Phoenix Suns vs Minnesota Timberwolves Betting Pick & Prediction 4/14/24

The Timberwolves (-129) are 2-point favorites at home against the Suns (+107) in a Western Conference matchup. The over/under line is set at 217 points. Phoenix is currently on a two-game win streak and is 7th in the West, while Minnesota is 2nd in the conference.

This game will be played at the Target Center in Minneapolis and is set to tip off at 3:30 ET. You can watch the game on BSN.

PHOENIX SUNS VS MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES BETTING PICK

The Pick: Phoenix Suns +2

This game will be played at Target Center at 3:30 ET on Sunday, April 14th.

WHY BET THE PHOENIX SUNS:

• We have this one finishing with a projected score of 114-113 in favor of the Suns.
• Our projections have Kevin Durant finishing with Kevin Durant points, 7 rebounds and 5 assists.
• From the field, we have the Suns finishing with a field goal percentage of 49.1% and knocking down 16 threes.

Can Phoenix Deliver Being Underdogs on the Road?

The Suns are 48-33 this season and have won two straight games. In the Western Conference, they are currently in 7th place and are 2nd in the Pacific Division.

As the underdog, Phoenix has a record of 8-12 this season and has been the underdog in 20 of their 81 games. They have covered the spread in their last two games as the underdog.

On the road, the Suns have a record of 23-17 and have won three straight games on the road. Against the spread, they are 18-22 on the road.

In their most recent game, the Suns defeated the Kings by a score of 108-107. The O/U line for that game was 225.5, and they were favored by 4.5 points.

This season, the Suns have an average scoring differential of +2.7 points per game on the road. Today’s O/U line is set at 217, and the Suns have an O/U record of 35-45-1 for the season.

The Suns are one of the top offensive teams in the NBA this season, averaging 116.1 points per game (10th). They have been slightly better on the road, averaging 116.4 points compared to 115.8 at home.

Phoenix has been one of the league’s most efficient teams from the field, shooting 49% overall (5th). They are also 4th in true shooting percentage. However, they are just 20th in three-point shooting at 38%.

When it comes to pace, the Suns are right in the middle of the pack at 15th in the NBA. In terms of assists, they are 11th in the league with an average of 27 per game.

At present, the Suns’ defense is ranked 13th, allowing 113.3 points per game. In the terms of takeaways, Suns are causing 14.1 turnovers per game, ranking 25th in the league. They also enter the matchup ranked 6th in rejections, averaging 6 blocked shots each game.

Can the Minnesota Offense Score Enough at Home?

In Minnesota’s last game, they defeated the Hawks by a score of 109-106. The Timberwolves were favored by 12 points in that game. The O/U line for the game was 226.5, so the teams combined to score fewer points than expected.

Minnesota has a record of 56-25 this season, which is the 2nd-best in the Western Conference. In games against other Western Conference teams, they are 37-14 and 19-11 against the East.

This season, Minnesota has been favored in 62 of their 81 games and has gone 47-15 in those games. As the favorite, they are 29-32 against the spread with an average scoring margin of +9.1 points per game.

As the favorite, the Timberwolves have won five straight games against the spread and have an O/U record of 24-31-0 in games with higher over/under lines than today’s (217). Overall, their O/U record for the season is 41-40.

Minnesota is 40-40 against the spread this season, including a 18-22 ATS record at home. At home, they have an average scoring margin of +8.9 points per game.

At home this season, the Timberwolves are averaging 112.1 points per game, which is 22nd in the NBA. Overall, they are 18th in scoring at 113.1 points per game. In terms of offensive pace, Minnesota is 21st in the league with 97.1 possessions per game.

When it comes to three-point shooting, the Timberwolves are 15th in made threes at 12.7 per game. However, they are just 23rd in three-point attempts. In terms of three-point shooting percentage, Minnesota is the best team in the league at 38%.

So far this season, the Timberwolves have outscored the NBA scoring average in 42% of their games. In terms of field goal percentage, they are 10th in the league at 48%. In terms of assists, Minnesota is 15th with 26.7 per game.

So far, the Timberwolves defense is giving up 106.3 points per contest, which has them sitting 1st in the NBA. One thing to note, is they have given up more points than their season average in four straight matchups. In the terms of takeaways, Timberwolves are causing 13.2 turnovers per game, ranking 19th in the league. They also enter the matchup ranked 5th in rejections, averaging 6.1 blocked shots each game.