Pittsburgh Pirates vs New York Mets Betting Pick & Prediction 4/15/24

At 7:10 PM ET, the Pirates and Mets will square off in an NL matchup. This one is being played at Citi Field in New York and features a Pirates club that is 11-5 this season and a Mets team that is 7-8. On the money line, the Mets are the favorite at -125.

Monday night’s pitching matchup is Martín Pérez for the Pirates up against Adrian Houser for the Mets. The over/under line is currently at 8.5 runs, and you can catch this one on SN PT.

NEW YORK METS VS PITTSBURGH PIRATES BETTING PICK

The Pick: New York Mets Moneyline -125

This game will be played at Citi Field at 7:10 ET on Monday, April 15th.

HOW TO BET THE PIRATES VS METS:

• We have the Mets winning by a score of 6 to 5
• However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Pirates to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over

Pirates Records & Stats

Pittsburgh is coming off a big 9-2 win over the Phillies to close out their series. Heading into the game, the Pirates were the +161 underdog on the money line. It was a five-run 6th inning that really turned things in their favor, and the Phillies could only score two runs, both of which came in the 3rd.

Mitch Keller put together a good start for the Pirates, going seven innings and giving up just two earned runs, and picking up the win. Pittsburgh’s offense was carried by Jack Suwinski, who went 2/4 with a homer and four RBIs.

Pittsburgh heads into today’s game in a good spot, as they are currently 11-5 and are tied for the division lead with the Brewers. The Pirates have yet to play a game in the NL Central this season. Coming into today’s game, they have a series record of 3-0-2.

So far, the Pirates have been really good on the road, putting together an 8-3 record. They are also above .500 at home, going 3-2. Pittsburgh got their most recent series win over the Phillies and, before that, took a series from the Tigers.

The Pirates have been a great bet on the run line this season, as they are 12-4 overall. They are 9-2 on the run line on the road and have covered in three straight games. They are 10-2 on the run line as an underdog and have an average run margin of 1.5 runs per game this season.

So far this season, the Pittsburgh Pirates have played 16 games with an average of 9.4 runs per game. Their over/under record is 9-7, and their games have had an average over/under line of 8.0 runs. When the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs, the Pirates have gone over the total in 6 of 10 games. In 2 of their 16 games, the over/under line has been set higher than 8.5 runs.

Martín Pérez is on the mound for the Pirates today, as they take on the Mets. This will be his first road start of the season, and he has been solid in his first two outings. In his first start, he went 6 2/3 innings and gave up 2 earned runs, and then in his last outing, he went 8 innings and gave up just 1 run.

When looking at the Pirates’ offensive projections, we have Oneil Cruz as our top power hitter. His home run projection is the best on the team and 6th best in the league today. Ke’Bryan Hayes has the best chance to get a hit for the Pirates, as his total is 19th best in the league. Bryan Reynolds is 3rd in terms of total hits for the Pirates and his home run projection is 9th in the league today.

Mets Records & Stats

New York is coming off a game in which they closed out their series vs. the Royals with a 2-1 win. This was especially big, as they had lost the previous two games. The Mets were the slight favorite at -104 on the money line. It was a good start for the Mets, as they got on the board with a run in the 1st inning and added another run in the 2nd.

José Buttó put together a good start for the Mets, going six innings and not giving up a run. He also issued just one walk and struck out nine Royals batters. New York’s bullpen closed things out, and Edwin Díaz picked up the save.

The Mets are currently in 3rd place in the NL East heading into today’s game vs. the Pirates. They will also look to pick up a win at home, as they are just 3-6 at home this season. Luckily, they’ve been better on the road at 4-2. Their overall record is currently 7-8.

Looking at New York’s series record, they have gone 3-2 so far. This includes currently being on a three-series winning streak. The Mets are coming off a series win over the Royals.

When betting the Mets’ run line, it’s been more profitable to take them on the road this season. They are 5-1 vs. the run line away from home, compared to just 2-7 at home. The Mets have been favored in nine of those 10 games, but they are just 2-7 vs. the run line as the favorite. They are 5-1 vs. the run line as the underdog.

So far this season, the Mets have played 15 games. Their average game has seen 9.1 runs scored, and their over/under record is 7-8. The average over/under line for their games has been 8 runs, and when the line has been set at 8.5 runs, the over/under record is 1-3. Five of their games have had higher over/under lines than 8.5 runs, and six have had lower lines.

Adrian Houser is getting the start for the Mets, and he will be facing the Pirates. Houser has a 0-1 record on the year and is coming off a loss to the Braves in which he went 5 innings, giving up 5 runs on 8 hits.

Looking at the Mets’ player projections for today, we see that Brandon Nimmo has the highest total hits projection on the team and his home run projection is 3rd best on the team and 13th in the league. Jeff McNeil has the 2nd best total hits projection on the team and his home run projection is 5th on the team and 17th in the league. Pete Alonso has the top home run projection on the team and 7th best in the league. Francisco Alvarez has the 2nd best home run projection on the team and 11th best in the league.