Dallas Mavericks vs Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Pick & Prediction 4/14/24

At 3:30 ET, the Oklahoma City Thunder (-2370) will host the Dallas Mavericks (+1132) in a Western Conference matchup. The Thunder are favored by 19.5 points and have won four straight games. The over/under line is set at 223.

This game will be played at Paycom Center in Oklahoma City. The Thunder (56-25) are first in the Western Conference, while the Mavericks (50-31) are fifth in the West. Tip-off can be seen on BSO.

DALLAS MAVERICKS VS OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER BETTING PICK

The Pick: Dallas Mavericks +19.5

This game will be played at Paycom Center at 3:30 ET on Sunday, April 14th.

WHY BET THE DALLAS MAVERICKS:

• We have this one finishing with a projected score of 118-100 in favor of the Thunder.
• Our projections have Shai Gilgeous-Alexander finishing with Shai Gilgeous-Alexander points, 5 rebounds and 6 assists.
• From the field, we have the Thunder finishing with a field goal percentage of 50.0% and knocking down 14 threes.

Can Dallas Pull Out the Win as Road Underdogs?

Dallas is currently in 5th place in the Western Conference with a record of 50-31. In the Southwest Division, they are in 1st place. In non-conference games, the Mavericks are 19-11 compared to 31-20 against the West.

As the underdog, the Mavericks have gone 12-18 this season and are 15-15 ATS as the underdog. They have been the underdog in 30 of their 81 games. Dallas has won three straight games as the underdog.

This season, the Mavericks have an O/U record of 37-44. In their last two games, the final score has been below the O/U line. On average, their games have finished with 233.7 points.

In their most recent game, the Mavericks lost to the Pistons by a score of 107-89. The O/U line for that game was 218 points. Dallas was favored by 11 points going into the game.

On the road, the Mavericks have an ATS record of 27-13 and have covered the spread in two straight games. Their straight-up road record is 25-15. Currently, they are 14th in the Western Conference.

This season, the Mavericks are one of the NBA’s best offensive teams, averaging 118.2 points per game (6th). On the road, they are scoring 117.8 points per game (4th).

Dallas has outscored the league average in 58.0% of their games this season. In terms of pace, the Mavericks are 9th in the NBA, averaging 99.5 possessions per game.

When it comes to shooting, the Mavericks are 11th in field goal percentage (48%). Inside the arc, they are one of the league’s most efficient teams, shooting 57% (4th).

At this time, the Mavericks’ defense is positioned 20th in the NBA, permitting 115.4 points per game. Most recently, the Mavericks’ defense put together a solid performance, giving up just 107 points to the Pistons.

Is It the Thunder Game to Lose at Home?

The Thunder are looking to extend their win streak to five games today against the Mavericks. They are currently 56-25 on the season, which is the best record in the Western Conference.

Oklahoma City has been the favorite in 60 of their 81 games this season and are 46-14 in those games. Their ATS record as the favorite is 34-26, and they have covered the spread in their last four home games.

The Thunder’s average scoring margin at home this season is +12.0 points per game. As the favorite, they have gone 9.8 points per game better than their opponents.

In their most recent game, the Thunder defeated the Bucks by a score of 125-107. The O/U line for that game was 224 points, and OKC covered the spread (-14.5).

So far this season, the Thunder have an O/U record of 44-36-1. In their games, the average over/under line is 232.3 points, and their games have averaged 232.9 points.

This season, the Thunder have been one of the most efficient offenses in the league, ranking 3rd in scoring at 119.9 points per game. At home, they are averaging 122.8 points per game.

When it comes to shooting, the Thunder are 2nd in field goal percentage at 49%. They are also 2nd in three-point shooting at 38%.

So far, the Thunder have outscored the NBA scoring average in 67.9% of their games and are 7th in pace at 99.7 possessions per game.

At present, the Thunder’s defense is ranked 12th, allowing 113.0 points per game. Opponents are hitting 52.2% of their two-point field goal attempts this season, and they’re also connecting on 36.6% of their three-point attempts.