looking at the Yankees’ player props for today’s game, Giancarlo Stanton has the 7th highest total hits projection on the team and the 2nd best odds to hit a home run. His home run projection is 5th best in today’s slate of games. Aaron Judge is the top Yankees player in terms of total hits, and he has the best odds to hit a home run for the team, with the 4th best odds in today’s games. Gleyber Torres is 21st in terms of total hits for all players today, and his home run projection is 13th best in today’s games. Juan Soto is 2nd in terms of total hits for the Yankees, and his home run projection is 6th best in today’s games.