Minnesota Twins vs Baltimore Orioles Betting Pick & Prediction 4/15/24

At 6:35 PM ET, the Twins and Orioles will face off in an American League matchup. Monday night’s matchup is taking place at Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore. The Orioles are the favorite at -150, and the over/under line is at 9.5 runs.

Looking at the starting pitching matchup, we have Louie Varland going for the Twins and Cole Irvin for the Orioles. Minnesota comes into the game with a record of 6-8, while the Orioles are currently 9-6.

BALTIMORE ORIOLES VS MINNESOTA TWINS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Baltimore Orioles Moneyline -150

This game will be played at Oriole Park at Camden Yards at 6:35 ET on Monday, April 15th.

HOW TO BET THE TWINS VS ORIOLES:

• We have the Orioles winning by a score of 5 to 4
• However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Twins to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the under

Twins Records & Stats

The Twins will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Tigers with a 4-3 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 8th inning before the Tigers scored four runs in the bottom of the 8th. Minnesota was the +108 underdog on the money line going into the game.

Bailey Ober put together a good start for the Twins, going six innings and not giving up a run. He also issued just three hits and struck out three. However, the Twins couldn’t close things out, and Griffin Jax took the loss out of the bullpen. The Twins also wasted a big game from Christian Vazquez, who homered in the 2nd inning.

As the Twins are on the road today vs. the Orioles, they are looking to get back to .500, as they are currently 6-8 this season. In the AL Central, they are 3.5 games behind the Guardians and are in 4th place. So far, they have gone just 4-5 against divisional opponents.

At home, the Twins have gone just 1-4 this season, but they have been better on the road at 5-4. Minnesota is still looking for their first night game win at 0-3, and they have gone 2-2 as the underdog this year.

Minnesota has been a solid bet against the run line this season, going 8-6 overall. They’ve been especially good on the road, where they are 7-2 against the run line. They’ve covered the run line in three straight road games and have an average run differential of +0.1 runs per game away from home.

Minnesota’s games have gone under the over/under line in 9 of their 14 games this season, and their games have averaged 7.5 runs per game. The over/under line for today’s game is set at 9.5 runs, and the Twins’ games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs this season. In their last game, the Twins’ game went under the 8.5 run over/under line, and their games have gone under the over/under line in 92.9% of their games this season.

Louie Varland and the Twins are on the road to face the Orioles, and Varland is still looking for his first win of the season. He has taken a loss in each of his first two starts, going 5 innings and giving up 6 earned runs in his first start and then 4 innings with 3 earned runs in his last outing.

For the Twins, we have Ryan Jeffers with the top home run projection on the team and the 9th best in the league today. Byron Buxton has the 2nd best odds on the team to hit a home run and the 11th best in the league. Manuel Margot has the top total hits projection on the team and the 20th best odds in the league to hit a home run. Jose Miranda is 2nd on the team in total hits and 5th in terms of odds to hit a home run.

Orioles Records & Stats

Baltimore closed out their series vs. the Brewers with a 6-4 win. Leading up to the game, they were the heavy favorite at -222. Offensively, the Orioles scored their six runs on 11 hits and only hit three home runs. Ryan O’Hearn was hot at the plate, going 2/3 with a homer and two RBIs. The Orioles also had three other players with two hits.

Corbin Burnes got the start for the Orioles, going five innings and giving up just two runs on six hits. He only had five strikeouts in the outing and got the win.

With an overall record of 9-6, the Orioles are 2nd in the AL East, trailing the Yankees by 2.5 games. The Orioles head into today’s game having a three-game winning streak in interdivisional matchups, as they swept the Brewers in a two-game series.

So far, the Orioles have been good as the favorite, putting together an 8-5 record, compared to 1-1 as the underdog. At home, they are 5-4 and 4-2 on the road. This will be their first game vs. the Twins this season.

When betting the run line, the Orioles have been a strong play on the road, going 4-2, while they are just 4-5 at home. They have been a favorite in 13 of their 15 games and are 7-6 against the run line in those games.

Through 13 games, the Baltimore Orioles have an over/under record of 9-4, and the average over/under line in their games has been 8 runs. Their games have averaged 10 runs per game, and their over streak is at five games. So far, none of their games have had an over/under line set at 9.5 runs.

Cole Irvin is getting the start for the Orioles today, and he has had a couple of outings so far this season. In his first start, he took the loss vs. the Royals, and then he went 5 innings vs. the Red Sox, giving up 5 runs and taking a no-decision.

When looking at the Orioles’ offensive projections, we see that Anthony Santander is not only projected to have the 5th most hits on the team, but he also has the highest home run projection for the Orioles and 8th best in the league today. Gunnar Henderson is projected to have the most hits on the team and his home run projection is 9th best in the league today.