Denver Nuggets vs Memphis Grizzlies Betting Pick & Prediction 4/14/24

At 3:30 ET, the Memphis Grizzlies (27-54) will host the Denver Nuggets (56-25) at FedExForum. The Nuggets are favored by 13 points and have a moneyline of -909. Memphis has lost four straight games and is currently 13th in the Western Conference.

This Western Conference matchup will be televised on BSSE.

DENVER NUGGETS VS MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES BETTING PICK

The Pick: Memphis Grizzlies +13

This game will be played at FedExForum at 3:30 ET on Sunday, April 14th.

WHY BET THE MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES:

• We have this one finishing with a projected score of 111-105 in favor of the Nuggets.
• Our projections have Nikola Jokic finishing with Nikola Jokic points, 12 rebounds and 9 assists.
• From the field, we have the Nuggets finishing with a field goal percentage of 49.5% and knocking down 13 threes.

Do the Nuggets Have What it Takes to Win as Road Favorites?

Overall, the Nuggets have a record of 56-25 and are currently 3rd in the Western Conference. In games against other Western Conference teams, they are 32-19 and have gone 24-6 against the East.

On the road, the Nuggets are 23-17 this season and have an average scoring differential of +0.4 points per game. As the favorite, they are 52-19 this season and have gone 37-42 against the spread.

In their last game, the Nuggets lost to the Spurs by a score of 121-120. The O/U line for that game was 223.5, and Denver was favored by 11.5 points going into the game.

Denver’s O/U record for the season is 33-46-2, and their games have averaged a combined 224.3 points per game. The over has hit in their last two games.

Today, the Nuggets are favored by 13 points on the spread. This season, they have gone 32-37 vs. the spread as the favorite and 5-5 as the favorite on the road.

Denver has been one of the most efficient shooting teams in the league this season, ranking 4th in field goal percentage and 8th in two-point shooting percentage. However, they are last in the NBA in three-point attempts, which has contributed to them being just 25th in three-point makes.

When it comes to scoring, the Nuggets are 14th in the league at 114.7 points per game. However, their scoring numbers are significantly higher at home compared to on the road. In fact, Denver is 9th in the league in home scoring but just 21st away from home.

Overall, the Nuggets have outscored the NBA scoring average in 48.1% of their games this season. In terms of pace, they are 28th in the league at 96.1 possessions per game.

Currently, the Nuggets’ defense holds the 6th rank in the NBA, allowing 109.6 points per game. In terms of two point field goal attempts, the Nuggets defense has allowed a shooting percentage of 52.4% while allowing 35.5% from downtown.

Can The Grizzlies Secure a Home Victory?

The Grizzlies have covered the spread in their last two games and have an ATS record of 40-41 this season. As the underdog, they are 34-30 ATS and have gone 20-44 straight-up as the underdog. Today, they are getting 13 points as the underdog.

In their last game against the Lakers, Memphis lost by a score of 123-120. The Grizzlies were 15.5-point underdogs going into the game. The combined scoring in the game was 243 points, and the O/U line was set at 227.

This season, the Grizzlies have an O/U record of 37-43-1. In their games, the average combined scoring is 218.4 points, and today’s O/U line is set at 219.5.

Memphis is currently in 13th place in the Western Conference with a record of 27-54. Against the West, they are 14-36 and 8-8 against other teams in the Southwest Division.

So far this season, the Grizzlies are 16-24 ATS at home and have an average scoring margin of -7.2 points per game. On the road, their ATS record is 24-17, and they have an average scoring differential of -6.6 PPG.

At 105.8 points per game, the Grizzlies are 30th in the NBA in scoring. They are also 30th in scoring at home, averaging 103.8 points per game. Memphis has been below the NBA scoring average in 79% of their games this season.

Despite their low scoring numbers, the Grizzlies have been one of the more aggressive three-point shooting teams in the league. They are 6th in three-point attempts but are just 30th in three-point shooting at 34%.

In terms of pace, Memphis is 16th in the NBA at 97.9 possessions per game. They are also 30th in two-point shooting at 43%.

Coming into the game, the Grizzlies defense has held opposing team’s to fewer points than the league average in 45.7% of their games. Currently, they are 11th in the NBA at 112.7 points per game allowed. In their previous game, the Grizzlies’ defense struggled against the Lakers, giving up 123 points on a field goal percentage of 51%.